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pshinnamon
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Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 6463

NCAA BB Tier one Plays

Both of these plays qualify as a tier one but I'm treading lightly as both of these plays are 80% outright win plays for the other side. I'm playing the dog for half of the amount, and the other play I'm passing because the home team has an 80% chance of winning the game outright and is a dog at home. I'm posting for tracking purposes.

Idaho +9 New Mexico St is an 80% win % but they are a favorite so I'm playing for half of the amount that I usually play

College of Charleston -7 is a tier one play but they are a favorite playing an 80 % win outright chance so I'm passing.

Sides 89/62/2
Totals 28/27
Small Plays 4/3
Money Line @ -250 or less 9/0

Tier 1 17/8 losses
Tier 2 3/3 One pending
Tier 3 2/1
Tier system 22/1

Pete




Terpman

Old Post 02-07-13 01:39 PM
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cwin32
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Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 1952

Tough to go against the Tier 1 plays hitting at 67% so far...I guess lets 'hope' they lose so we can play them in GM 2

Good luck tonight

Old Post 02-07-13 03:59 PM
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pshinnamon
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Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 6463

That is what I'm doing. I am playing Idaho as they are getting 9 points, NM S can win but not cover.

Pete




Terpman

Old Post 02-07-13 04:25 PM
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pshinnamon
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Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 6463

Adding some money line plays

The following games have a 67% chance of winning out right
Hawaii -140
N. Arizona -195
N. Texas -135

The following games have a 77.5% chance of winning out right
Georgia Southern -155

The following games have an 80% chance of winning out right
Furman -115
Portland U. -135
Youngstown St -200

Idaho +9 New Mexico St is an 80% win % but they are a favorite so I'm playing for half of the amount that I usually play

College of Charleston -7 is a tier one play but they are a favorite playing an 80 % win outright chance so I'm passing.

Sides 89/62/2
Totals 28/27
Small Plays 4/3
Money Line @ -250 or less 9/0

Tier 1 17/8 losses
Tier 2 3/3 One pending
Tier 3 2/1
Tier system 22/1

Pete




Terpman

Old Post 02-07-13 04:40 PM
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pshinnamon
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Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 6463

Final Up date

The following games have a 67% chance of winning out right
Hawaii -140
N. Arizona -195
N. Texas -135
Oakland +4
Manhatten pick
Wofford +2


The following games have a 77.5% chance of winning out right
Georgia Southern -155
Idaho St +1

The following games have an 80% chance of winning out right
Furman -115
Portland U. -135
Youngstown St -200
Cal Santa Barbara -240

Idaho +9 New Mexico St is an 80% win % but they are a favorite so I'm playing for half of the amount that I usually play

College of Charleston -7 is a tier one play but they are a favorite playing an 80 % win outright chance so I'm passing.

Sides 89/62/2
Totals 28/27
Small Plays 4/3
Money Line @ -250 or less 9/0

Tier 1 17/8 losses
Tier 2 3/3 One pending
Tier 3 2/1
Tier system 22/1

Pete




Terpman

Old Post 02-07-13 09:23 PM
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pshinnamon
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 6463

Up Date

The following games have a 67% chance of winning out right
Hawaii -140 WIN
N. Arizona -195 WIN
N. Texas -135 LOSE
Oakland +4 WIN
Manhatten pick WIN
Wofford +2WIN


The following games have a 77.5% chance of winning out right
Georgia Southern -155 LOSE
Idaho St +1 LOSE

The following games have an 80% chance of winning out right
Furman -115 LOSE
Portland U. -135 WIN
Youngstown St -200 WIN
Cal Santa Barbara -240 LOSE

Idaho +9 New Mexico St is an 80% win % but they are a favorite so I'm playing for half of the amount that I usually play WIN

College of Charleston -7 is a tier one play but they are a favorite playing an 80 % win outright chance so I'm passing. LOSE

Sides 97/65/2
Totals 28/27
Small Plays 4/3
Money Line @ -250 or less 13/4

Tier 1 18/9
Tier 2 3/3 Two pending
Tier 3 2/1
Tier system 22/1

Pete




Terpman

Old Post 02-08-13 01:37 PM
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