I just added up the numbers for the season so far and figured it was perfect timing to start posting the Streak Chase plays. Rocky start so far but hoping it's just a glitch. Only difference this year is that I'm skipping all chases for Miami or Houston to win. Refuse to bet on Triple A teams.
2013 Record
34-1 -8.9 units
5-2-2013
G1 ATL Braves vs. WAS Nationals
G1 BAL Orioles +1.5 @ LA Angels
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Oh it is. I expect about 5 losses and 220 wins for around 100 units. These are rough guesses from what I remember of years past and backtracking. The early loss though has me a little edgy.
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5-3-2013
G2 ATL Braves vs. NY Mets
G1 COL Rockies +1.5 vs. TB Rays
G1 ARI Diamondbacks @ SD Padres
G2 CLE Indians vs. MIN Twins (From 5/1)
G1 CHI Cubs +1.5 vs. CIN Reds
G1 SF Giants +1.5 vs. LA Dodgers
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5-3-3013
G2 CLE Indians vs. MIN Twins…WIN +.44
G1 SF Giants +1.5 vs. LA Dodgers…WIN +.69
5-4-2013
G3 ATL Braves vs. NY Mets
G2 COL Rockies +1.5 vs. TB Rays
G1 BOS Red Sox +1.5 @ TEX Rangers
G2 ARI Diamondbacks @ SD Padres
G2 CHI Cubs +1.5 vs. CIN Reds
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I think Money at -148 to win by decision is pretty tasty. If you want as sure thing as you can with value it would be him at -600, only because the line should be closer to -900. But he's not going to turn into Adrian Broner (same fighitng stance but much more aggressive approach with equals more finishes) because there's no need to. He's (unfortunately) without a doubt the best p4p fighter and in his mind going out there and looking to finish Guerreo isn't worth risking his 0. It's a big part of his legacy and drawing power.
Furthermore, Guerreo has a pretty solid beard, Floyd doesn't hit like a truck, and I don't see Guerreo's father stopping the fight cause he's getting his ass kicked cause he thinks he'll be able to pull a miracle out of his ass and win in the 12th. Biggest worry would be doctor stoppage or Guerreo rushing in and an accidental headbutt stops the fight. Less than 40% chance of that happening? I say yes.
Guerreo is gonna get drubbed I don't think he'll be stopped.
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5-8-2013
G2 NY Yankees +1.5 @ COL Rockies
G1 CIN Reds vs. ATL Braves
G1 TB Rays vs. TOR Blue Jays
G1 TEX Rangers +1.5 @ MIL Brewers
G1 PIT Pirates +1.5 vs. SEA Mariners
G1 WAS Nationals +1.5 vs. DET Tigers
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5-8-2013
G2 NY Yankees +1.5 @ COL Rockies…WIN +.53
G1 TB Rays vs. TOR Blue Jays…WIN +.55
G1 TEX Rangers +1.5 @ MIL Brewers…WIN +.48
G1 PIT Pirates +1.5 vs. SEA Mariners…WIN +.57
G1 WAS Nationals +1.5 vs. DET Tigers…WIN +.57
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Sorry, forgot to post them here. Pirates are gonna win, Sox are gonna blow it, still have the White Sox tonight. Night at the Mohegan makes waking up a little difficult the next day.
2013 Season
51-1 +2.35 units
5-10-2012
G2 CIN Reds vs. MIL Brewers…WIN +.90
G1 SF Giants Vs. ATL Braves…WIN +.85
5-11-2012
G2 CHI White Sox vs. LA Angels
G1 BOS Red Sox vs. TOR Blue Jays
G1 PIT Pirates @ NY Mets
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