The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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IrishMule
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7187
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St Joe's vs Xavier
I'll put a few thoughts up here tonite. These teams finished with near identical records for the year. St Joe's won the first meeting in Philly 59-49. Ugly one. Xavier lacks the explosive offense from past years. The freshman, Christon, is carrying most of the load. He can create his own shot and is very good at the mid-range jumper. Not good at 3 distance. Doesn't even attempt many. If he can improve his range over the summer, he's gonna be a keeper. I don't see Galloway or Wilson being able to cover him. He'll get his....15-20. But he's gonna need help. Taylor for Xavier, has been getting a good amount of garbage points. Tonite he and Robinson will have to fight Aiken and Roberts inside. I don't see him helping much on the scoring end.
Neither team has much of a bench. Xavier does have the slight edge on this though. St Joe's only uses a 6 man rotation normally. To win this tourney without a first round bye, you have to win 4 games in 4 days. That is not going to happen with either of these 2.
I think the key to this one is Carl Jones. Xavier's point guards, Davis and Redford can not cover this guy if he comes out aggressive. That's a big "if". The guy seems to disappear quite often for a senior. A big talent, if his head's in it. St Joe's has to win the whole thing to make the Dance. I'm looking for a big game from him tonite.
I have St Joe's at a pick. Bought it last night. -1 should work. GL if you decide to play it. No sense in me mentioning the coaching matchup...Mack vs Martelli. If you've read any of my stuff this year, you know who the better coach is.
GW/UMass
I'm not playing this one, but I think UMass may/could/should provide a blowout here. GW beat them in their house earlier this year. I can't see it happening again.
GL Den
Let us be thankful for the fools. But for them, the rest of us could not succeed.
Mark Twain
''Life's tough ........it's even tougher if you're stupid...''
-- John Wayne
"Beer is proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy."
Benjamin Franklin
'Life isn't about
how to survive the storm.....But how to dance in the
rain.'
TheMule
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03-15-13 12:27 AM |
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