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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65534

NBA Lagniappe 3/27

Wednesday, 03/27/2024 (543) GOLDEN STATE vs. (544) ORLANDO
Favoring: ORLANDO against the spread.
ORLANDO is 36-14 ATS (+20.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% this season.
The average score was ORLANDO 111.8, OPPONENT 107.6 - (Rating = 4*)

Wednesday, 03/27/2024 (543) GOLDEN STATE vs. (544) ORLANDO
Favoring: ORLANDO against the spread.
ORLANDO is 23-6 ATS (+16.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
The average score was ORLANDO 114.1, OPPONENT 103.3 - (Rating = 4*)

Wednesday, 03/27/2024 (549) PORTLAND vs. (550) ATLANTA
Favoring: ATLANTA against the spread.
PORTLAND is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after scoring 95 points or less this season.
The average score was PORTLAND 100, OPPONENT 122.6 - (Rating = 3*)

Wednesday, 03/27/2024 (549) PORTLAND vs. (550) ATLANTA
Favoring: PORTLAND against the spread.
ATLANTA is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=48% this season.
The average score was ATLANTA 120.7, OPPONENT 122.1 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 03-27-24 09:56 PM
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Wednesday, 03/27/2024 (559) LA LAKERS vs. (560) MEMPHIS
Favoring: Over on the total.
LA LAKERS are 19-4 OVER (+14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 125.2, OPPONENT 119.2 - (Rating = 4*)

Wednesday, 03/27/2024 (557) HOUSTON vs. (558) OKLAHOMA CITY
Favoring: Under on the total.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-4 UNDER (+12.6 Units) off a road win this season.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 114.4, OPPONENT 104.8 - (Rating = 3*)

Wednesday, 03/27/2024 (551) LA CLIPPERS vs. (552) PHILADELPHIA
Favoring: Under on the total.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-3 UNDER (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 102.2, OPPONENT 108.9 - (Rating = 3*)

Wednesday, 03/27/2024 (553) NEW YORK vs. (554) TORONTO
Favoring: Under on the total.
TORONTO is 22-7 UNDER (+14.3 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game this season.
The average score was TORONTO 109.5, OPPONENT 114.9 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 03-27-24 09:56 PM
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Wednesday, 03/27/2024 (559) LA LAKERS vs. (560) MEMPHIS
Favoring: MEMPHIS on the first half line.
MEMPHIS is 36-8 (+27.2 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 60.6, OPPONENT 52.9 - (Rating = 5*)

Wednesday, 03/27/2024 (559) LA LAKERS vs. (560) MEMPHIS
Favoring: MEMPHIS on the first half line.
MEMPHIS is 40-12 (+26.8 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 60.5, OPPONENT 53.5 - (Rating = 4*)

Old Post 03-27-24 09:56 PM
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Wednesday, 03/27/2024 (547) CLEVELAND vs. (548) CHARLOTTE
Favoring: Under on the first half line.
CHARLOTTE is 14-1 UNDER (+12.9 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 or more consecutive overs this season.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 47.7, OPPONENT 54.5 - (Rating = 5*)

Wednesday, 03/27/2024 (559) LA LAKERS vs. (560) MEMPHIS
Favoring: Over on the first half line.
LA LAKERS are 25-6 OVER (+18.4 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total >= 111 this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 59.4, OPPONENT 63.9 - (Rating = 4*)

Old Post 03-27-24 09:58 PM
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* Teams on 3+ Days Rest are 60-41 SU and 65-33-1 ATS (66.3%) versus teams playing a 3rd Game in 4 Days over the last three seasons.
3/27: ORLANDO vs. Golden State
System Match: PLAY ORLANDO (-4 vs GSW)

* Home teams playing on 3+ Days Rest were 35-15 SU and 33-15-2 ATS (68.8%) hosting teams playing a 4th in 6 Days game last season.
3/27: ORLANDO vs. Golden State
System Match: PLAY ORLANDO (-4 vs GSW)

* Home teams playing on 3+ Days Rest are 38-15 SU and 34-16-3 ATS (68%) hosting teams playing a 3rd Straight Road game over the last two seasons.
3/27: ORLANDO vs. Golden State
System Match: PLAY ORLANDO (-4 vs GSW)

* Teams playing on 3rd Straight Home game were 65-27 SU and 56-33-3 ATS (62.9%) hosting teams playing a A2A b2b game last season.
3/27: ORLANDO vs. Golden State
System Match: PLAY ORLANDO (-4 vs GSW)

Old Post 03-27-24 10:06 PM
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msudogs
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Of all the teams playing today, the Rockets are the hottest against the spread

Over last 10 games they have a +9 cover margin (highest), are 9-1 ATS, and have a +12.9 MOV

Old Post 03-27-24 10:08 PM
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ATLANTA is 19-23 SU and 14-28 ATS (33.3%) when playing on a full day’s rest this season.
3/27 vs. Portland
System Match: FADE ATLANTA (-10.5 vs POR)

INDIANA has been at its best against divisional opponents so far this season, going 11-4 SU and ATS (73.3%).
3/27 at Chicago
System Match: PLAY INDIANA (-2.5 at CHI)

The LA CLIPPERS boast a phenomenal 29-15 SU and 25-19 ATS (56.8%) record as a single-digit favorite this season.
3/27 at Philadelphia
System Match: PLAY LA CLIPPERS (-5.5 at PHI)

The LA LAKERS have gone 22-11 Over the total (66.7%) on the road so far this season.
3/27 at Memphis
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 222)

Old Post 03-27-24 10:14 PM
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msudogs
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Teams are 35-11 ATS this season fading unrested teams whose last game was decided by a single possession. (76%)

This trend is active on the Grizzlies to cover the short number.

Old Post 03-27-24 10:46 PM
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