Boise State -20.5 over FRESNO STATE: The Boise Broncos seem to be going through the motions right now, with a couple of not so spirited wins vs Tulsa and Nevada the last 2 weeks. Boise is still ranked 6th in the Country and will need to start having some huge wins if they entertain any hopes of playing for the title. Fresno state is a team that the Broncos never have problems getting up for as they come in having won the last 5 in the series and by an average of 31.2 ppg in the process. The Boise offense has been productive as they have averaged 36.5 ppg and 446.ypg and because of this offense the defense is usually overlooked. This Bronco defense is usually on of the better in the nation and this year is no exception as they come in allowing just 298.8 ypg (19th) and 16.8 ppg (20th). This is a very good defense that doesn't get the respect they deserve. The Fresno offense has been solid this year putting up 30.2 ppg, but I feel it will be the defense that let's them down big time here. Fresno comes in having allowed 38.7 ppg vs BCS teams so far (I know Boise isn't a BCS team but they are close enough), including allowing 38 points last week to an Ole miss team that is ranked 116th in total offense and 95th in scoring. This is a bad defense and will struggle mightily vs the Bronco offense that looks to really wake up tonight. We also note that the Bulldogs are 12-1 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3 games, while the Bulldogs are just 12-37-2 ATS in their last 51 games off a SU loss. Look for the Broncos offense to put plenty of points on the board, while their defense is it's usual stingy self. Boise by 24+ here.