Remember all stats I use are based on site order 2-2-1-1-1 and not in order of wins. Which I think is the correct way it should be analyzed...so there. !!!!
Blues up 3-1 at Wild
Things don't stack up very well for the Blues here, from a historical standpoint the team in this situation only has a 30.8% chance of winning this game for the prelim round. For all rounds it goes up to 41.7% So where the books have thrown -180 for the Wild I imagine they might of done their homework also here. Personally I like under 5 better.
Habs down 3-2 at Rangers
You might be thinking where the Habs are on the road they just have to win this game to keep from being eliminated. I mean surely the stats say this is the smart wager.......right.....? Well the home team here has a huge advantage, to the tune of winning 60.7% of the games in this situation over all rounds combined. So the Rangers are a huge play in this situation. They are only laying -108 to EV depending on the book you use. So the Rangers are a play here.
Oilers up 3-2 at Sharks
Once again you would think the home team down 3-2 would just win this game a great deal of the time to keep from being eliminated. Well at least this works out better for the team down 3-2. But they still have a losing record. For all rounds the home team (Sharks) only win at around 47%. So considering that the Oilers are getting +129 payback or a bit more, you gotta play them.