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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
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Posts: 10543
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NBA
Dunkel
New York at LA Lakers
The Lakers look to take advantage of a New York team that is coming off a 94-91 win over Minnesota and is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games following a SU victory. LA is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 25
Game 501-502: Boston at Brooklyn (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 115.334; Brooklyn 120.810
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 5 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 3 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-3 1/2); Over
Game 503-504: New York at LA Lakers (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 117.854; LA Lakers 123.421
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 5 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 3 1/2; 214 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-3 1/2); Under
Game 505-506: Oklahoma City at Miami (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 124.891; Miami 130.093
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 5; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 3; 204
Dunkel Pick Miami (-3); Under
Game 507-508: Houston at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 116.663; Chicago 124.539
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 8; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 4; 197
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-4); Over
Game 509-510: Denver at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 120.841; LA Clippers 131.387
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-7); Under
NBA
Long Sheet
Tuesday, December 25
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BOSTON (13 - 13) at BROOKLYN (14 - 12) - 12/25/2012, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 70-99 ATS (-38.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEW YORK (20 - 7) at LA LAKERS (13 - 14) - 12/25/2012, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 42-61 ATS (-25.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 40-58 ATS (-23.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
LA LAKERS are 165-207 ATS (-62.7 Units) after a division game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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OKLAHOMA CITY (21 - 5) at MIAMI (18 - 6) - 12/25/2012, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 62-48 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 107-77 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 74-49 ATS (+20.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MIAMI is 96-127 ATS (-43.7 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HOUSTON (14 - 12) at CHICAGO (15 - 11) - 12/25/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CHICAGO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games this season.
CHICAGO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games first half of the season this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DENVER (15 - 13) at LA CLIPPERS (21 - 6) - 12/25/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
DENVER is 104-81 ATS (+14.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 64-98 ATS (-43.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NBA
Short Sheet
Tuesday, December 25
Boston at Brooklyn, 12:00 ET ESPN
Boston: 7-18 ATS away playing with same-season revenge
Brooklyn: 7-1 ATS off 4+ Unders
New York at LA Lakers, 3:00 ET ABC
New York: 27-10 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less
LA Lakers: 1-9 ATS at home off BB games scoring 100+ points
Oklahoma City at Miami, 5:30 ET ABC
Oklahoma City: 8-1 Under with a total of 200 to 209.5 points
Miami: 10-1 ATS at home off BB non-conference games
Houston at Chicago, 8:30 ET ESPN
Houston: 3-12 ATS away after playing as a home favorite
Chicago: 17-6 ATS at home playing with same-season revenge
Denver at LA Clippers, 10:35 ET ESPN
Denver: 2-11 ATS off a home win scoring 110+ points
LA Clippers: 16-3 ATS with a total of 200+ points
NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Tuesday, December 25
Hot Teams
-- Lakers won last four games, last two by 1-3 points (1-6 last seven as HF). New York won 11 of last 14 games (3-2 as AU).
-- Miami won its last four games, all by 11+ points (6-2 last eight HF). Thunder won 12 of last 13 games (7-2 SU on road, 0-0-1 as AU).
-- Rockets won five of last six games (1-5-1 last seven as AU). Chicago is 9-4 in its last 13 games (2-8 as HF).
-- Clippers won their last 13 games (5-1 last six HF). Denver won four of its last five games (5-4-1 as AU).
Cold Teams
-- Celtics lost four of last five games (1-4-2 as AU); Nets lost eight of last eleven (0-5 in last five as HF).
Totals
-- Last three Boston games went over the total; last four Brooklyn tilts stayed under.
-- Three of last four New York games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Thunder games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Chicago home games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last eight Clipper games stayed under the total.
Back-to-backs
-- Nets are 4-2 vs spread if they play again the next night.
-- Knicks are 4-2 vs spread if they play again the next night; Lakers are 0-5 in that situation.
-- Miami is 0-3 vs spread if it plays again the next night.
-- Rockets are 2-4 vs spread if they play again next nite. Chicago is 3-4.
-- Nuggets are 3-3 vs spread if they play again the next night.
NBA
Tuesday, December 25
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Trend Report
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12:00 PM
BOSTON vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Brooklyn is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
3:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. LA LAKERS
New York is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
New York is 2-9 SU in their last 11 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 15 of the LA Lakers last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of the LA Lakers last 17 games when playing at home against New York
5:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
Miami is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games at home
8:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. CHICAGO
Houston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
10:30 PM
DENVER vs. LA CLIPPERS
Denver is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Denver is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
LA Clippers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
LA Clippers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home
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Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-25-12 05:24 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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NBA
Tuesday, December 25
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Christmas NBA betting: What bettors need to know
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Boston Celtics at Brooklyn Nets (-3.5, 187.5)
The last time the Brooklyn Nets and Boston Celtics met on Nov. 28, there were three ejections in Brooklyn's 95-83 victory in Boston. While there might not be any ejections or shoving incidents in Tuesday's Christmas Day rematch at the Barclays Center, neither team is feeling cheerful about its quality of play since the night Rajon Rondo shoved Kris Humphires in retaliation for a hard foul on Kevin Garnett in the second quarter.
The Nets beat Boston twice in November during an 11-4 start that saw Avery Johnson win Eastern Conference coach of the month. Since then they have had to deal with a foot injury to Brook Lopez and comments from Deron Williams and Joe Johnson about the offense. As a result of those things, Brooklyn has won just eight of 11, though it halted a three-game losing streak with Sunday's 95-92 home win over Philadelphia by getting 22 points from Johnson. Boston has not been much better and since going a season-high three games over .500 on Dec. 12, it has dropped four of five and wasted a 35-point night from Paul Pierce in Friday's 99-94 overtime loss to Milwaukee.
TV: 12 p.m. ET, ESPN
ABOUT THE CELTICS (13-13): A key aspect of Boston's mediocre start has been the differences in their performances at home and on the road. While Friday snapped a five-game home winning streak, Boston is opening a four-game trip on a five-game road losing streak that has seen them average 89.6 points per game. The Celtics are also opening the trip following two of Pierce's best showings of the season. He has scored 75 points on 26-of-39 shooting. Boston will be trying to snap its skid with a slightly shorthanded bench as backup center Chris Wilcox will be out three to four weeks with a sprained ligament in his right thumb and reserve guard Leandro Barbosa will not join the team until Wednesday due to personal reasons.
ABOUT THE NETS (14-12): The Nets spent Monday's practice downplaying any lingering feelings about the incident in Boston, citing the fact that it took place nearly a month ago. “I think for our guys, I just think the game is so far back,” Avery Johnson said. “They’re gonna be aware of it. I don’t think they’ll back down from anybody, but I think they just wanna play basketball. As we’ve seen in the past, our guys, they’re pretty physically and mentally tough.” Humphries, whom Boston's Jason Terry called 'soft" after the incident, might not even play. He has started just five games this month but Sunday was not included in the rotation for the first time and is questionable for Tuesday with an abdominal injury.
New York Knicks at Los Angeles Lakers (-3.5, 214.5)
Star power will be on full display as the Los Angeles Lakers entertain the New York Knicks in a Christmas Day duel. The Lakers are finally healthy and able to put their four superstars - Pau Gasol, Dwight Howard, Steve Nash and Kobe Bryant - on the court together. They'll face a surging Knicks club led by early-season MVP candidate Carmelo Anthony, who has his team near the top of the Eastern Conference standings despite having to do without injured All-Star forward Amar'e Stoudemire.
The Lakers' sensational foursome struggled at times in its grand reunion Saturday, but managed to pull out a 118-115 overtime win over Golden State thanks to a 34-point, 10-rebound showing from Bryant. A Christmas Day victory will move Los Angeles back to the .500 mark - an important milestone for a team many believed was a shoe-in for a conference finals berth. New York was considered far from a sure thing in the East, but became the first team in the conference to reach 20 wins with a 94-91 triumph over Minnesota on Sunday.
TV: 3 p.m. ET, ABC
ABOUT THE KNICKS (20-7): New York may be rolling, but the players know there is room for improvement - particularly on defense, where the Knicks have had trouble matching their opponents' level of physicality. A loss to Chicago on Friday exposed New York in that regard, but the Knicks rebounded with a win over a physical Timberwolves team. "Both those teams do have guys that are very physical, and I think we haven't been at our best," said Knicks super-sub Steve Novak. "I feel like we haven't really played as well as we had defensively earlier in the season. But it's good to know that it's there; it's not like we lost it."
ABOUT THE LAKERS (13-14): Point guard Steve Nash made his return to the Los Angeles lineup Saturday after missing nearly two months with a broken bone in his leg. Head coach Mike D'Antoni wasn't shy about using his two-time NBA MVP, letting him rack up 41 minutes in the overtime victory. Nash said afterward he was surprised but satisfied with the steady diet of playing time. "To play 40 minutes after seven weeks was more than I could ask for," said Nash, who finished with 12 points and nine assists "I felt in a decent rhythm. I feel positive about it. I know it will be sore and painful but I'm used to that."
Oklahoma City Thunder at Miami Heat (-3, 204.5)
Fans will be treated to an NBA Finals rematch Tuesday - and it helps that both teams are playing great basketball. The Miami Heat host the Oklahoma City Thunder for the first time since clinching the NBA championship with a 121-106 victory just over six months earlier. Both teams have seen personnel changes but are playing as well as they did last season, with Miami holding a slim lead atop the Eastern Conference and the Thunder doing the same in the West.
Miami brings a four-game winning streak into the Christmas Day tilt, a run in which the Heat have been dominant on both sides of the ball. The club has averaged 105 points during the streak while allowing just 87 per contest. The Thunder are coming off a 99-93 defeat at the hands of the Minnesota Timberwolves that snapped their 12-game winning streak. Tuesday's game pits two of the league's early-season MVP candidates against one another, with LeBron James guiding the Heat against Kevin Durant and the Thunder.
TV: 5:30 p.m. ET, ABC
ABOUT THE THUNDER (21-5): The biggest difference between this year's team and the one that fell to the Heat in five games last spring is the absence of sixth-man-turned-superstar James Harden. Those who forecast tougher times following his departure have been proven wrong so far, with the defending Western Conference champions ranked second in the NBA at 105.1 points per game - just three-tenths behind Harden's new team, the Houston Rockets. Thunder reserve Kevin Martin - acquired in the blockbuster deal - has made up for the absence of Harden's bench scoring, averaging 15.7 points per game in just 29 minutes.
ABOUT THE HEAT (18-6): Miami had few weaknesses last season, but that didn't prevent the team from adding pieces over the summer. The arrivals of Ray Allen and Rashard Lewis on cap-friendly deals were the two most notable moves, and they've paid immediate dividends. The duo combines to average nearly three 3-pointers per game, vaulting the Heat into top spot in long-range efficiency at 41.1 percent after finishing 10th a season ago. Their ability to spread the floor has made scoring even easier for the high-powered Heat, who are shooting a league-best 49.8 percent from the field.
Houston Rockets at Chicago Bulls (-4, 198)
The NBA's most prolific offense clashes with one of the league's more impressive defenses Tuesday as the Houston Rockets visit Chicago for an encounter with the Bulls. Led by star acquisition James Harden, Houston is filling the net at a rate of 105.4 points per game. That high-octane attack will be put to the test against a Bulls team allowing just 91 points per contest. Both teams come in on impressive runs, with the Bulls victorious in nine of 13 and the Rockets winners of three straight.
Houston looked to be in flux prior to the arrival of Harden, who joins forces with fellow acquisition Jeremy Lin to form one of the most impressive backcourts in the league. The Rockets' recent run has the club back above the .500 mark for the season. Chicago posted back-to-back victories over Eastern Conference powers Boston and New York before stumbling against the Atlanta Hawks over the weekend. Houston has won two straight in the head-to-head series after dropping the previous five.
TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN
ABOUT THE ROCKETS (14-12): As impressive as Harden's scoring has been since coming over in a preseason trade with the Oklahoma City Thunder, his ability to facilitate has been just as remarkable. The shooting guard has looked like one of the league's best playmakers in each of the Rockets' last two games, dishing out seven assists in a 125-103 win over the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday and following it up with an eight-assist performance in a 121-96 victory over Memphis three nights later. Harden (5.4) and Lin (6.2) are one of only four sets of teammates averaging five or more assists.
ABOUT THE BULLS (15-11): Chicago's trademark defense has the team contending for top spot in the Central Division despite the absence of former league MVP Derrick Rose. Where they miss their superstar point guard is on the offensive end, where they haven't been able to make up for his scoring or playmaking. Chicago is averaging 3 1/2 fewer points than it did a season ago, and has managed an average of just 77.8 points in its last four defeats. That includes a 92-75 defeat in Atlanta on Saturday, a game that saw the Bulls score just 33 points in the second and third quarters combined.
Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Clippers (-7, 201)
The torrid Los Angeles Clippers attempt to run their franchise-record winning streak to 14 games when they host the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday. Los Angeles stretched its streak to 13 with a convincing road victory over the Phoenix Suns on Sunday to move within a half-game of the Oklahoma City Thunder for the NBA’s top record. Denver has won four of its last five games and is playing its league-high 20th road contest.
Nuggets guard Ty Lawson left Saturday’s victory over the Charlotte Bobcats with a left Achilles’ tendon injury but expects to play against the Clippers. Denver needs Lawson’s speed and veteran Andre Miller’s savvy instincts to contest Clippers star Chris Paul. “It will be a tough game,” Miller said. “They’ve got a good win streak going. We have four games in five nights. Hopefully, we can start off on a good note.” Los Angeles has held eight straight opponents to less than 43 percent from the field to set a franchise mark. The Clippers haven’t lost since falling to the New Orleans Hornets on Nov. 26.
TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN, Altitude (Denver), Prime Ticket (Los Angeles)
ABOUT THE NUGGETS (15-13): Denver’s interior game has been superb and the Nuggets have recorded NBA season-highs for points in the paint in back-to-back games. Denver had 74 points in the paint during Thursday’s loss to the Portland Trail Blazers and surpassed that with 78 two nights later against Charlotte. A surprise standout against the Bobcats was Kosta Koufos, who scored a season-high 16 points on 8-of-10 shooting. It marked the first time Koufos has led the Nuggets in scoring in his 86 games with the franchise. “I just played within the system, continued to play hard every possession,” Koufos said. “When the ball comes to me, I just try to finish.”
ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (21-6): Veteran guard Jamal Crawford has been a force off the bench and scored 22 points against the Suns to break out of a mini-slump that saw him score 10 or fewer points in four of the previous six games. He tallied a season-low five points on 2-of-12 shooting in Friday’s victory over the Sacramento Kings before bouncing back with an 8-of-12 shooting performance against Phoenix. “I didn’t do anything different,” said Crawford, one of the leading contenders for Sixth Man of the Year. “That’s the thing that’s humbling and weird about the NBA. You can do the exact same thing and shots go and sometimes they don’t.” Crawford is averaging 16.3 points.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-25-12 05:24 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Bulls, Clippers Host Christmas Night Games On ESPN
Houston Rockets at Chicago Bulls
NBA Betting Preview
Date: 12/25/2012 at 8:00 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Chicago -4, O/U 198
Television: ESPN
Houston Rockets: Houston (14-12 straight-up, 13-12-1 against the spread) has won and covered its last three games with the offense scoring a huge 118.3 points per game. James Harden (25.6 ppg) is now up to fourth in the league in scoring while the team is No. 1 (105.4 ppg). However, the Rockets have struggled overall on the road this year, going 3-7 SU and 3-6-1 ATS.
Chicago Bulls: The Bulls (15-11 SU, 10-16 ATS) return home after a short two-game road trip. They upset the Knicks 110-106 on Friday before losing 92-75 at Atlanta on Saturday. The team's record at home is just 3-11 ATS (8-6 SU) this season after winning (100-89) and covering versus Boston last Tuesday. The "under" is 11-3 in games at the United Center this year. The Rockets won the first meeting between the teams 93-89 on Nov. 21 as 1-point home favorites. They are 7-2 ATS in the last nine in the Windy City.
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Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Clippers
NBA Betting Preview
Date: 12/25/2012 at 10:30 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: LA -7, O/U 201
Television: ESPN
Denver Nuggets: The Nuggets (15-13 SU, 17-11 ATS) are coming off a 110-88 Saturday win over Charlotte as huge 15½-point favorites. They’re now 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in their last seven overall. Seven players scored in double digits last game, and this is a very balanced offensive attack that is averaging 102 ppg (ranked seventh).
Los Angeles Clippers: The Clippers (21-6 SU, 17-10 ATS) are the hottest team in basketball with a 13-game winning streak (9-4 ATS). Defense has been a primary reason with the "under" 4-0 in the last four (allowing 78.8 ppg) and 7-1 in the last eight overall. This is the first meeting between the Nuggets and Clippers this season. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four, and the "under" is 13-3 in the last 16 matchups in Los Angeles.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-25-12 05:27 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Inside the Paint - Wednesday
December 26, 2012
Holiday Hangover Wednesday’s pro basketball card is stacked with 13 games on the hardwood. Ten teams played on Christmas Day and seven of them will be forced to play two games in two nights. With that being said, let’s take a closer look at the clubs playing with no rest.
Chicago at Indiana
The Bulls will be looking to forget not one but two blowout losses on Wednesday. Last night, Chicago was run out of its own gym by Houston, 120-97. After losing their first two games of the season on zero days rest, the Bulls have won four straight when facing back-to-back spots and two of those victories have come on the road. The total has gone 3-3.
The Pacers nipped the Bulls 80-76 as four-point road underdogs on Dec. 4. It was an ugly game to watch and total players should be aware that the ‘under’ has gone 7-1 in the last eight meetings. The oddsmakers have taken notice by offering up a 176-point total for this matchup. Considering the Bulls had their worst defensive performance on Christmas, you’d expect a better effort here. Offensively, Chicago could be in trouble with Luol Deng (foot) listed as ‘questionable.’
Miami at Charlotte
As expected, Miami is laying serious wood in this spot and it’s hard to go against a team that has won and covered five straight, which included yesterday’s 103-97 home victory against Oklahoma City. You could play the letdown factor and fatigue should be considered as well. The Heat has only faced three back-to-back situations this season and they’ve won all three. However, the team is just 1-2 ATS and the wins came by a combined 11 points. Miami has won eight straight against Charlotte but has only covered four of those games. When installed as a double-digit favorite, which they are tonight, the Heat has gone 2-3 ATS.
In case you forgot over the holiday break, the Bobcats have lost 15 consecutive games and they’re only 4-11 ATS during this losing skid. If you expect Charlotte to snap out of it, you might want to look ahead, especially when you see its schedule (Nets, Cavs, Pistons, etc…). The Heat could be without Chris Bosh (eye) for tonight and the ‘Cats will miss center B.J. Mullens (ankle) and possibly Gerald Henderson (shin) and Ben Gordon (knee). If you don’t follow Charlotte, that’s a lot of firepower for them offensively.
Brooklyn at Milwaukee
Brooklyn will be looking to bounce back after it was humbled 93-76 by Boston as a 2 ½-point home favorite on Christmas. The Nets scored 24 points in the first quarter but were stifled to just 53 points in the final 36 minutes. After starting the season with an 11-4 record in November, the Nets have gone 3-9 in December and for our purposes, they’re a pathetic 2-10 versus the number. The Nets have struggled on zero days rest this season, posting a 2-4 record both SU and ATS. Unfortunately for Brooklyn, it has played five of these games on the road. The ‘under’ has gone 5-1 and it should be 6-0 if it wasn’t for some late hoops in a mid-November loss to Golden State (93-102), which barely went ‘over’ the closing number of 194 ½.
Normally, Milwaukee has been a good team to back at home but the club is only 7-6 SU and 5-8 ATS this season. The total is hovering around 187 and both Brooklyn (17-9) and Milwaukee (15-10) have been ‘under’ teams. We do have a lot of new faces for both clubs but it’s really hard to ignore the fact that the Bucks have won and covered 12 straight against the Nets. Most books opened Milwaukee as a 2 ½-point home favorite and it’s already climbed up to 3 at most shops.
Houston at Minnesota
The Rockets proved once again that they’re a “Make or Miss” team on Christmas and fortunately for them, they made plenty of buckets. Houston dismantled Chicago 120-97 and the final score wasn’t that close. In their 15 wins this season, the team has scored 100 points or more in 12 of them. If you bet the Rockets, you better hope they shoot the ball well. Similar to Brooklyn, the Rockets have struggled in back-to-back contests. The Rockets are 2-4 both SU and ATS, but they did notch an impressive 109-96 win at New York when facing the situation the last time out. Even though Houston likes to push the pace, the ‘under’ has connected at a 67% (4-2) mark on zero days rest.
In last year’s lockout-shortened season and Minnesota won and covered three of the four encounters. The ‘over’ went 3-1 during this span. The Timberwolves aren’t an easy out at home. After starting 3-3 at Target Center, the club has won five straight (4-1) on their court.
New York at Phoenix
The Knicks had a chance to knock off the Lakers yesterday but their offense went missing in the fourth quarter (16 points) which led to their 100-94 road loss. New York heads to the desert and this particular team has been tough to figure out on zero days rest. They’re 3-3 both SU and ATS, which is pretty good considering five of those games were on the road. Despite the fatigue factor, New York has played up-tempo and is averaging 104.8 PPG. Those numbers have helped the ‘over’ go 5-1 in the six games.
New York held off Phoenix 106-99 on Dec. 2 in an early afternoon affair but failed to cover as an 11 ½-point favorite. The ‘over’ barely cashed over the closing number of 200. The Suns are catching points here and they’ve produced a 3-4 record both SU and ATS as home ‘dogs.
L.A. Lakers at Denver
Los Angeles earned the solid home win (100-94) over the Knicks on Christmas while the Nuggets were beat by the Clippers (100-112) on the same court a few hours later. This will be the fifth back-to-back spot of the season for the Lakers and none of the games have been played at Staples Center. Los Angeles has been hit or miss in these situations, going 2-2 both SU and ATS, with all four of the outcomes being decided by double digits. The total has gone 2-2.
Just like the Lakers, Denver hasn’t played at home on zero days rest, this being its first of the season. The Nuggets have gone 2-4 in back-to-back spots but that record is misleading. Denver is 5-1 ATS over this span and three of the losses have been by three points or less. Coincidentally, the worst loss came to the Lakers (103-122) when they met on Nov. 30 from Staples Center. Total players have watched the ‘over’ go 5-1 for Denver on zero days rest. The Lakers beat the Nuggets 4-3 in the first round of last year’s playoffs. Los Angeles was 1-2 both SU and ATS in the two games played in Colorado, the losses both coming by double digits.
Denver is favored for this matchup and it should be. The Nuggets are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS from the Pepsi Center and the lone loss came to the Miami Heat, arguably the best team in the league. Even though the Lakers have won five straight, the road record (5-8) isn’t something to forget so quickly.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-26-12 10:27 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Wednesday, December 26
Hot Teams
-- Miami won its last five games (3-5 as AF).
-- Pacers won six of their last seven games (7-3 as HF).
-- Milwaukee won six of last nine games (8-3 vs spread after a loss).
-- Grizzlies won four of last five games (8-4-1 as HF).
-- Rockets won last four games, all by 13+ points (4-5-1 as AU).
-- Raptors won their last five games (6-8 as AU). San Antonio won its last six home games (7-4-1 as HF).
-- Nuggets won its last six home games (6-2 as HF). Lakers won last five games, with four wins by 6 or less points (1-3 as AU).
-- Warriors won 11 of last 15 games (7-2-2 as AU).
-- Portland won five of its last six games (2-5-1 as HF).
Cold Teams
-- Washington lost its last seven games (2-9 SU at home). Cavaliers lost 11 of last 13 games (1-16 SU on road).
-- Bobcats lost their last 15 games (covered one of last six).
-- Hornets lost last 11 games (covered four of last five on road). Orlando lost its last two games, scoring 90-93 points (2-3 as HF).
-- Chicago lost three of its last five games (3-4 as AU).
-- Pistons lost 8 of last 11 games, but won the last two, both vs Wizards (5-9 as AU). Atlanta lost three of last five games (2-7-1 as HF).
-- Brooklyn lost four of its last five games (4-4 as AU).
-- 76ers lost six of last seven games (4-5 as AU).
-- Timberwolves lost three of last four games (6-1-1 as HF).
-- Jazz lost four of last six games (5-4 as HF).
-- Knicks lost three of last five games (5-2 vs spread after a loss, 1-5 in last six as AF). Phoenix lost nine of last 13 games (3-3 as HU).
-- Kings lost six of their last eight games (5-7 as AU).
Totals
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Washington games.
-- Six of last seven Miami games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last ten Orlando games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Indiana games went over the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Detroit games.
-- Last five Brooklyn games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Philly's last eight games; seven of last eight Memphis games stayed under.
-- Last three Minnesota games stayed under total; last three Houston games all went over.
-- Six of last eight Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Denver home games stayed under total.
-- Last five Golden State games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Phoenix games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Portland games stayed under the total.
Back-to-backs
-- Heat is 1-2 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Bulls are 4-3 vs spread if they played night before, 3-1 if they lost.
-- Nets are 1-4 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Houston is 2-4 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Denver is 4-1-1 vs spread if it played night before (all on road). Lakers are 2-2-1 vs spread if they played night before (all on road).
-- Knicks are 2-3 vs spread on road if they played night before.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-26-12 10:33 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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NBA
Wednesday, December 26
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NBA game of the day: Lakers at Nuggets
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Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets (7, 204.5)
The Los Angeles Lakers have achieved the first of their many goals for the remainder of the season. Next up is a victory over the host Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Los Angeles made a triumphant return to the .500 mark on Christmas Day, getting 34 points from Kobe Bryant and 11 assists from Steve Nash in a come-from-behind win over the New York Knicks. The Lakers have won five straight but will be in tough to extend that run against a Nuggets team sporting an 8-1 home record.
Denver is in the midst of four games in five days, and it kicked off the grueling stretch with a 112-100 loss to the red-hot Los Angeles Clippers. The Nuggets were done in by a 42-point second quarter as they fell for just the second time in the last six games. Considered one of the early-season contenders for a top-four seed in the Western Conference, Denver has lacked the consistency of front-runners Oklahoma City, San Antonio and Memphis and are struggling on the defensive end.
TV: 9 p.m. ET, Time Warner SportsNet (Los Angeles), Altitude (Denver)
ABOUT THE LAKERS (14-14): Much has been made about the struggles of the Lakers' offense despite the addition of two star free agents in Nash and Dwight Howard and a new head coach in Mike D'Antoni. Yet, while it remains to be seen how the Lakers' loaded lineup will jell on the offensive end, it has shown flashes of stardom on defense. Los Angeles limited the Carmelo Anthony-led Knicks to just 14 fourth-quarter points, allowing Bryant and Nash to pull out the victory. With three defensive stalwarts on the roster in Bryant, Howard and Metta World Peace, Los Angeles is a tough team for most opposing scorers to face.
ABOUT THE NUGGETS (15-14): Teams have figured out that one of the best ways to handle the Denver defense is to fire away from beyond the arc. The Nuggets are fifth-worst in the NBA in 3-point shooting percentage against, and the Clippers exploited that weakness by connecting on 11 of 25 attempts in their Christmas Day victory. Denver continues to roll along offensively despite Danilo Gallinari's recent struggles. The Italian forward is mired in a horrible slump, having made just six of his last 31 shot attempts - highlighted by a 1-for-10 clunker against the Clippers, his second such effort in three games.
TRENDS:
* Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a win.
* Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.
* Over is 7-1 in Lakers’ last eight vs. NBA Northwest foes.
* Over is 4-0 in Nuggets’ last four vs. NBA Pacific opposition.
BUZZER BEATERS:
1. The Lakers have dominated the head-to-head series of late, eliminating Denver from the 2012 playoffs and cruising to a 122-103 victory in their first meeting this season.
2. Denver is 3-12 when allowing 100 or more points.
3. Bryant averages 24.8 points in 55 career regular-season games against the Nuggets.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-26-12 10:36 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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NBA
Long Sheet
Wednesday, December 26
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NEW ORLEANS (5 - 22) at ORLANDO (12 - 15) - 12/26/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 162-124 ATS (+25.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-0 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CHICAGO (15 - 12) at INDIANA (16 - 12) - 12/26/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
CHICAGO is 57-39 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-6 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 9-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CLEVELAND (6 - 23) at WASHINGTON (3 - 22) - 12/26/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 74-97 ATS (-32.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 61-82 ATS (-29.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 38-67 ATS (-35.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 285-354 ATS (-104.4 Units) in home games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MIAMI (19 - 6) at CHARLOTTE (7 - 20) - 12/26/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 32-60 ATS (-34.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 31-54 ATS (-28.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 18-38 ATS (-23.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DETROIT (9 - 21) at ATLANTA (16 - 9) - 12/26/2012, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PHILADELPHIA (13 - 15) at MEMPHIS (18 - 7) - 12/26/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 106-82 ATS (+15.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BROOKLYN (14 - 13) at MILWAUKEE (14 - 12) - 12/26/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in December games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 7-0 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 7-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HOUSTON (15 - 12) at MINNESOTA (13 - 12) - 12/26/2012, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TORONTO (9 - 19) at SAN ANTONIO (21 - 8) - 12/26/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 67-38 ATS (+25.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 55-28 ATS (+24.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 35-14 ATS (+19.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 128-96 ATS (+22.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points since 1996.
TORONTO is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEW YORK (20 - 8) at PHOENIX (11 - 17) - 12/26/2012, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LA LAKERS (14 - 14) at DENVER (15 - 14) - 12/26/2012, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 8-7 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 9-6 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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GOLDEN STATE (18 - 10) at UTAH (15 - 14) - 12/26/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-4 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SACRAMENTO (9 - 18) at PORTLAND (13 - 13) - 12/26/2012, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 6-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-5 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-26-12 10:38 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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NBA
Short Sheet
Wednesday, December 26
New Orleans at Orlando, 7:05 ET
New Orleans: 29-17 ATS in road games
Orlando: 7-17 ATS in a home game where the total is between 180 and 189.5
Chicago at Indiana, 7:05 ET
Chicago: 26-10 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite
Indiana: 8-20 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread
Cleveland at Washington, 7:05 ET
Cleveland: 16-6 ATS in road games after playing a road game
Washington: 31-48 ATS after playing a home game
Miami at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Miami: 9-1 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games
Charlotte: 6-16 ATS after playing a game as an underdog
Detroit at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
Detroit: 24-10 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days
Atlanta: 8-26 ATS in home games after playing a game as a home favorite
Philadelphia at Memphis, 8:05 ET
Philadelphia: 11-3 Over after 1 or more consecutive losses
Memphis: 43-20 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog
Brooklyn at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET
Brooklyn: 2-10 ATS in December
Milwaukee: 28-12 ATS against Atlantic division opponents
Houston at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
Houston: 10-1 ATS after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games
Minnesota: 15-36 ATS off a close road loss of 3 points or less
Toronto at San Antonio, 8:35 ET
Toronto: 15-30 ATS off a close home win by 3 points or less
San Antonio: 15-4 ATS after a division game
New York at Phoenix, 9:05 ET NBATV
New York: 53-32 ATS after playing a road game
Phoenix: 8-24 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent
LA Lakers at Denver, 9:05 ET
LA Lakers: 18-33 ATS in road games
Denver: 36-19 ATS after playing a road game
Golden State at Utah, 9:05 ET
Golden State: 13-4 ATS in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5
Utah: 8-21 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games
Sacramento at Portland, 10:05 ET
Sacramento: 18-36 ATS in road games after a game with 30 or more assists
Portland: 22-10 ATS in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 ATS
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-26-12 10:40 PM |
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