MLB Money Line Trend

Jeremy Guthrie and Kansas City are 11-2 when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Royals record)

MLB Totals Trend

John Lackey and Boston are 13-0 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.

WNBA ATS Trend

New York is 14-2 ATS in away games after playing three consecutive games as a road underdog.

you know Ed has his Underdog GOY tonight

NY Yankees +170 over LA DODGERS - The Dodgers have revenge vs Hiroki Kuroda for a 6-4 loss in New York on June 19th. However, the Dodgers are an unbelievable 0-8 as a 120-plus home favorite when they are seeking same season revenge for a loss vs their opponent's starting pitcher, when that starter went more than five innings against them. The SDQL text is:
team=Dodgers and H and line<=-120 and oS:W and oS:season=season and oS:SIP>5 and date>=20120730

The Dodgers NEVER LED in any of the eight games and they were a 170-plus favorite in FIVE of the eight games. Wow.

Clayton Kershaw is off a great performance; eight innings of work in a 2-1 win. This, however, is no reason to play on the Dodgers, as they are 0-7 at HOME WITH KERSHAW when he is off a start in which he faced 28-plus hitters and struck out fewer than ten, as long as he was not a 200-plus favorite in that start. See for yourself by running this SDQL text:

starter=Clayton Kershaw and H and s:SSO<10 and s:SHF>=28 and date>=20120820 and p:line>-200

Yesterday, the Yankees lost 3-2 in the series opener, managing only five hits without drawing a single walk. NY has a long history of success in this spot. The Yanks are 16-0 as a DOG when they are off a loss in which they had ten or fewer hits and drew one or fewer walks. That's SIXTEEN straight wins as a dog. The SDQL text is:

team=Yankees and D and p:walks<=1 and p:L and p:hits<=10 and date>=20080901

In addition, THIS SEASON, the Yankees are 8-0 as a dog of more than 100 when seeking immediate revenge for a loss in which they never led and had six or fewer hits. Check it out with this SDQL text:

team=Yankees and line>100 and p:hits<=6 and p:L and SG>1 and p:BL=0 and season=2013

In the game listing, you can see Kuroda's two starts in this spot. The Yankees beat the Red Sox 5-2 in Boston at plus-140 and beat the Rangers 2-0 at plus-140.

The reason that this game is so strong is not that the Yankees have an overwhelming chance of winning. In fact, we make them somewhere between 50-55% to win. The reason that the game is so strong is that we are getting plus 170 on slightly better than a coin toss. If Kershaw beats us 2-1, we tip our hat to him. The side on which to be is the Yankees.

FORECAST: NY Yankees 5 LA Dodgers 2