The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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dld3151
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 2842
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MLB and NBA Tuesday, June 18
MLB
Going to try something a little different today. Atlanta and Boston each hosts a day-night doubleheader. The Braves entertain the New York Mets and the Red Sox take on Tampa Bay. Granted, anything can happen on any given day, so I'll keep the risk low (1 unit = 1% of BR). I'm going to bet the Braves and Red Sox don't get swept at home today. I'll just play for 1 win for each home team in each twinbill. If either Atlanta or Boston loses its afternoon game, then I will play them to win 2 units in the nightcap. If Atlanta wins in the afternoon, that's it for them today. Same with Boston. The idea is to pick up 1 unit on each team for the day.
Boston is 21-14 at home while Tampa Bay is 15-17 on the road this season. Atlanta is 24-8 at home while the Mets are 11-17 on the road. So combined, you've got two teams with a combined home mark of 45-22 (67.2%) against visitors with a combined road record of 26-34 (43.3%). Those records will look meaningless if the Sox and Braves do get swept today, but I think it's worth a shot.
So, here are plays for the afternoon games:
Atlanta -114 to win 1 unit.
Boston -117 to win 1 unit.
Atlanta-NYM starts at 1:10 p.m. EDT. Boston-Tampa Bay starts at 1:05 p.m. EDT.
If I need to play the evening games, the current prices are:
Atlanta -172
Boston -148
Obviously, it would be nice to get 'em both over in the afternoon.
Also, here's a half-unit parlay. These are mainly just for fun. Obviously, the odds of hitting a 5-teamer are pretty remote, but I'm willing to go a half-unit with a load of mound aces going today. I'll update later today with the exact payoff (waiting on Detroit). But here are the teams and starting pitchers to be listed.
Texas (Darvish)
Philadelphia (Lee)
Cincinnati (Latos)
Detroit (Verlander)
St. Louis (Wainwright)
NBA Finals
San Antonio +7 (-105 reduced at 5D)
San Antonio -135 to win the series (pending). This was posted after the Spurs won Game 1.
GLTA
2013 college football contest co-champion
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06-18-13 11:59 AM |
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First&Goal
Registered: Mar 2013
Posts: 275
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line -3.5 Heat 1H now @ BM
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06-18-13 06:53 PM |
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