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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

MNF Lagniappe 9/16

Falcons @ Eagles (-6.5)
Falcons (0-1)
Atlanta was held to 226 yards in LW’s 18-10 home loss.
Falcons were 2-9 on third down, Pittsburgh 8-17.
Falcons are 0-6 SU/2-4 ATS in last six road openers.
Three of their last four road openers went over total.

Falcons are 17-22 ATS in last 39 games as a road underdog.
New QB Cousins is 77-71-2 as an NFL starter.
Raheem Morris is 21-39 as an NFL head coach.
Under is 10-7 in Atlanta’s last 17 road games.

Eagles (1-0)
Eagles beat Green Bay 34-29 in Brazil LW; they gave up 414 TY.
Since 2018, Eagles are 29-39-1 ATS as a favorite.
Philly is 11-7-1 in last 19 games as a home favorite.
RB Barkley had 132 TY, scored 3 TD’s in his first game with Philly.

Eagles have two new coordinators; Kellen Moore is new OC.
QB Hurts is 37-20 as an NFL starter.
Since 2018, Eagles are 24-28-2 ATS coming off a win.
Eagles turned ball over 3 times LW; they were minus-10 in TO’s LY.

Eagles won four of last five series games.
Falcons are 1-5 ATS in last six visits to Philadelphia.
Last six series games stayed under the total.

Old Post 09-16-24 08:36 AM
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msudogs
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NFL underdogs of 6+ points are now 8-0 ATS through two weeks -- covering the spread by 9.5 PPG.

The best start for "big dogs" in history.

Old Post 09-16-24 08:36 AM
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msudogs
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99% of bets are on Kyle Pitts OVER 3.5 catches.

What could go wrong?

Old Post 09-16-24 10:14 PM
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msudogs
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Most bet (tickets) Eagles-Falcons players to score a touchdown at BetMGM

1. Saquon Barkley -190

2. DeVonta Smith +125

3. Jahan Dotson +250

4. Jalen Hurts -125

Old Post 09-16-24 10:14 PM
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msudogs
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Most bet (tickets) Eagles-Falcons player props at BetMGM

1. Kyle Pitts over 3.5 receptions

2. Bijan Robinson over 64.5 rushing yards

3. DeVonta Smith over 70.5 receiving yards

4. Saquon Barkley over 17.5 receiving yards

Old Post 09-16-24 10:16 PM
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msudogs
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Updated Eagles-Falcons betting at BetMGM

Eagles open -4.5, now -5.5
▪️ 84% of bets, 91% of money on Eagles

Total open 48, now 46
▪️ 63% of bets, 70% of money on Under

Falcons open +170, now +200
▪️ 32% of bets, 19% of money on Falcons

Old Post 09-16-24 10:16 PM
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msudogs
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As Monday Night Football approaches, the Eagles are 5.5-point favorites over the Falcons, but sharp bettors are siding with Atlanta. According to Sharp Hunter, sharps are taking the Falcons at +5.5, and there’s good reason for the move.

Atlanta had a tough offensive outing in Week 1, but sharps are expecting a bounce-back. While Kirk Cousins struggled, he has playmakers in wide receiver Drake London and tight end Kyle Pitts, who should be more involved. With Bijan Robinson in the backfield, the Falcons’ offense has the pieces to keep this game competitive.

Adding to Atlanta’s chances, the Eagles will be without star receiver A.J. Brown, limiting their offensive firepower. The line opened with Atlanta as 4-point underdogs, but sharp action has shifted it to +5.5, signaling confidence in the Falcons. Despite over 80% of public money being on the Eagles, sharps believe the Falcons are undervalued, especially with Philadelphia dealing with key injuries.

The Bottom Line: Sharps are taking the Falcons at +5.5, as the line continues to move in their favor. With Philadelphia’s injury concerns and sharp money backing Atlanta, the Falcons could be the value play on Monday Night Football.

Old Post 09-16-24 11:00 PM
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ONE TOUGH MAZE
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Registered: Feb 2012
Posts: 8054

NFL

Total open 48, now 46
▪️ 63% of bets, 70% of money on Under


Hey Mike I am on the last stage of capping the Monday Night Game. How does your numbers look for the Over/under NOW?

Thank you in advance

Old Post 09-17-24 01:16 AM
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msudogs
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NFL underdogs of 5.5+ points are now 9-1 ATS this season with FIVE outright wins

Old Post 09-17-24 08:18 AM
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