Thursday, 06/01/2023 (513) MIAMI vs. (514) DENVER
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - after 6 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days
(68-32 since 1996.) (68.0%, +32.8 units. Rating=2*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-3 +3.7 units).

Thursday, 06/01/2023 (513) MIAMI vs. (514) DENVER
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI) - playing with 2 days rest, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team
(116-64 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.4%, +45.6 units. Rating=2*)
The situation's record this season is: (11-7 +3.3 units).

Thursday, 06/01/2023 (513) MIAMI vs. (514) DENVER
Favoring: DENVER on the first half line.
Play Against - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team
(203-121 since 1996.) (62.7%, +69.9 units. Rating=2*)
The situation's record this season is: (15-7 +7.3 units).

Thursday, 06/01/2023 (513) MIAMI vs. (514) DENVER
Favoring: DENVER on the first half line.
Play Against - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season
(234-150 since 1996.) (60.9%, +69 units. Rating=2*)
The situation's record this season is: (17-10 +6 units).

Thursday, 06/01/2023 (513) MIAMI vs. (514) DENVER
Favoring: DENVER against the spread.
MIAMI is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games this season.
The average score was MIAMI 109, OPPONENT 114.3 - (Rating = 4*)

Thursday, 06/01/2023 (513) MIAMI vs. (514) DENVER
Favoring: MIAMI against the spread.
MIAMI is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 107.1, OPPONENT 98.2 - (Rating = 2*)

Thursday, 06/01/2023 (513) MIAMI vs. (514) DENVER
Favoring: Over on the total.
MIAMI is 24-9 OVER (+14.1 Units) when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 114.4, OPPONENT 109.8 - (Rating = 2*)
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Thursday, 06/01/2023 (513) MIAMI vs. (514) DENVER
Favoring: Under on the total.
MIAMI is 23-13 UNDER (+8.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or less this season.
The average score was MIAMI 107.2, OPPONENT 106.5 - (Rating = 1*)

Thursday, 06/01/2023 (513) MIAMI vs. (514) DENVER
Favoring: Over on the first half line.
MIAMI is 16-4 OVER (+11.6 Units) the 1rst half total when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent this season.
The average score was MIAMI 58.6, OPPONENT 58 - (Rating = 3

Thursday, 06/01/2023 (513) MIAMI vs. (514) DENVER
Favoring: Over on the first half line.
MIAMI is 38-18 OVER (+18.2 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game this season.
The average score was MIAMI 56.8, OPPONENT 57.3 - (Rating = 3*)

Heat against the spread this season:

30-49-3 ATS in the regular season - worst record in NBA.

13-5 ATS in NBA Playoffs - best

Nuggets-Heat Game 1 total at BetMGM


219.5 - This morning

218.5 - Now

68% of money is on the OVER.

Over was 7-0 on Caleb Martin's point total vs. Celtics.

Martin's point total vs. Nuggets has moved from 16.5 to 15.5.

73% of money is on the OVER