NBA Finals Betting Trend: The Heat are 1-6 straight up and 1-5-1 against the spread in their last seven games as a road dog with a spread between 0 and 3.5 points and a total between 185 and 190 points.

The Spurs are 7-1 SU and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a HF with a spread between 0-3.5 (Under was (6-2).

Life may be cozy at home, but the money can be found on the road.

Our database finds visiting teams are moneymakers in the championship round, cashing 55% of the time, going 65-54-3 ATS.
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Better yet, put them in a game with the Over/Under total is 181 or higher and they improve to a 61% winning proposition, going 54-34-1 ATS.
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Put these same teams on the road in games with a total of 181 or more off a SU and ATS loss and they ratchet all the way up to 22-8 ATS, or a 73% ATS spread beater.

Defense rules in the NBA Finals. That’s confirmed by the fact that teams who score less than 90 points in a game in this round are just 31-74 SU and 33-70-2 ATS.

When teams manage to score an inordinate amount of points in any one game, they return to the earth faster than a free-falling spaceship.

That’s validated by the fact that teams who score 110 or more points in the finals are just 6-9 SU and 5-10 ATS in their next contest.

Dress these same teams up as favorites after igniting the scoreboard and they’ve gone 1-8 ATS.

Thanks for the share. I'm not getting much ammo for either side the way they go against each other. Who are you taking tonight?

GL

LeBron James is now 2-6 (33%) in eight career road games in the NBA Finals. On the other hand, Michael Jordan finished his career with a 12-6 road record (67%) in six Finals appearances.

thanks RD.

I've found that:


Teams in playoffs (like Spurs) after home win in which they shoot less than 52% field goals percentage and scored more than 110 points are 22-4 SU (including last 7 SU wins).



SU: 22-4
ATS: 12-14, avg. line: -6,5
OU: 17-9, avg. total: 204


Avg score team (Spurs):106.8
Opponents: 99.7



Last 4 wins are from this year playoffs:

Denver - GSW 97-95

Miami - Milwaukee 98-86

OKC - Houston 105-102

GSW - Denver 115-101

And I wonder how many of the 26 teams were Home Dogs?

Only GSW listed as +1,5 over Denver 115-101.

Phoenix was a pick in victory over LA Lakers 115-106 (2010-05-25).

RD always great to see you as i always learn something brother! That first stat is unsettling but I'm leaning heavy toward Heat 1Q & under, Heat 1stH & under, and ...... obviously Heat fg & under. GL with your investments brother, haven't locked mine in so I will be awaiting your move lol

MIA being -1 right now is because of LeBron James and the Heat have gone a 'SPOT-LESS' 5-0 ATS after a loss in the playoffs, winning by an average of 21.6 PPG. Not because of Parker's status... even if Parker is limited, Pop should have a game plan in order but Parker should play even at limited minutes and gets 2 days rest til next game... if he is hurt more than expected, we will not know until during the game and tracking his minutes. Pop would not give that info out at anytime...

Return To Earth
Defense rules in the NBA Finals. That's confirmed by the fact that teams who score less than 90 points in a game in this round are just 31-74 SU and 33-70-2 ATS. When teams manage to score an inordinate amount of points in any one game, they return to the earth faster than a free-falling spaceship.

That's validated by the fact that teams who score 110 or more points in the finals are just 6-9 SU and 5-10 ATS in their next contest.
--Dress these same teams up as favorites after igniting the scoreboard and they've gone 1-8 ATS.
knowing MIA's awesome bounce back record and questions as to Parker's status... plus with these few stats above, I will take a solid D and a Home crowd anytime, SA +1.5... guess who Mayweather is on... yup MIA

When if ever was the last time a road team was considering tweaking its starting lineup in Game 4 of the finals and was a favorite.

Never, because that team should never be a favorite.