Wednesday, 02/09/2022 (25) VEGAS vs. (26) CALGARY
Favoring: VEGAS on the money line.
Play Against - Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (CALGARY) - vs. division opponents, well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days
(44-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.1%, +30.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1 +3.1 units).

Wednesday, 02/09/2022 (23) NASHVILLE vs. (24) DALLAS
Favoring: NASHVILLE on the money line.
Play Against - Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (DALLAS) - vs. division opponents, well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days
(44-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.1%, +30.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1 +3.1 units).

Wednesday, 02/09/2022 (19) DETROIT vs. (20) PHILADELPHIA
Favoring: DETROIT on the money line.
Play Against - Home teams against the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days
(54-24 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.2%, +32.2 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (14-10 +2.6 units).

Wednesday, 02/09/2022 (19) DETROIT vs. (20) PHILADELPHIA
Favoring: DETROIT on the money line.
Play Against - Home teams against the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days
(54-24 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.2%, +32.2 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (14-10 +2.6 units).

Wednesday, 02/09/2022 (25) VEGAS vs. (26) CALGARY
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Home teams where the total is 6 or more (CALGARY) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the second half of the season
(23-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (92.0%, +21.1 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Wednesday, 02/09/2022 (27) ARIZONA vs. (28) SEATTLE
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Home teams against the total (SEATTLE) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season
(28-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +21.7 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +1 units).

Wednesday, 02/09/2022 (25) VEGAS vs. (26) CALGARY
Favoring: VEGAS on the money line.
VEGAS is 14-2 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was VEGAS 3.7, OPPONENT 1.7 - (Rating = 4*)

Wednesday, 02/09/2022 (23) NASHVILLE vs. (24) DALLAS
Favoring: DALLAS on the money line.
DALLAS is 7-0 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) this season.
The average score was DALLAS 4.6, OPPONENT 2.3 - (Rating = 3*)

Wednesday, 02/09/2022 (29) NY ISLANDERS vs. (30) VANCOUVER
Favoring: Under on the total.
VANCOUVER is 8-0 UNDER (+8.1 Units) in home games against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against this season.
The average score was VANCOUVER 1.9, OPPONENT 2.5 - (Rating = 4*)

Wednesday, 02/09/2022 (29) NY ISLANDERS vs. (30) VANCOUVER
Favoring: Under on the total.
NY ISLANDERS are 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) in road games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NY ISLANDERS 1.7, OPPONENT 2.3 - (Rating = 3*)

Nashville Predators (-110) at Dallas Stars (-110)

Stars’ forward Jason Robertson missed practice on Monday due to an eye infection, but head coach Rick Bowness believes he will be good to go. If Robertson isn’t in the lineup, that’s enough to make the Predators a small favorite, but by the looks of things, there won’t be enough of an edge to overcome the bookmaker’s margin. Juuse Saros and Jake Oettinger are expected to be the starting goaltenders. Dallas does have home-ice advantage, and if Robertson plays, the game is a toss-up, based on my model’s estimate. Nashville is the better team, as they rank among the top-10 in even strength expected goal share and have a much better goal differential than the Stars do, according to Evolving Hockey. Robertson is one of the Stars’ top producers, though, and if he isn’t in the lineup, the Predators should be priced around -115.

Update: Robertson is at practice this morning and appears to be in the lineup.

Vegas Golden Knights (+ 110) at Calgary Flames (-130)

Vegas is coming off a 4-0 shutout win over the Edmonton Oilers. Laurent Brossoit was in goal, which means Robin Lehner will almost certainly start on Wednesday in Calgary. This is the first half of a back-to-back for the Flames, who will host the Toronto Maple Leafs on Thursday. Since this is a divisional game, and the Flames are chasing the Golden Knights for the lead in the Pacific Division, it’s possible that Jacob Markstrom starts on Wednesday, but there’s obviously a chance that backup Daniel Vladar will be between the pipes. According to my model, the Flames should be priced as a very small favorite if Vladar ends up in the crease, but if it is Markstrom that gets the nod on Wednesday, then there’s nothing egregious about how the game has been priced by the market.

Thanks for the info!