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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65534

NBA Lagniappe 3/26

* Home teams playing a 4th in 6 Days game were 49-25 SU and 40-33-1 ATS (54.8%) hosting teams playing in an A2A b2b game last season.
3/26: SACRAMENTO vs. Dallas
System Match: PLAY SACRAMENTO (-1 vs DAL)

* Over the total was 75-56 (57.3%) over the last two seasons when the road team was on a A2A b2b and the host team was playing a 4th in 6 Days game.
3/26: Over the total in SACRAMENTO-DALLAS
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 233)

* Over the total was 66-54 (55%) over the last two seasons when the road team was on a A2A b2b and the host was playing a 3rd in 4 Days game.
3/26: Over the total in SACRAMENTO-DALLAS
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 233)

* Over the total was 32-19 (62.7%) over the last two seasons when the home team was on H2H b2b and the road team was playing an A2A b2b game.
3/26: Over the total in SACRAMENTO-DALLAS
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 233)

Old Post 03-26-24 10:26 PM
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msudogs
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The LA LAKERS have gone 21-11 Over the total (65.6%) on the road so far this season.
3/26 at Milwaukee
System Match: PLAY OVER the total in LAL-MIL (o/u at 231.5)

MILWAUKEE has struggled in the ordinary One Day Rest scheduling scenario this season, going 24-18 SU but 16-26 ATS (38.1%).
3/26 vs. LA Lakers
System Match: FADE MILWAUKEE (-9 vs LAL)

Old Post 03-26-24 10:26 PM
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msudogs
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* GOLDEN STATE is 22-51 SU and 22-51 ATS on the road in the One Day Rest scenario over the last two seasons
3/26: Fade GOLDEN STATE at Miami
System Match: FADE GOLDEN STATE (-2 at MIA)

Old Post 03-26-24 10:27 PM
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msudogs
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Rout wins are a warning sign for the next contest for hosts
NBA home teams coming off any game in which they beat the point spread by 20 points or more are 240-187 SU but 184-232-11 ATS (44.2%) over the last 5-1/2 seasons. The worst situation for these teams comes against divisional rivals, 33-60 ATS.
System Match: FADE MIAMI (+2 vs GSW), FADE MILWAUKEE (-9 vs LAL)

Unusual shooting performance systems
NBA teams off a game in which they were granted 35 or more free throw attempts trended Under the total the next game, 263-207 (56%) since 2021.
System Match: PLAY UNDER in LAL-MIL (o/u at 231.5)

Unusual defensive performances
Alternatively to #13 above, NBA teams that have allowed 20 or more 3PT field goals in a game have rebounded well when favored the next time out, going 142-54 SU and 110-84-2 ATS (56.7%) over the last 3-1/2 seasons.
System Match: PLAY GOLDEN STATE (-2 at MIA)

Old Post 03-26-24 11:06 PM
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msudogs
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Best OVER teams this NBA season

Lakers 39-32-1
Bulls 39-32-1
Thunder 38-31-1
Jazz 38-33-1
Hawks 38-33

Best UNDER teams

Heat 45-26
Knicks 44-27
Nuggets 42-29-1
Pelicans 41-30
Magic 39-31-1

Old Post 03-26-24 11:14 PM
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