The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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bbaffert
StatFox Hall of Famer
Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 7067
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Breeders Cup November 2nd Picks
Hey friends, if you are looking for a decent wager, I have info on the Breeders Cup Race 9 - I am not betting but figured I would share a longshot that I think can pull off a big upset or add value. This is how I would bet the race.
Santa Anita Race 9 November 2nd
$2 win #7
$1 Exacta Box #6,7
You would have to choose the amount to wager yourselves. The 6 will probably win but at 15-1 I got an email from a good horse racing friend telling me that the #7 has a shot here.
Santa Anita Breeders Cup Day 1 Friday November 2
Race 6 Juvenile Filly Turf
#12 The Gold Cheongsam 20-1
Why? Shipper has the same sire as favorite #3. I always take euro horses when they have done one of two things, this one has done both. She has won carrying over 130 pounds, she won with 133 and only has to carry 122 tomorrow. Also, she beat a large field. She finished 1st in a 21 horse field. It takes a ton of luck but quite a bit of skill to do that. At 20-1 she is worthy of a win and place wager. Also, if you want to gambler more, an exacta box 12, 3, 5 is not a bad play but if I was betting I would bet to win and place.
Race 8 Fillies and Mares Turf
#8 Nahrain 6-1
Do not love this one but the odds are solid enough to recommend. I would play the race like this.
#8 win 2 units
#7 win 1 unit
Exacta Box #4,7,8 if you go for the big hit or Exacta 4 over 7,8 for backup to win wagers.
The 4 is the horse to beat but the 7 and 8 have done enough to merit respect here.
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11-02-12 05:08 AM |
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