I played each of the bowl games 20 times with the following results:
Arizona 14-6 over Nevada (29.9-25.5)
Utah State 17-3 over Toledo (32.5-15.1)
BYU 13-7 over San Diego State (20.5-14.1)
UCF 15-5 over Ball State (29.3-21.2)
La-Lafayette 12-8 over East Carolina (30.4-23.0)
Boise State 16-4 over Washington (21.8-9.8)
Fresno State 17-3 over SMU (27.1-10.3)
Western Kentucky 12-8 over Central Michigan (28.7-24.3)
San Jose State 14-6 over Bowling Green (24.0-17.2)
Cincinnati 18-2 over Duke (37.3-23.0)
Baylor 12-8 over UCLA (33.0-27.5)
La-Monroe 16-4 over Ohio (31.9-19.5)
Virginia Tech 18-2 over Rutgers (26.5-14.6)
Texas Tech 17-3 over Minnesota (34.5-15.6)
Air Force 11-9 over Rice (32.5-27.6)
Arizona State 15-5 over Navy (25.3-16.6)
West Virginia 12-8 over Syracuse (34.2-29.8)
Texas 14-6 over Oregon State (31.8-29.1)
TCU 12-8 over Michigan State (16.9-14.9)
Vanderbilt 18-2 over NC State (31.2-11.6)
USC 12-8 over Georgia Tech (31.1-27.8)
Tulsa 14-6 over Iowa State (22.0-15.9)
LSU 13-7 over Clemson (30.0-22.5)
Oklahoma State 17-3 over Purdue (33.0-19.8)
Northwestern 15-5 over Mississippi State (23.4-18.5)
Nebraska 12-8 over Georgia (28.4-28.4)
South Carolina 11-9 over Michigan (26.4-22.9)
Texas A&M 11-9 over Oklahoma (32.2-30.0)
Pittsburgh 16-4 over Mississippi (32.0-23.4)
Arkansas State 12-8 over Kent State (28.4-22.8)
Stanford 11-9 over Wisconsin (18.4-16.1)
Florida State 17-3 over Northern Illinois (31.0-21.0)
Florida 19-1 over Louisville (28.0-11.9)
Kansas State 12-8 over Oregon (29.4-23.9)
Alabama 20-0 over Notre Dame (26.6-13.4)
Nevada +9.5 vs Arizona (14-6)
Utah State -10 vs Toledo (12-8)
BYU -2.5 vs San Diego State (12-8)
UCF -7.5 vs Ball State (11-9)
East Carolina +6 vs La-Lafayette (11-8-1)
Boise State -5 vs Washington (14-6)
Fresno State -12.5 vs SMU (11-9)
Central Michigan +5 vs Western Kentucky (11-9)
Bowling Green +7.5 vs San Jose State (12-8)
Cincinnati -7.5 vs Duke (11-9)
Baylor Pk vs UCLA (12-8)
La-Monroe -7.5 vs Ohio (13-7)
Virginia Tech -2.5 vs Rutgers (15-5)
Texas Tech -12.5 vs Minnesota (13-7)
Air Force -1 vs Rice (11-9)
Arizona State/Navy NO LINE
West Virginia -4 vs Syracuse (10-9-1)
Texas +2 vs Oregon State (14-5-1)
TCU -2.5 vs Michigan State (11-9)
Vanderbilt -7 vs NC State (15-5)
Georgia Tech +10 vs USC (14-5-1)
Tulsa Pk vs Iowa State (14-6)
LSU -4 vs Clemson (11-8-1)
Purdue +16.5 vs Oklahoma State (13-7)
Northwestern +2.5 vs Mississippi State (15-5)
Nebraska +10 vs Georgia (16-4)
South Carolina -5.5 vs Michigan (10-10)
Oklahoma +4.5 vs Texas A&M (11-9)
Pittsburgh +3.5 vs Mississippi (17-3)
Arkansas State -4 vs Kent State (11-9)
Wisconsin +7 vs Stanford (10-7-3)
Florida State -13 vs Northern Illinois (10-10)
Florida -13.5 vs Louisville (11-9)
Kansas State +9.5 vs Oregon (17-3)
Alabama -10 vs Notre Dame (10-6-4)
Pittsburgh +3.5 vs Mississippi (17-3)
Kansas State +9.5 vs Oregon (17-3)
Nebraska +10 vs Georgia (16-4)
Virginia Tech -2.5 vs Rutgers (15-5)
Vanderbilt -7 vs NC State (15-5)
Northwestern +2.5 vs Mississippi State (15-5)
For those of you that are fairly new, his simulations last year were absolutely flaming. Obviously things can change, but I'm in win, lose or draw!! Thanks again!!
12/31 Vanderbilt at -9.5 or less
1/1 Northwestern as Pk or + anything
1/5 Pittsburgh at Pk or + anything
1/1 Nebraska at +7.5 or more
1/3 Kansas State at +7.5 or more
12/28 Virginia Tech only at -2.5 or less
These are not at 15-5 with the current lines, but will be if the lines move to:
12/29 Texas at +2.5 or more
12/31 Georgia Tech at +10.5 or more
Nevada at +10.5 or more (doubt it)
La-Monroe at -5.5 or less (doubt it)
Texas Tech at -10.5 or less (doubt it)
Any not listed would have to move in excess of 3 points + to get to 15-5.
do you have the record for those plays that didnt reach the 15-5 criteria? a poster mentioned that those plays were hot as well........thanks for sharing the system>>>GL :)
FINAL RESULTS FOR SIMULATIONS
10-0 ATS in games from New Year's Day to the championship
SU Winner 28-7
ATS Winner 19-11
13-7 or better 12-5
Wyoming +7 vs Temple (13-6-1) -- LOSER
Utah State -1 vs Ohio (10-8-2) -- LOSER
San Diego State -6 vs La-Lafayette (12-8) -- LOSER
Fla International -4 vs Marshall (11-8-1) -- LOSER
TCU -10 vs Louisiana Tech (10-9-1) -- LOSER
Arizona State +14.5 vs Boise State (15-5) -- LOSER
Nevada +7.5 vs Southern Miss (13-7) -- WINNER
Missouri -4.5 vs North Carolina (12-8) -- WINNER
Purdue -1.5 vs Western Michigan (15-5) -- WINNER
Notre Dame +3 vs Florida State (12-7-1) -- LOSER
Washington +8 vs Baylor (12-8) -- LOSER
Tulsa -2.5 vs BYU (15-5) -- LOSER
Rutgers +1.5 vs Iowa State (14-6) -- WINNER
Wake Forest +7 vs Mississippi State (10-9-1) -- WINNER
Oklahoma -14 vs Iowa (10-9-1) -- WINNER
Texas A&M -9.5 vs Northwestern (11-9) -- WINNER
Georgia Tech -1.5 vs Utah (13-7) -- LOSER
Illinois -3 vs UCLA (15-5) -- WINNER
Cincinnati +2 vs Vanderbilt (13-7) -- WINNER
Virginia +3 vs Auburn (16-4) -- LOSER
Houston -6.5 vs Penn State (13-7) -- WINNER
South Carolina -3 vs Nebraska (11-9) -- WINNER
Florida -3 vs Ohio State (13-7) -- WINNER
Michigan State +2.5 vs Georgia (13-7) -- WINNER
Stanford +5 vs Oklahoma State (11-7-2) -- WINNER
West Virginia +3 vs Clemson (15-5) -- WINNER
Arkansas -9.5 vs Kansas State (12-8) -- WINNER
SMU +3.5 vs Pittsburgh (17-3) -- WINNER
Northern Illinois +1.5 vs Arkansas State (13-7) -- WINNER
Alabama -1.5 vs LSU (15-5) -- WINNER
2009-2010 (13-7 or better was 11-5)
Clemson (-6.5) 19-1 over Kentucky -- WINNER
Missouri (-6.5) 16-4 over Navy -- LOSER
Air Force (+4.5) 16-4 over Houston -- WINNER
Central Michigan (-2.5) 16-4 over Troy -- WINNER
Pittsburgh (-1) 14-4-2 over North Carolina -- WINNER
Fresno State (-10) 15-5 over Wyoming -- LOSER
Northern Illinois (+6.5) 15-5 over South Florida -- LOSER
Michigan State (+9.5) 15-5 over Texas Tech -- LOSER
Middle Tennessee (+3.5) 14-6 over Southern Miss -- WINNER
Penn State (+2) 14-6 over LSU -- WINNER
UCLA (-4) 12-6-2 over Temple -- WINNER
Wisconsin (+3.5) 13-7 over Miami-FL -- WINNER
Stanford (+10) 13-7 over Oklahoma -- WINNER
Auburn (-9) 13-7 over Northwestern -- LOSER
Boise State (+7) 11-6-3 over TCU -- WINNER
Connecticut (+4) 12-7-1 over South Carolina -- WINNER
2008-09 (15-5 or better was 4-2)
Iowa -3.5 vs South Carolina (16-4) -- WINNER
Penn State +10 vs USC (15-4-1) -- LOSER
Florida -3 vs Oklahoma (15-4-1) -- WINNER
Arizona -3 vs BYU (14-4-2) -- WINNER
Notre Dame +1.5 vs Hawaii (15-5) -- WINNER
East Carolina -1.5 vs Kentucky (15-5) -- LOSER