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CNOTES
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Tuesday Tips
December 3, 2012
The Tuesday NBA card showcases several Western Conference teams that are looking to make moves heading into the quarter-season mark. The Lakers hit the road for their first substantial trip of the season starting in Houston, while the Grizzlies return home following Saturday's overtime setback at San Antonio. We'll start in Brooklyn with the Thunder attempting to stay on fire at Barclays Center.
Thunder at Nets - 7:35 PM EST
The defending Western Conference champions are rolling right now with wins in eight of the last nine games, while covering eight times. Oklahoma City's offense can't be stopped by eclipsing the 100-point mark in nine consecutive contests, as the 'over' has been cashed six times. The Thunder wraps up a two-game road trip against a Nets' club that is returning to Brooklyn after a successful 2-1 SU/ATS mark on the highway.
The Nets beat the Celtics and Magic by double-digits, but came up lame in the finale at Miami, 102-89. Brooklyn backers felt pretty good as eight-point underdogs with a 14-point advantage in the first half. However, the Heat limited the Nets to just 30 points in the second half to grab the home cover. Brook Lopez missed his second straight game with a lingering foot injury, as the Brooklyn center is likely 'out' again on Tuesday.
Oklahoma City owns the second best ATS record in the league (12-5-1) behind Memphis, while leading Denver by five games in the Northwest Division. The Thunder faces a Nets' squad that has compiled a 7-1 SU and 5-1-2 ATS at Barclays Center, as OKC is 5-2 SU and 4-2-1 ATS on the highway. Scott Brooks' team has won six consecutive meetings with the Nets, including each of the last three at New Jersey.
Suns at Grizzlies - 8:05 PM EST
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Memphis picked up another ATS win on Saturday, but blew a 15-point lead in an overtime setback at San Antonio as six-point underdogs. The Grizzlies return to FedEx Forum seeking their ninth home victory in 10 tries, while holding all nine opponents to less than 100 points ('under' is 6-3). Phoenix concludes a six-game trip, as the Suns have won just once in their first five on this voyage.
The most recent defeat for Alvin Gentry's club came in a Sunday matinee at New York, 106-99, but the Suns cashed as 11 ½-point underdogs. The loss dropped Phoenix to 2-8 away from the Valley, while the Suns have put together one of the worst ATS records by covering just six of 18 times. Phoenix did have success against Memphis last season, taking two of three meetings, both as a home 'dog.
The Grizzlies have won and covered in both games following a loss, while hitting the 'under' in six of the last seven contests overall. In three games as a double-digit favorite, Memphis has cashed two of three times, as the Grizzlies were bailed out by a late three-pointer to receive a front-door cover against the Pistons last Friday.
Lakers at Rockets - 8:05 PM EST
Los Angeles has no doubt been the biggest disappointment through the first month of the season at 8-9, as the Lakers begin their first extended road trip of the season. The Purple and Gold ended a three-game homestand with a humiliating loss to Dwight Howard's old squad as the Magic upset the Lakers as 13-point underdogs.
The first time the Lakers faced the Rockets, L.A. grabbed a 119-108 victory at Staples Center as seven-point favorites. The Lakers ran all over Houston in the first half, putting up 68 points in the first 24 minutes, while easily clinching the 'over' of 205. The Rockets allowed 54% shooting from the floor, as Howard torched Houston for 28 points and 13 rebounds.
Houston has played extremely well at the Toyota Center recently by winning five consecutive home contests. The Rockets have covered against several of the top teams in the East at home by picking up ATS wins over the Knicks, Bulls, and Heat. The key to Houston's success is their outside shooting, as James Harden and Chandler Parsons have helped lead the Rockets to 'overs' in eight of the last 10 games overall.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-04-12 05:38 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Mavs Open Road Trip Against Clippers On Wednesday
Denver Nuggets at Atlanta Hawks
Date: 12/5/2012 at 8:00 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Atlanta -2, O/U 198
Television: ESPN
Denver Nuggets: Denver (9-9 straight-up, 10-8 against the spread) ended a three-game losing streak on Monday with a 113-110 home win over Toronto. That was as 10½-point favorites, making the Nuggets 0-3 ATS in their last three. The "over" is 4-0 in the team’s last four games (surrendering 110.8 points per game) and 7-1 in its last eight road games overall.
Atlanta Hawks: Atlanta (9-5 SU, 5-9 ATS) is well-rested having last played on Friday. That was a 113-111 home loss to Cleveland as 8½-point favorites, snapping a six-game winning streak. Starting guard Kyle Korver (back) missed last game and is questionable for Wednesday (click to check updated NBA injury report). The Hawks are just 1-7 ATS at home this year despite going 5-3 SU. They’re 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in their last four against Denver, with the latest coming in March (a 118-117 overtime loss).
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Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers
NBA Betting Preview
Date: 12/5/2012 at 10:30 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: LA -9, O/U 199
Television: ESPN
Dallas Mavericks: Dallas (8-9 SU, 7-10 ATS) starts a three-game road trip on Wednesday that continues in Phoenix and Houston. The road hasn’t been kind to the Mavericks this year at 2-6 SU (3-5 ATS). The "under" is 5-1 in their last six away and road scoring overall this year (93.3 ppg) is much lower than in Big D (103.8 ppg).
Los Angeles Clippers: The Clippers (11-6 SU, 9-8 ATS) have won three straight after a 105-104 decision at Utah on Monday. However, that was a failure to cover as 2-point favorites, making Los Angeles 1-6 ATS in its last seven. The "over" is 5-0 in the last five for the Clips, with 197 points the highest total listed. This is the first meeting between Dallas and the Clippers this season. L.A. is 2-1 SU and ATS in the last three matchups after going 0-7 SU and ATS in the previous seven.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-05-12 06:07 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Hoop Trends - Wednesday
December 5, 2012
ATS TREND OF THE DAY:
-- The Pistons are 0-11 ATS (-7.4 ppg) since March 07, 2009 after a double digit win in which they allowed less than 40% from the field.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
-- The Cavaliers are 10-0 OU (19.6 ppg) since December 08, 1995 with at most one day of rest after a double digit loss in which they shot at least twenty three-pointers and made less than a 25% of them.
PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:
-- The Cavaliers are 11-0 ATS (10.1 ppg) since March 19, 2008 at home after a loss on the road in which Anderson Varejao had more turnovers than assists.
CHOICE TREND:
-- The Nuggets are 10-0 ATS (10.0 ppg) since December 29, 2010 with at most one day of rest off a win in which their leading scorer for that game had fewer than 20 points.
ACTIVE TRENDS:
-- The Spurs are 8-0 ATS (11.8 ppg) since January 05, 2012 at home after a win at home in which Tim Duncan had a double double.
-- The Jazz are 10-0-1 ATS (7.5 ppg) since January 26, 2007 as a home favorite with at most one day of rest after a game at home in which they shot at least 55% from the
DAILY ANGLE
-- When a team wins twice as an away dog, they become a good fade if they are a dog for a third time. In Database history, this trend is 108-69-3 ATS (1.2 ppg - 61.0%). Notice that in either case this on is a winner, but the third road stand is the toughest for the dog. Active with Utah against Orlando.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-05-12 06:10 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Wednesday Tips
December 4, 2012
Wednesday's NBA card takes center-stage in the betting community with 11 games on tap. Three of the more intriguing matchups involves interconference foes hooking up, while the Mavericks and Clippers close the night at Staples Center. We'll begin in Atlanta with the rested Hawks battling a road-weary Denver squad.
Nuggets at Hawks - 8:05 PM EST
Denver is playing in its fifth city and third different time zone since last Monday, as the Nuggets embark on a five-game road trip. George Karl's club slid by the Raptors two days ago at the Pepsi Center as 10 ½-point favorites in a 113-110 victory. The Nuggets have allowed at least 100 points in four straight games, all resulting in the 'over.' A lower-scoring contest may be on tap in Atlanta, facing a Hawks' team that is giving up 93.5 points per game.
Atlanta's six-game winning streak came to a screeching halt last Friday in a 113-111 home defeat to Cleveland as 8 ½-point 'chalk. The Hawks squandered an 11-point halftime lead, while giving up at least 100 points in regulation for just the second time this season. Larry Drew's club owns a dreadful 0-6 ATS mark as a favorite at Philips Arena, but the Hawks won four of those games straight-up.
The Nuggets are just 4-8 SU and 6-6 ATS on the highway, as two of those covers came as an underdog of at least seven points at Memphis and Miami. The 'over' is profiting for Denver on the road, posting an 8-2 mark the last 10 games away from the Pepsi Center. Denver has claimed five of the last six meetings with Atlanta, including an overtime thriller at home last season, 118-117.
Bucks at Spurs - 8:35 PM EST
Milwaukee continues its road swing through the Southwest Division with a matchup against a San Antonio squad that has been off four three days. The Spurs returned home from their 5-1 SU/ATS away trip to rally past the Grizzlies on Saturday night in overtime, while improving to 14-4 on the season. The Bucks head to the Alamo coming off a disappointing setback on Monday at New Orleans.
Scott Skiles' club has struggled in the role of a favorite this season, posting a 3-5 ATS record when laying points. The most recent loss came to a struggling Hornets' squad in a 102-81 loss, the sixth straight game Milwaukee has been limited to 93 points or less. The Bucks are currently riding a six-game 'under' streak, but three of the last four trips to the AT&T Center have resulted in an 'over.'
San Antonio has burned cash recently at home by failing to cover in three of the last four, while losing outright to the Clippers and Knicks in this stretch. The Spurs are going in an opposite direction of the Bucks in the totals department by eclipsing the 'over' in six of the previous seven games, as the overtime win over Memphis amazingly stayed 'under.'
Magic at Jazz - 9:05 PM EST
Orlando has caught fire on its West Coast swing with outright victories as large 'dogs against the Lakers and Warriors. The Magic is riding an impressive 4-1 ATS run away from central Florida, as the trip continues in Salt Lake City against a banged-up Jazz squad. Utah is without several key members of its frontcourt as Marvin Williams (concussion) and Derrick Favors (foot) remain sidelined, while the Jazz try to get on track following Monday's meltdown.
The Clippers stunned the Jazz, 105-104, but failed to cover as two-point road favorites. However, Utah threw away a 14-point lead in spite of shooting 57% from the floor. The loss was the first in seven home contests for Tyrone Corbin's squad, while the Jazz have now dropped three consecutive games for the first time this season. Utah takes care of business as home favorite with a 4-2 ATS mark, as the two ATS losses came in two-point victories over Denver and Sacramento.
The Magic broke a 69-69 tie by outscoring the Warriors, 33-25 in the final quarter of Monday's 102-94 triumph as 9 ½-point road 'dogs. Arron Afflalo, Glen Davis, and J.J. Redick each scored at least 22 points at Golden State, one night after Orlando shot 50% and put up 40 points in the final quarter in an upset of Los Angeles. Even though many of the faces have changed, the Magic looks to snap a three-game skid at Utah, which was capped off by an unbelievable front-door cover by the Jazz in overtime as 9 ½-point favorites this past April.
Mavericks at Clippers - 10:35 PM EST
Los Angeles is getting hot at the moment with three consecutive victories, fresh off the massive rally at Utah on Monday. The Clips are in the midst of five straight 'overs,' taking on a Mavs' squad that has been held to less than 100 points in four consecutive contests. Dallas plays six of its next seven games away from American Airlines Center, as the Mavs own a dreadful 2-6 record on the highway.
Rick Carlisle's club lost each of the last two games on a mini road swing through Philadelphia and Chicago, while allowing at least 100 points in all six road defeats. The Mavs snapped a three-game skid with an impressive second half effort in a 92-77 home rout of the Pistons, giving up just 29 points to an unrested Detroit team.
All three meetings between Dallas and Los Angeles last season were relatively low-scoring contests, each finishing 'under' the total. The Clippers have struggled in the role of a heavy favorite, putting together a 1-4 ATS record when laying at least seven points. The lone victory came on Saturday in a blowout of Sacramento, 116-81 as 12 ½-point 'chalk.' Vinny Del Negro's team is struggling against the number of late by cashing just once in the last six games.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-05-12 06:12 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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NBA
Long Sheet
Wednesday, December 5
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PORTLAND (8 - 10) at INDIANA (9 - 9) - 12/5/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 126-87 ATS (+30.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-0 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 2-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEW YORK (12 - 4) at CHARLOTTE (7 - 9) - 12/5/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 95-74 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 29-52 ATS (-28.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MINNESOTA (8 - 8) at BOSTON (9 - 8) - 12/5/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 95-126 ATS (-43.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DENVER (9 - 9) at ATLANTA (9 - 5) - 12/5/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
DENVER is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 56-37 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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GOLDEN STATE (10 - 7) at DETROIT (6 - 13) - 12/5/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 91-131 ATS (-53.1 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
DETROIT is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 2-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LA LAKERS (8 - 10) at NEW ORLEANS (5 - 11) - 12/5/2012, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 7-6 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 11-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CHICAGO (8 - 8) at CLEVELAND (4 - 14) - 12/5/2012, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 8-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MILWAUKEE (8 - 8) at SAN ANTONIO (14 - 4) - 12/5/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 61-33 ATS (+24.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 49-25 ATS (+21.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 2-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ORLANDO (7 - 10) at UTAH (9 - 10) - 12/5/2012, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-0 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TORONTO (4 - 14) at SACRAMENTO (4 - 12) - 12/5/2012, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 2-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 2-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DALLAS (8 - 9) at LA CLIPPERS (11 - 6) - 12/5/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 268-214 ATS (+32.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 252-198 ATS (+34.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 64-40 ATS (+20.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 62-89 ATS (-35.9 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-05-12 06:15 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Wednesday, December 5
Hot Teams
-- Pacers won five of last seven games (3-2 as HF). Portland won its last two games, scoring 118 points both games, but they're 1-6 vs spread in last seven road games.
-- Knicks won last three games, by 14-21-7 points (3-3 as AF).
-- Minnesota won three of last four games, covering all four (6-3 AU).
-- Hawks won six of last seven games (1-7 vs spread at home).
-- Detroit won its last five home games (2-3 as HF). Warriors won five of last seven games (4-2-2 vs spread on road).
-- Spurs won six of last seven games (1-3 last four as HF).
-- Magic beat Lakers/Warriors to start this road trip; they covered four of last five away games.
-- Clippers won last three games, but covered only one of last seven.
Cold Teams
-- Bobcats lost last four games (3-4 as HU).
-- Celtics are 4-5 in last nine games (2-4-1 as HF).
-- Denver lost three of last four games (6-4 vs spread last 10 on road).
-- Lakers lost five of their last seven games (1-3 as AF). Hornets lost seven of last nine games (1-5 last six as HU).
-- Cleveland lost six of last seven games (3-3 vs spread at home). Bulls are 6-8 in last 14 games, covering once in last four on road.
-- Bucks lost six of last eight games (4-1 as AU).
-- Utah lost last three games, by 12-8-1 point (4-2 as HF).
-- Raptors lost seven of last eight games (5-3 vs spread in last eight on the road). Sacramento lost last three games, scoring 89-92-81 points.
-- Mavericks lost three of last four games (3-4 as AU).
Totals
-- Five of last seven Indiana games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Knick games, six of last eight Charlotte games went over the total.
-- Last three Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Denver games went over the total.
-- Last three Golden State games went over the total; last four Detroit games stayed under.
-- Four of last five New Orleans games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Milwaukee ganes stayed under the total. Over is 7-2-1 in last ten San Antonio games.
-- Five of last six Orlando games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Toronto games went over the total.
-- Eight of last 12 Dallas games stayed under the total; four of last five Clipper games went over.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-05-12 06:16 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Bank shots: NBA betting news and notes
Each week, we look back on the NBA betting scene and give you the best –and worst – basketball bets, as well as some spots to keep an eye on with the upcoming schedule.
For the week of Nov. 25-Dec. 1
Hottest ATS team
Oklahoma City Thunder – This week: 4-0 ATS, Season: 12-5-1
Oklahoma City has the third-best ATS record in the league and has covered in its last five games. The Thunder hit the road for a date with the Nets in Brooklyn on Tuesday before returning to Chesapeake Energy Arena for a five-game homestand.
Coldest ATS team
Orlando Magic – This week: 0-3 ATS, Season: 6-8-1
The Magic had a tough schedule this past week, blowing covers in three straight games to the Celtics, Spurs and Nets. To make matters worse, PG Jameer Nelson missed Friday’s loss because of an Achilles injury. The Magic have another tough week ahead of them with road dates in Golden State, Utah and Sacramento.
Hottest over bet
Houston Rockets – This week: 3-0 over, Season: 10-6 O/U
The Rockets’ offense has taken off in the last four games, averaging a whopping 117.5 points per game. James Harden and the frontcourt duo of Chandler Parson and Patrick Patterson are leading the charge, lifting Houston over the total in its last four contests. The Rockets have a tough schedule this week that includes dates with the Lakers, Spurs and Mavs.
Hottest under bet
Milwaukee Bucks – This week: 0-4 under, Season: 5-9-1 O/U
The Bucks have played under the total in five straight games. A major reason for Milwaukee’s recent dip below the total is a struggling offense that is averaging 89.8 points per game during that stretch - seven points lower than its season average. The Bucks hit the road for two games in New Orleans and San Antonio this week before hosting the Bobcats.
Scouting the schedule
-After a home date with the Magic on Sunday, the Lakers hit the road for seven of their next eight games. Los Angeles is just 1-4 ATS on the road this season.
-The Denver Nuggets are also about to the hit the road. After a home contest with the Raptors on Monday, the Nuggets hit the road for five straight games and six of their next seven. Denver is 8-4 O/U away from home this season.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-05-12 06:20 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Knicks Visit Heat To Open Thursday NBA Doubleheader
New York Knicks at Miami Heat
Date: 12/6/2012 at 8:00 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Miami -7½, O/U 202½
Television: TNT
New York Knicks: The Knicks (13-4 straight-up, 11-6 against the spread) will be playing the second half of a back-to-back after edging Charlotte 100-98 on Wednesday. They’re a solid 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in that situation. New York has found the road much tougher this year at 6-4 SU and 5-5 ATS, compared to 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS at Madison Square Garden. Leading scorer Carmelo Anthony (finger) is listed as probable on the NBA injury report after hurting himself against the Bobcats.
Miami Heat: Miami (12-4 SU, 7-9 ATS) should be playing angry after an embarrassing 105-101 loss Tuesday at Washington as 10-point favorites. That snapped a six-game winning streak and made the Heat 1-4 ATS in their last five overall. There are injury concerns with Mario Chalmers, Udonis Haslem and Norris Cole all questionable and Shane Battier already out (click to check updated NBA injury report). These teams met in the Big Apple in early November with the Knicks getting a big 104-84 win as 6-point ‘dogs. New York is 0-4 SU and ATS in the last four in South Beach.
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Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns
NBA Betting Preview
Date: 12/6/2012 at 10:30 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Phoenix -3½, O/U 199½
Television: TNT
Dallas Mavericks: The Mavericks (8-10 SU, 7-11 ATS) will be dealing with some fatigue after losing 112-90 at the Clippers on Wednesday night. They are 1-4 ATS in their last five games on zero days rest. Newly signed point guard Derek Fisher is now starting over Darren Collison. The team is 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS away this season.
Phoenix Suns: The Suns (7-12 SU, 6-12-1 ATS) return home after a six-game road trip, losing the last four (0-2-1 ATS). They have been much more successful at home overall (5-3 SU) but are just 2-6 ATS. The team is last in the league in scoring defense, surrendering 102.9 points per game, while ranking a mediocre 14th in offense (98.4 ppg) with point guard Goran Dragic (15.5 ppg) as the leading scorer. Phoenix won the last meeting against the Mavs in March, 96-94 as 3½-point home ‘dogs, with Dallas 8-0 SU and ATS in the previous eight.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-07-12 01:14 AM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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NBA
Dunkel
New York at Miami
The Heat look to take advantage of a New York team that is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games in Miami. Miami is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-7). Here are all of today's picks.
THURSDAY, DECEMBER 6
Game 701-702: New York at Miami (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 120.521; Miami 129.248
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 8 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7; 202
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-7); Under
Game 703-704: Dallas at Phoenix (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 111.830; Phoenix 117.705
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 6; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 3; 199
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-3); Over
NBA
Long Sheet
Thursday, December 6
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NEW YORK (13 - 4) at MIAMI (12 - 4) - 12/6/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 91-125 ATS (-46.5 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-6 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
10 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DALLAS (8 - 10) at PHOENIX (7 - 12) - 12/6/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 268-215 ATS (+31.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
PHOENIX is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, December 6
Hot Teams
-- Miami won six of its last seven games (4-4 as HF). Knicks won their last four games (3-2 as an U).
Cold Teams
-- Mavericks lost four of last five games (2-6 as AU). Suns also lost four of last five games (1-4 as a HF).
Totals
-- Over is 5-2-1 in New York's last eight games.
-- Four of last five Dallas games stayed under the total.
NBA
Thursday, December 6
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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 11 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against New York
10:30 PM
DALLAS vs. PHOENIX
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Dallas
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NBA
Thursday, December 6
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NBA TNT doubleheader: Knicks at Heat, Mavericks at Suns
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New York Knicks at Miami Heat (-7, 202)
The Miami Heat and New York Knicks know a thing or two about winning at home. After all, the Eastern Conference leaders collectively have won all 15 such contests this season. The Heat, who are 8-0 at AmericanAirlines Arena, will have the home-court advantage on Thursday, when the Knicks pay a visit for a nationally televised game.
The Heat likely are still massaging their ego after woe-begotten Washington doubled its season win total at their expense. New York extended its winning streak to four games on Wednesday as J.R. Smith drilled a step-back jumper as time expired for a 100-98 triumph over Charlotte. Carmelo Anthony finished with 23 points before receiving stitches on the middle finger of his left hand after diving into the bench to save a loose ball. His status for Thursday is unknown, however, head coach Mike Woodson did tell reporters, “He’s going to play. He’ll be ready to play."
TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT
ABOUT THE KNICKS (13-4, 11-6 ATS): Coach Mike Woodson insisted after Wednesday's contest that Anthony would be able to play versus Miami. The electric forward cooled off the Heat with a team-high 30 points and 10 rebounds in New York's 104-84 victory on Nov. 2. As for Wednesday, Jason Kidd returned following a four-game absence due to lower back spasms. The veteran guard came off the bench to score seven points but logged nearly 25 1/2 minutes to provide a jolt for the Knicks.
ABOUT THE HEAT (12-4, 7-9 ATS): The inexplicable loss to Washington snapped a six-game winning streak for Miami. LeBron James did his best to put the setback in perspective, although his pair of missed 3-point attempts in the waning moments could have altered the outcome. Dwyane Wade insisted that the Heat will have no problem getting up for Thursday's tilt. "It'll be a good game for us," Wade said. "It's a game that we all look forward to. Obviously, we want to play better, and it's a good time for it (facing the Knicks)."
TRENDS:
* Under is 10-2-1 in the last 13 meetings.
* Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.
* Knicks are 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings.
* Knicks are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings in Miami.
BUZZER BEATERS:
1. New York is off to its best 17-game start to a season since the 1995-96 campaign. It also was 13-4 during that campaign.
2. Wade had 15 points on 7-of-10 shooting from the field in the teams' first meeting. While it's an impressive performance to be certain, Wade has averaged 27.9 points in 25 career games versus New York.
3. The Knicks played their fourth game without C Marcus Camby, who is being plagued by plantar fasciitis in his left foot.
Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns (-3, 199.5)
The Dallas Mavericks try to shake off an awful start to their road trip Thursday, when they take on the Phoenix Suns at US Airways Center. Dallas began its three-game trek Wednesday in Los Angeles, where it thoroughly was thrashed in a 112-90 loss to the Clippers. The Mavericks never led as they allowed the first seven points of the game and fell behind by as many as 24 late in the fourth quarter.
Phoenix returns home from a 1-5 road trip during which it lost the last four contests. After splitting the first two games of the trek, the Suns suffered a 40-point loss in Detroit on Nov. 28. They dropped close decisions in Toronto and New York before concluding the trip with a 10-point overtime setback to the league-leading Grizzlies in Memphis on Tuesday. Phoenix led by as many as 16 points before Rudy Gay forged a 94-94 tie with 15.9 seconds remaining in regulation.
TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, FSN Southwest (Dallas), TNT
ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (8-10, 7-11 ATS): Dallas trailed by 11 points after one quarter in Los Angeles on Wednesday but began the second with a 9-0 run to get within 29-27. That was as close as the Mavericks would get as they were down 18 points at halftime and never got the deficit to single digits in the second half. Guard O.J. Mayo entered the game against the Clippers second in the league with a 52.7 percent shooting efficiency from beyond the arc, went 0-of-4 and has gone without a 3-pointer in three of his last five contests.
ABOUT THE SUNS (7-12, 6-12-1 ATS): Phoenix has not had much success against Dallas of late, losing eight of the last nine meetings between the teams. In fact, the Suns snapped an eight-game skid in the all-time series in their last encounter as they posted a 96-94 triumph at US Airways Center on March 12. It was the team's second win in the last 13 matchups and snapped its three-game home losing streak against the Mavericks. Center Marcin Gortat has started 96 consecutive games and appeared in all 140 contests since being acquired by the Suns from Orlando on Dec. 18, 2010.
TRENDS:
* Favorite is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
* Mavericks are 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.
* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Phoenix.
BUZZER BEATERS:
1. Gortat leads the Suns with six double-doubles.
2. Mavericks rookie F Jae Crowder is 3-of-26 from the field over his last four games.
3. The Suns have trailed by double digits in 15 of their 19 contests this season.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-07-12 01:21 AM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Texas Teams Houston, Dallas Meet In Saturday NBA Game
Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets
NBA Betting Preview
Date: 12/08/2012 at 8:00 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: NA
Television: FOX Southwest
Dallas Mavericks: Already missing star Dirk Nowitzki since the start of the season, the Mavs (9-10 straight-up, 8-11 against the spread) came out of Thursday's win and cover at Phoenix with a couple more injury concerns. Chris Kaman, the team's second-leading scorer at 13.7 points per game, suffered a sprained left ankle while Shawn Marion, Dallas' leading rebounder (7.1 rebounds per game), went down with a groin injury. Both players are questionable for Saturday's tilt in Houston, and it could open the door for Brandan Wright to start at center with rookie Jae Crowder possibly replacing Marion at forward (click to check updated NBA injury report). The Mavericks are 3-7 on the NBA highway so far, covering the spread in four of the 10 away games. This marks the first game against a divisional opponent for the Mavs. Dallas won and covered all three games vs. the Rockets last season, including a 101-99 win at Toyota Center as a 3-point underdog.
Houston Rockets: Friday night finds the Rockets (9-8 SU, 9-7-1 ATS) in San Antonio for the front end of this back-to-back. The Spurs were laying 8½ in that contest with a 212-point total. Houston was riding a two-game winning streak into that matchup, both SU and ATS, winning and covering five of its last six heading into the clash with San Antonio. The Rockets came away with a 107-105 win over the Lakers on Tuesday in a game that closed as a Pick 'em and fell a bit shy of the 215½-point total. Houston shot under 38 percent for the contest, but the bench bailed the Bayou City ballers out by outscoring LA's reserves 59-20. James Harden shot a woeful 3-for-19 vs. the Lakers and suffered a injury to his right big toe, but he was expected to play against the Spurs on Friday. Houston is 7-3 at home so far, also covering seven of the 10 games, including the last five at Toyota Center.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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12-08-12 11:09 PM |
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