Hoop Trends - Monday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

The Pistons are 0-13 ATS (-7.7 ppg) since March 09, 2005 after a game on the road in which more than 75% of their baskets were assisted.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Pistons are 0-13-1 OU (-10.6 ppg) since January 24, 2005 on the road with at most one day of rest and a total of at least 174 after a loss in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

The Warriors are 0-10 OU (-19.5 ppg) since January 15, 2010 as a favorite after losing the previous matchup in which Stephen Curry shot better than 50% from the arc.

CHOICE TREND:

The 76ers are 0-10 ATS (-7.9 ppg) since November 09, 2009 as a dog with at most one day of rest after a road loss in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

The Spurs are 8-0 OU (19.0 ppg) since February 03, 2010 after a loss at home in which Manu Ginobili was not the Spurs’ high scorer.

The 76ers are 9-0 ATS (13.0 ppg) since March 24, 2010 as a dog after losing the previous matchup in which Jrue Holiday played fewer than 30 minutes.

Brooklyn at Philadelphia
Brooklyn: 5-16 ATS away off ATS wins in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
Philadelphia: 15-5 ATS after losing 8+ of their last 10 games

Oklahoma City at San Antonio
Oklahoma City: 16-6 Under away off a home win by 10+ points
San Antonio: 20-7 ATS after scoring 105+ points

Detroit at Utah
Detroit: 8-18 ATS away playing with same-season revenge
Utah: 24-12 ATS at home off an ATS loss

Denver at Phoenix
Denver: 10-2 ATS off BB home games
Phoenix: 11-20 ATS in home games

New York at Golden State
New York: 29-12 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less
Golden State: 1-5 ATS in March

7:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. PHILADELPHIA
Brooklyn is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-13-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Philadelphia is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Brooklyn

8:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Oklahoma City is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
San Antonio is 21-2 SU in its last 23 games at home

9:00 PM
DETROIT vs. UTAH
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Detroit's last 13 games when playing Utah
Detroit is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 9 games
Utah is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Detroit

10:00 PM
DENVER vs. PHOENIX
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Phoenix
Denver is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Phoenix is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

10:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. GOLDEN STATE
New York is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing New York
Golden State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

Hot Teams
-- Nets won last three games, allowing 78.7 ppg (3-2 AF).
-- Thunder won its last five games (3-8 last 11 AF).
-- Spurs won three of last four games, but lost last game by 30 (10-3 last 13 HF).
-- Nuggets won their last eight games (8-6-1 AF).
-- Phoenix won three of last four home games (3-6 last nine HU).
-- Knicks won six of their last eight games (covered last three on road).

Cold Teams
-- 76ers lost five in row, 12 of last 13 games (6-5 HU).
-- Pistons lost eight of last nine games (3-8 last 11 AU).
-- Jazz lost seven of last eight games (4-6 last ten HF).
-- Warriors lost six of their last eight games (0-3 vs spread last three at home).

Totals
-- Seven of last nine Brooklyn games stayed under total.
-- Four of last six Oklahoma City road games went over total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Detroit's last six away games.
-- Four of last five Denver games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six New York games stayed under the total.

Back-to-backs
-- 76ers are 4-11 vs spread when they played night before.
-- Thunder are 7-3-2 vs spread when they played night before.
-- Detroit is 6-4 vs spread on road if it played night before.

Armadillosports.com

Marc Lawrence
New York Knicks at Golden State Warriors
Prediction: Golden State Warriors
When the Warriors host the Knicks in a non-conference clash Monday night, Golden State will take the floor looking to avenge an earlier loss this season at Madison Square Garden, while returning home off a disappointing 10-point home loss to Milwaukee Friday night. Meanwhile, New York begins the first of a 5-game west coast road swing off a 23-point home win over Utah. With the Warriors 16-10 ATS against Eastern Conference competition this campaign, including 4-0 ATS when off a SUATS loss against a foe off a SUATS win, look for the Warriors to improve to 7-1 ATS in this series as they get their revenge here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on Golden State.

Jim Feist

Knicks at Warriors
Pick: Under

The Golden State Warriors seem to be sputtering of late, losing six of their last eight games and covering just 1 time in the last six and just four times in the last 17 games! The offense has been missing also, scoring 97 or fewer points in five of the last six games and six of the last eight. The Knicks have been up and down with the scoring, totally 113 in their win over the Jazz last time out. However, before that game they broke the century mark in just two of their previous 11 games. The Knicks have gone UNDER in five of their last six games. Injuries have played a part on both teams. Forward David Lee has been nursing a injured knee. Knicks forward Carmelo Anthony also has knee problems and both players are questionable for today's contest. The Knicks are already without forwards Amar'e Stoudemire (knee) and Rasheed Wallace (foot) who are both out. Looking to play UNDER here on Monday, especially if Anthony is out. Neither team will look to push the pace in this one. Take the UNDER.

Stephen Nover

Pistons +9.5

The Jazz aren't playing well enough to lay this many points even to a weak foe such as the Pistons. Utah is 1-7 in its last eight games. The Jazz just finished an 0-4 road trip that ended at New York this past Saturday. This is their first home game in 10 days so their minds might be distracted.

This marks Utah's third game in four days and fourth in six days. The Jazz have been a strong home team, but are just 3-3 during their past six at EnergySolutions Arena. Utah also might be missing underrated Paul Millsap, who missed the Knicks' game this past Saturday with a sore knee. He's a game-time decision.

The Pistons shouldn't lack for motivation. They were embarrassed, 129-97, by the Clippers last night in Los Angeles. Both Greg Monroe and Jose Calderon expressed frustration with the loss with Monroe saying his team played with no effort. That's a strong criticism that should light a fire. The Pistons also have revenge for blowing a 15-point lead in a 90-87 home loss to Utah.

Detroit is 3-3 in its last six road matchups defeating Milwaukee, Charlotte and much-improved Washington. The Pistons, when motivated and catching a less-than-elite foe in a slump and in an unfavorable situational spot, can hold its own. Note, too, that the Jazz are just 1-6 ATS the past seven times when facing an opponent with a winning percentage below .400.

Wunderdog

Brooklyn at Philadelphia
Pick: Brooklyn -5.5

Last season the Philadelphia 76ers were a playoff team. They thought they could live without Andre Iguodala, but they have now seen what an integral part of this team he was. The Sixers are just 1-11 in their last 12 games and lost yesterday at Orlando. They have taken on the look of a team that is just playing out the string. Brooklyn has begun a long needed run as they have taken their last three in resounding fashion. The Nets have won those last three by an average of 16.3 ppg and appear to be a team ready to go on a long run. They have played well on the road of late as they are 5-1 ATS in their last six. The Sixers have struggled mightily without rest, where they are a woeful 6-20 ATS in their last 26. Play this one on Brooklyn.

Bryan Power

Denver vs. Phoenix
Pick: Phoenix

I used the Suns Saturday night (a 10* release) as they upset the Rockets here at home. I followed that with a 2-0 Sunday sweep in the NBA and finished 7-2 this weekend in hoops. Back to this game, while Denver is a stronger opponent than Houston, I still feel the road team is overvalued here and I'll take the points as Phoenix looks to spring a second consecutive home upset......

The Nuggets have won eight straight and have covered the spread in the last five. They have averaged 111.3 PPG during the win streak and have emerged as a dark horse NBA Finals candidate, though we know the reality is they won't get there. With back to back home games coming up against more marquee opponents, New York and Memphis, don't be surprised to see the Nuggets overlook tonight's matchup. The Knicks represent a shot to play former teammate Carmelo Anthony while Memphis is the team they're battling with for home court advantage in the first round.

While Denver may have won four in a row on the road, they still have a losing record away from home on the season and are giving up 104.3 points per game. This includes a 110-100 loss here in Phoenix early in the year. As I mentioned in my writeup Saturday, Phoenix is a far more competitive team here at home where they've basically played .500 ball all season. I think they can easily stay within the number tonight. Laying this many points on the road, for any team, is dangerous territory.

Jimmy Boyd

Utah Jazz -9½

The Jazz have one of the best home court advantages in the NBA. They are 22-8 straight up at home and are facing a Detroit team that is really struggling right now having lost 8 of their last 9 games. Detroit has been horrible on the road with an 8-23 record allowing 101.2 points per game.

The Detroit Pistons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games against teams with a winning home record. They are also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 against Western Conference opponents. Utah is coming off a bad loss to New York and they are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after a loss by 10 or more points.

The Pistons have a long history of under-performing against Utah. They are 3-13 ATS in the last 17 head to head meetings between these teams. Utah finally received a day of rest after a four game road stretch and now it is Detroit who will be going through that same kind of agonizing run. The Pistons are playing in a back to back game after getting crushed by the Clippers last night. The well-rested home team is the smart play in this matchup.

Thunder at Spurs: What Bettors Need to Know
By Covers.com

Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs (-2.5, 208)

The battle for the top spot in the Western Conference takes center stage Monday night when streaking Oklahoma City invades San Antonio. The Thunder ran their winning streak to five with a 91-79 win over Boston on Sunday, pulling to within one game of the idle Spurs. Kevin Durant had 23 points and 11 rebounds as Oklahoma City improved to 28-4 at home. The Thunder won despite producing their lowest scoring output in nearly two months.

The Spurs were streaking as well as this much-anticipated matchup approached, but they laid an egg Friday against Portland. The 136-106 setback was the second-worst ever for San Antonio at home and the 136 points were the most all-time by a Spurs opponent at the AT&T Center. It was San Antonio's first loss in three games since losing All-Star point guard Tony Parker to an ankle injury. Five players scored in double figures but the Trail Blazers, unlike the Celtics against Oklahoma City, had no problem putting the ball in the basket, shooting 61.6 percent from the floor.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (47-16): The league's top offense was limited Sunday but more than made up for it by clamping down on the other end. Oklahoma City held Boston to 25 percent shooting in the second half and without a field goal for nearly six minutes at one point down the stretch. The Thunder also forced 19 turnovers, which led to 19 points. Russell Westbrook chipped in 15 points but had a season-low two assists in the win. Serge Ibaka, who had seven points and seven rebounds, recorded 25 points and a season high-tying 17 rebounds in a 107-93 victory over the Spurs at home on Dec. 17.

ABOUT THE SPURS (48-15): San Antonio is 3-1 thus far on its five-game homestand. They won the first three by an average of 31.7 points before suffering the 30-point loss to Portland. Overall, the Spurs are 4-3 after a 16-1 stretch that had vaulted them past the Thunder. The embarrassing setback on Friday may serve as a wake-up call. "Obviously, we'll try and learn from it. There will be a bunch of film session involved with this one," said PF Tim Duncan, who led San Antonio with 18 points and eight boards.

TRENDS:

* Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last six Monday games.
* Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning record.
* Thunder are 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Under is 9-1 in Spurs’ last 10 games playing on two days of rest.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Parker hit a buzzer-beater to give San Antonio an 86-84 win in the first meeting between the teams Nov. 1.

2. The Spurs have won the last five matchups with the Thunder at home.

3. The finale of the four-game season series is April 4 in Oklahoma City.

NBA Betting Preview
Sportspic.com

Denver Nuggets @ Phoenix Suns

When you scour several betting websites in an attempt to find good value, you might have to tread carefully here, but you'll probably want to stick with the team that's playing a better brand of basketball. You don't have to be a legal online sports betting genius in order to realize that the Nuggets are a poor road team, going 14-19 away from the Mile High City while loading up on home-court wins (27-3 entering Friday, March 8). Denver just doesn't establish the same pace it does at home, and the other thing to keep in mind is that the Nuggets - who are accustomed to playing at altitude - cannot benefit from playing in conditions that suit them. Phoenix - a team that beat the San Antonio Spurs on the road in late February - is certainly capable of pulling off what would be a slight (not substantial) upset. Yet, Denver is performing at a high level right now. The Nuggets have won seven straight games and have shaken off the doldrums that briefly affected them near the All-Star break. Yes, Denver is a different team on the road, but is Phoenix likely to take advantage of this fact? No. Pick the Nuggets here. Pick: Denver


New York Knicks @ Golden State Warriors

When you examine an online sports book, it's prudent to assess a fuller contextual situation as you ponder your next betting move. Yes, Golden State has wobbled over the past few weeks, but one must point out that New York had to play without Carmelo Anthony this past Thursday against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Surely, the Knicks would have played Anthony in such a high-profile game if it was at all possible, so as New York begins an extended road trip - due to the fact that Madison Square Garden will be reserved for the 2013 Big East Conference Basketball Tournament - the Knicks find themselves far less healthy than they'd like. Golden State should be able to get out in transition and run New York ragged. These teams played an even-steven game in New York a few weeks ago; the Warriors should get the edge in Oakland. Pick: Golden State

Monday's NBA Betting News and Notes
By Covers.com

Check out our betting notes on all five games in the NBA Monday:

Brooklyn Nets at Philadelphia 76ers (+5.5, 184.5)

The Sixers have seen their postseason hopes vanish after losing five straight and 12 of their last 13 games. Coach Doug Collins has experimented with his lineup over the last two games and given rare starts to guards Charles Jenkins and Damien Wilkins. The Nets have won three straight to move 2 1/2 games out of second place in the East. Brooklyn has held its last seven opponents under 100 points and limited the Hawks to just 14 second-quarter points on Saturday. The road team is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.

Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs (-2.5, 208.5)

The Thunder ran their winning streak to five with a 91-79 win over Boston on Sunday, pulling to within one game of the idle Spurs. The Spurs were streaking as well as this much-anticipated matchup approached, but they laid an egg Friday against Portland. The 136-106 setback was the second-worst ever for San Antonio at home and the 136 points were the most all-time by a Spurs opponent at the AT&T Center. The Spurs have won the last five matchups with the Thunder at home, but Oklahoma City is 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings overall.

Detroit Pistons at Utah Jazz (-9.5, 196)

Utah went 0-4 on its road trip to fall a half-game behind the surging Los Angeles Lakers for eighth place in the West. Utah's first three losses on the road trip were by a combined five points before it was blown out in New York on Saturday to fall to 1-7 in its last eight games. The Jazz have won 13 of the last 14 meetings with the Pistons and beaten them nine consecutive times in Salt Lake City. Detroit has dropped 14 straight road games to Western Conference opponents and is 1-5 ATS in its last six vs. Western foes.

Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns (+8.5, 209.5)

The Nuggets have ripped off eight straight victories to inch closer to the Los Angeles Clippers and Memphis Grizzlies in the battle for the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference. Denver, which won nine straight from Jan. 20-Feb. 9, had taken six consecutive meetings against the Suns before falling 110-100 in Phoenix on Nov. 12. The Nuggets have averaged 116.9 points in the last seven meetings with Phoenix and the over is 10-2 in their last 12 vs. Pacific opponents.

New York Knicks at Golden State Warriors (-3, 202.5)

The Golden State Warriors and New York Knicks could be without their two biggest stars when they meet in Oakland on Monday. Carmelo Anthony has missed the Knicks’ past three games with a sore and stiff right knee, and he’s listed as questionable as New York opens a five-game road trip against Western Conference opponents. All-Star forward David Lee missed the Warriors’ 103-93 loss to Milwaukee on Saturday, but he hopes to return against the Knicks. Golden State has won 15 of the last 20 meetings with New York and nine of the last 10 meetings in Oakland. The Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.

NBA Knicks vs. Warriors Picks & Predictions for Monday, March 11, 2013
By ATSSportsline.com

OAKLAND, CA (ATS Consultants) – Carmelo Anthony and David Lee might both missed tonight’s clash between the Knicks and Warriors at 10:30PM ET.

ODDS: Oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv have installed the Warriors as 2.5-point favorites versus the Knicks while the over/under total is currently sitting at 202. New York is 38-22 overall while Golden State is 35-29 overall.

LINE MOVEMENT: The Warriors opened as 3.5-point favorites but the spread has dropped to 2.5 at most online sports books. The total, meanwhile, opened at 203 but dropped to 202.

PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 61% of NBA public bettors currently favor the Warriors. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided to get the most updated public betting numbers.

NBA FREE PICK: Take Golden State. According to latest NBA trends, New York is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific. Golden State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Monday games, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Atlantic, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home and 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

The Knicks (36-22 SU, 30-28-2 ATS, 27-31-2 O/U) are coming off a 113-84 home win over Utah on Saturday giving 5.5. The Warriors (35-29 SU, 31-32-1 ATS, 39-24-1 O/U) have lost two straight including a 103-93 defeat at home to Milwaukee on Saturday giving 2.5. David Lee (18.9 points per game, 11.1 rebounds) missed the game due to a knee injury. He's expected to return while the Knicks' power forward Amare Stoudemire is out six-to-eight weeks with a right knee injury. With Stoudemire out, veteran Kenyon Martin is expected to get more minutes. The Warriors need this game as they are just one game ahead of Houston and two ahead of the Lakers for the final playoff spot in the West. Golden State has won 15 of the last 20 meetings in this series and nine of the last 10 in Oakland.

2013 NBA FREE PICK: GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS -2.5

Hollywood Sports

Knicks at Warriors
Prediction: Over

New York (38-22) looks to build off their 113-84 victory versus Utah on Saturday -- and they have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last contest. The Knicks have also played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. And while the Warriors are 20-9 on their home court this season, New York has played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Golden State (35-29) have lost two in a row after their 103-93 loss to Milwaukee on Saturday. The Warriors have played 14 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. Golden State has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total played with one day of rest. And in their last 5 games at home, the Warriors have played 4 of these games Over the Total. Take the Over in this one.

Dave Price

Phoenix Suns +9

The Nuggets are getting a little too much respect on the road where they are just 14-19 on the season. They are 3-4 in their last 7 road contests with only 1 of the wins coming by more than 7 points. The Suns have quietly won 4 of 6 with wins over the Spurs, Hawks and Rockets during this stretch. They have also had plenty of success at home against the Nuggets. They won the season's first meeting at home by 10 points and are 23-7 in their last 30 at home in the series. The home team is a terrific 20-7-1 ATS in the last 28 meetings. Plus, the Nuggets are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Phoenix. Take the points.