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msudogs
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MLB Lagniappe 6/02

Milwaukee (29-27) @ Cincinnati (26-30)
— Burnes is 0-2, 4.50 in his last three starts.
— Brewers are 1-4 in his last five starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-3
— He is 2-1, 2.53 in 14 games (4 starts) vs Cincinnati.

— Brewers are 2-5 in their last seven games.
— Milwaukee is 4-11 in last 15 road games.
— under 6-2-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 15-56
— record in first 5 innings: 23-26-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3-2

— Williamson is 0-0, 5.65 in three starts.
— Cincinnati is 3-0 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.

— Reds are 7-3 in their last ten games.
— Cincinnati is 14-14 at home.
— over 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 20-56
— record in first 5 innings: 21-24-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3.1-2

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Philadelphia (25-31) @ Washington (24-32)
— Wheeler is 1-2, 3.00 in his last four starts.
— Philly is 6-5 in his starts.
— under 4-0-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-1
— He is 5-4, 3.25 in his last 10 starts vs Washington.

— Phillies are 3-7 in their last ten games.
— Phillies are 2-9 in last 11 road games.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 15-56
— record in first 5 innings: 19-32-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.1-2-4

— Gray is 2-0, 2.74 in his last four starts.
— Nationals are 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7
— He is 1-2, 5.40 in five starts vs Philadelphia.

— Nationals lost three of last four games.
— Washington is 13-15 on the road.
— over 4-2 last six home games
— scored run in first inning: 16-56
— record in first 5 innings: 23-28-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-x

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St Louis (25-32) @ Pittsburgh (28-27)
— Flaherty is 1-0, 1.93 in his last three starts.
— Cardinals are 7-4 in his starts.
— over 7-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-1
— He is 9-1, 2.57 in 14 starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Cardinals are 4-6 in their last ten games.
— Cardinals are 13-16 on road.
— under 6-0 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 24-57
— record in first 5 innings: 20-26-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-x-x

— Contreras is 0-3, 5.56 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 4-5 in his starts
— over 4-1 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-2
— He is 1-0, 4.43 in four starts vs St Louis.

— Pirates are 7-19 in their last 26 games.
— Pittsburgh is 12-13 at home.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 15-55
— record in first 5 innings: 26-20-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3-x

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Atlanta (33-23) @ Arizona (34-23)
— Morton is 2-3, 4.45 in his last five starts.
— Braves are 5-5 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5
— He is 5-1, 4.01 in 12 starts vs Arizona.

— Atlanta is 5-7 in its last dozen games.
— Braves are 18-9 on the road.
— over 3-1-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 25-56
— record in first 5 innings: 34-16-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-3.2-x

— Kelly is 5-0, 2.89 in his last six starts.
— Arizona is 7-4 in his starts.
— under 7-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1-5
— He is 0-2, 4.05 in three starts vs Atlanta.

— Arizona won nine of its last 12 games.
— Arizona is 19-12 at home.
— under 6-1-1 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 20-57
— record in first 5 innings: 25-21-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-3.1

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Cubs (24-31) @ San Diego (26-30)
— Taillon is 0-3, 8.90 in eight starts.
— Cubs are 0-8 in his starts.
— over 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 1-6-1
— He is 1-0, 2.37 in three starts vs San Diego.

— Cubs are 10-20 in their last 30 games.
— Chicago is 15-16 on road.
— over 16-5 last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-55
— record in first 5 innings: 23-22-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-6-x

— Wacha is 3-0, 0.84 in his last five starts.
— Padres are 8-3 in his starts.
— under 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2-4
— He is 4-8, 6.45 in 19 starts vs Chicago.

— Padres are 6-8 in their last 14 games.
— San Diego is 12-15 at home.
— under 24-9-2 last 35 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-56
— record in first 5 innings: 23-27-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2.1-3

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Seattle (29-27) @ Texas (35-20)
— Castillo is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (12 IP).
— Mariners are 0-3 in his road starts
— under 6-5
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-3
— He allowed 3 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Texas.

— Seattle is 8-4 in its last dozen games.
— Mariners are 12-12 on road.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 17-56
— record in first 5 innings: 26-22-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2-x

— Gray is 4-0, 1.00 in his last four starts.
— Texas is 6-4 in his starts.
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5
— He is 2-2, 4.67 in six starts vs Seattle.

— Texas is 21-9 in its last 30 games.
— Rangers are 16-8 at home.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 17-55
— record in first 5 innings: 37-14-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-x

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Tampa Bay (40-18) @ Boston (29-27)
— Glasnow allowed 3 runs in 4.1 IP (83 PT) in his first ‘23 start.
— Rays are 0-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 2-1, 3.83 in eight starts vs Boston.

— Tampa Bay scored one run in losing its last two games.
— Rays are 14-12 on road.
— over 15-5 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-58
— record in first 5 innings: 37-16-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3-x

— Whitlock is 2-1, 3.94 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 2-2 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He is 1-2, 4.76 in 7 games (2 starts) vs Tampa Bay.

— Red Sox lost seven of their last ten games.
— Boston is 16-13 at home.
— under 8-3-1 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 17-56
— record in first 5 innings: 22-28-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-5.1

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Cleveland (24-31) @ Minnesota (29-27)
— Civale is 1-1, 2.84 in two starts.
— He’s been hurt; his last start was April 7.
— Guardians are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 1-4, 4.20 in eight starts vs Minnesota.

— Guardians are 7-12 in their last 19 games.
— Cleveland is 13-16 on road.
— under 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 18-56
— record in first 5 innings: 22-23-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-5-3

— Ober is 0-2, 5.40 in his last two starts.
— Twins are 4-3 in his starts.
— under 6-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-2
— He is 1-1, 1.64 in four starts vs Cleveland.

— Twins are 3-1 in their last four games.
— Minnesota is 17-12 at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 15-57
— record in first 5 innings: 25-23-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-3.1

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LA Angels (29-28) @ Houston (33-23)
— Ohtani is 1-1, 3.81 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 8-3 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-1
— He is 3-4, 3.51 in 11 starts vs Houston

— Angels lost five of last seven games.
— Angels are 15-15 on road.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 18-58
— record in first 5 innings: 27-23-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-3

— Valdez is 3-0, 2.00 in his last four starts.
— Astros won his last four starts.
— under 4-3 at home
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-5
— He is 8-4, 3.73 in 12 starts vs Anaheim.

— Astros won 17 of their last 22 games.
— Houston is 16-13 at home.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 19-56
— record in first 5 innings: 28-18-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4.1-3.2

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Oakland (12-46) @ Miami (29-28)
— Harris is making his first MLB start.
— He threw 5 shutout IP in relief vs Houston last week
— He gave up 6 runs in 0.1 IP vs the Mets in April
— Those are his only two MLB games.
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.

— A’s are 7-28 in last 35 games.
— Oakland is 5-22 on the road.
— under 11-4-1 last sixteen games
— scored run in first inning:
— record in first 5 innings: 11-38-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-4.1

— Cabrera is 1-1, 5.40 in his last four starts.
— Marlins are 6-5 in his starts
— over 6-5
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-2
— He threw 8 shutout IP in his one start vs Oakland.

— Miami is 5-3 in its last eight games.
— Marlins are 15-13 at home.
— over 7-3-1 last eleven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 9-57
— record in first 5 innings: 23-23-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-4-3.2

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Detroit (26-28) @ White Sox (23-35)
— bullpen game

— Detroit is 9-7 in its last 16 games.
— Tigers are 12-15 on the road.
— over 10-4 last fourteen games
— scored run in first inning: 16-54
— record in first 5 innings: 16-27-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-4.2-x

— White Sox haven’t named a starter.

— Chicago is 2-5 in its last seven games.
— White Sox are 13-15 at home.
— over last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 15-58
— record in first 5 innings: 22-29-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-x

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Toronto (30-27) @ NY Mets (30-27)
— Bassitt is 0-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
— Blue Jays are 5-6 in his starts.
— under 7-4
— allowed run in first inning: 5-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-1
— He pitched for New York last year.
— He hasn’t pitched against the Mets

— Toronto is 6-11 in its last 17 games.
— Blue Jays are 15-17 on road.
— over 7-4-1 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 15-57
— record in first 5 innings: 23-23-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-2.1

— Verlander is 1-1, 6.50 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 2-3 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4
— He is 4-6, 4.29 in 15 starts vs Toronto.

— Mets won their last three games.
— Mets are 15-9 at home.
— under 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 9-57
— record in first 5 innings: 24-30-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-x

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Baltimore (35-21) @ San Francisco (28-28)
— Kremer is 3-1, 2.45 in his last five starts.
— Orioles are 7-4 in his starts
— over 7-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco

— Orioles are 9-5 in their last 14 games.
— Baltimore is 18-9 on the road.
— over 4-1 last five road games
— scored run in first inning: 12-56
— record in first 5 innings: 26-21-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-8-x

— Webb is 3-0, 1.30 in his last five starts.
— Giants are 4-7 in his starts
— under 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

— Giants won 11 of their last 16 games.
— San Francisco is 16-13 at home.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 18-56
— record in first 5 innings: 26-19-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4.2-x

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Colorado (24-34) @ Kansas City (17-39)
— Anderson is 0-0, 1.62 in three starts.
— Arizona is 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City

— Rockies lost their last four games.
— Colorado is 9-20 on the road.
— under 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 15-58
— record in first 5 innings: 18-29-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-5-3.1

— Lyles is 0-4, 8.86 in his last four starts.
— Royals are 0-11 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-11
— record in first 5 innings: 1-8-2
— He is 3-3, 5.30 in 14 games (8 starts) vs Colorado

— Royals are 5-12 in their last 17 games.
— Royals are 8-21 at home
— under 13-5 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-56
— record in first 5 innings: 16-31-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-x

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New York (34-24) @ Los Angeles (34-23)
— Severino is 0-0, 2.38 in two starts.
— New York is 2-0 in his starts
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— This is his first start against the Dodgers.

— New York won four of last four games.
— Bronx is 15-11 on road
— over 17-9 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 17-58
— record in first 5 innings: 28-17-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.1-x

— Kershaw is 0-2, 7.11 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 7-4 in his starts.
— over 7-4
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-1
— He is 0-1, 1.67 in four starts vs New York.

— Dodgers won three of last five games.
— Dodgers are 20-7 at home.
— over 11-3 last fourteen games
— scored run in first inning: 23-57
— record in first 5 innings: 27-24-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-4

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Saturday, 06/03/2023 (927) OAKLAND vs. (928) MIAMI
Favoring: MIAMI on the money line.
Play On - Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season
(67-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (87.0%, +47 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-0 +5 units).

Saturday, 06/03/2023 (907) ATLANTA vs. (908) ARIZONA
Favoring: ARIZONA on the money line.
Play Against - Road favorites with a money line of -175 or more (ATLANTA) - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, playing on Saturday
(27-18 since 1997.) (60.0%, +33.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

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Monday, 06/05/2023 (905) HOUSTON vs. (906) TORONTO
Favoring: HOUSTON on the run line.
Play On - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (HOUSTON) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.70 to 5.70) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .440 or better over their last 20 games
(37-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.1%, +30.7 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0 +3.7 units).

Saturday, 06/03/2023 (915) SEATTLE vs. (916) TEXAS
Favoring: SEATTLE on the run line.
Play Against - All favorites against a 1.5 run line (Money Line =-190 to +175) (TEXAS) - good AL offensive team (>=5.1 runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA<=3.75), on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors
(48-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +33.6 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (8-2 +4.9 units).

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Monday, 06/05/2023 (911) OAKLAND vs. (912) PITTSBURGH
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams (OAKLAND) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games
(37-8 since 1997.) (82.2%, +29 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Monday, 06/05/2023 (911) OAKLAND vs. (912) PITTSBURGH
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams (OAKLAND) - poor AL hitting team (AVG <=.260) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games
(28-5 since 1997.) (84.8%, +23 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

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Saturday, 06/03/2023 (903) PHILADELPHIA vs. (904) WASHINGTON
Favoring: WASHINGTON on the money line.
WASHINGTON is 10-2 (+14.4 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 6.2, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 5*)

Saturday, 06/03/2023 (927) OAKLAND vs. (928) MIAMI
Favoring: MIAMI on the money line.
OAKLAND is 1-23 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
The average score was OAKLAND 2.3, OPPONENT 6.7 - (Rating = 4*)

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Saturday, 06/03/2023 (931) BALTIMORE vs. (932) SAN FRANCISCO
Favoring: BALTIMORE against the spread.
BALTIMORE is 14-0 (+14.1 Units) against the run line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
The average score was BALTIMORE 6.6, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 5*)

Saturday, 06/03/2023 (903) PHILADELPHIA vs. (904) WASHINGTON
Favoring: WASHINGTON against the spread.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-20 (-20.2 Units) against the run line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 4, OPPONENT 5.4 - (Rating = 4*)

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