St Louis (52-48) @ Pittsburgh (51-49)
— Lynn is 3-1, 5.64 in his last four starts.
— He is 0-2, 11.37 in his last four road starts.
— St Louis is 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— over 4-2 last six road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 5-10-4
— He is 7-8, 5.34 in 23 starts vs Pittsburgh

— Cardinals are 10-7 in their last 17 games.
— They’re 26-26 on road.
— over 10-6 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-100
— record in first 5 innings: 37-46-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-3-2

— Skenes is 3-0, 1.14 in his last six starts.
— Pittsburgh is 8-3 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 7-0-4
— He blanked St Louis for 6.2 IP on June 11th.

— Pirates are 9-2 in their last 11 games.
— They’re 25-25 at home.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 19-100
— record in first 5 innings: 42-38-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4.1-2

San Diego (52-50) @ Washington (47-53)
— Vasquez is 1-1, 2.21 in his last four starts.
— San Diego is 2-4 in his road starts.
— over 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-1
— This is his first start vs Washington.

— Padres lost seven of last ten games.
— They’re 26-22 on road.
— Padres are 8-8 in road series openers.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 29-102
— record in first 5 innings: 42-45-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-x

— Washington hasn’t named a starter.

— Nationals are 5-1 in their last six games.
— They’re 23-24 at home.
— Nationals are 6-9 in home series openers.
— over 8-5 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 16-100
— record in first 5 innings: 41-50-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-2-x

Cincinnati (48-53) @ Atlanta (54-45)
— Cincinnati hasn’t named a starter.

— Reds lost four of their last five games.
— They’re 23-25 on road.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 27-101
— record in first 5 innings: 45-43-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-1.1-2

— Sale is 5-1, 2.04 in his last six starts.
— Atlanta is 13-5 in his starts.
— under 13-4
— allowed run in first inning: 8-18
— record in first 5 innings: 15-3
— He gave up a run in 3.2 IP, in his one start vs Cincinnati.

— Braves are 3-6 in their last nine games.
— They’re 30-20 at home.
— under 19-6 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-99
— record in first 5 innings: 46-39-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-3-3

Milwaukee (57-43) @ Cubs (49-53)
— Rea is 1-1, 4.58 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 7-3 in his last ten starts
— over 7-4 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-3
— He is 1-0, 3.05 in four starts vs Chicago.

— Brewers won three of last four games.
— They’re 28-26 on road.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 26-100
— record in first 5 innings: 48-40-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-4.2-2.2

— Taillon is 3-0, 2.41 in his last three starts.
— Chicago is 6-2 in his home starts.
— over 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7
— He is 4-8, 3.29 in 16 starts vs Milwaukee.

— Cubs are 10-5 in their last 15 games.
— They’re 27-23 at home.
— under 7-0 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 21-102
— record in first 5 innings: 40-45-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-5.2

San Francisco (48-53) @ Los Angeles (60-41)
— Hicks is 0-3, 7.86 in his last four starts.
— Giants are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— over 9-3 last 12 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-2
— He is 0-0, 1.23 in 9 games (2 starts) against the Dodgers

— San Francisco is 4-8 in its last 12 games.
— Giants are 20-31 on road.
— under 6-0 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 22-101
— record in first 5 innings: 39-46-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-2

— Knack is 1-1, 3.21 in his last eight games.
— Dodgers are 2-5 in his starts.
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
— He gave up a run in 4.2 IP, in his one start against the Giants

— Dodgers won their last four games.
— Dodgers are 32-21 at home.
— over 8-3 last 11 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-101
— record in first 5 innings: 49-41-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.2-4-3.2

NY Mets (51-48) @ Bronx (60-42)
— Quintana is 1-1, 2.66 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-4
— He is 3-3, 2.97 in seven starts vs New York.

— New York is 9-4 in its last 13 games.
— Mets are 25-22 on road.
— Mets are 8-2 in last 10 series openers.
— over 7-4 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 25-99
— record in first 5 innings: 43-40-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-4

— Gil is 1-1, 1.42 in his last two starts.
— New York is 1-4 in his last five starts.
— under 7-4 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 13-4-2
— He gave up 5 runs in 4.1 IP, in his one start vs New York

— New York is 10-20 in its last 30 games.
— They’re 27-21 at home.
— New York is 8-7 in home series openers.
— over 19-8 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-102
— record in first 5 innings: 53-37-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3.2-2

Baltimore (60-39) @ Miami (35-65)
— Suarez is 2-1, 3.18 in his last three starts.
— Baltimore is 7-5 in his starts.
— under 10-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— This is his first start vs Miami.

— Baltimore won three of its last four games.
— Orioles are 30-17 on road.
— Orioles are 10-5 in road series openers.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 22-99
— record in first 5 innings: 53-35-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.2-x

— Marlins haven’t named a starter.

— Marlins are 5-12 in their last 17 games.
— Miami is 20-33 at home.
— Marlins are 7-9 in home series openers.
— over 11-6 last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-100
— record in first 5 innings: 30-60-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.1-4

Philadelphia (63-37) @ Minnesota (55-44)
— Wheeler is 2-0, 2.19 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 11-4 in his last 15 starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-19
— record in first 5 innings: 13-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota.

— Phillies are 2-5 in their last seven games.
— They’re 26-21 on road.
— under 4-2 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 38-100
— record in first 5 innings: 62-30-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-2.2

— Woods-Richardson is 0-0, 3.94 in his last three starts.
— Minnesota is 8-2 in his last ten starts
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-5
— He hasn’t pitched against the Phillies.

— Twins are 2-4 in their last six games.
— Twins are 28-20 at home.
— over 9-1 last ten home games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-99
— record in first 5 innings: 43-45-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-2

Arizona (51-50) @ Kansas City (55-45)
— Montgomery is 3-3, 9.69 in his last six starts.
— His last start was June 27th.
— Arizona is 3-2 in his road starts.
— over 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-1
— He is 0-1, 5.74 in three starts vs Kansas City.

— Arizona is 10-6 in its last 16 games.
— Diamondbacks are 25-26 on road.
— over 12-5 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-101
— record in first 5 innings: 46-37-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.1-5

— Marsh is 2-2, 5.23 in his last four starts.
— Kansas City is 11-6 in his starts.
— over 8-2 last ten starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona

— Royals won eight of last ten games.
— Royals are 35-18 at home.
— under 11-4 last 15 home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-101
— record in first 5 innings: 47-39-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-3

Boston (53-45) @ Colorado (37-64)
— Criswell is 1-2, 6.91 in his last three starts.
— Boston is 8-4 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.

— Red Sox lost their last four games.
— They’re 29-21 on road.
— under 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-99
— record in first 5 innings: 52-36-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3-5.1

— Blach is 1-3, 7.11 in his last four starts.
— His last start was June 20th.
— Colorado is 4-5 in his starts.
— under 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 6-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6
— He gave up 5 runs in 5.1 IP, in his one start vs Boston.

— Rockies won four of last five games.
— They’re 23-28 at home.
— under 8-2 last ten home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-101
— record in first 5 innings: 39-49-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-6.1

Trend: Colin Rea is good in the -120 to +135 line range (16-3 record, +14.64 units) in the last two seasons
System Match: PLAY MILWAUKEE (-110 at CHC)

NYY momentum after series vs. TAMPA BAY: 25-6 (80.6%) +16.15 units, ROI: 52.1%
System Matches: PLAY NY YANKEES (-162 vs. NYM)

Trend: Lance Lynn is 9-21 (-10.15 units) on the road at night as a -120 favorite or worse (including underdog) in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE ST LOUIS (+154 at PIT)

(955) CINCINNATI (48-53) at (956) ATLANTA (54-45)
Trend: ATL more Under at home (16-32 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(957) MILWAUKEE (57-43) at (958) CHICAGO-NL (49-53)
Trend: MIL trending Over vs. RH starters (43-27 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(959) SAN FRANCISCO (48-53) at (960) LOS ANGELES-NL (60-41)
Trend: SF worse on the road (20-30, -10.29 units)
System Match: FADE SAN FRANCISCO (+120 at LAD)

(961) DETROIT (50-51) at (962) CLEVELAND (59-40)
Trend: CLE good at home (31-14, +9.86 units)
System Match: PLAY CLEVELAND (-148 vs DET)

(963) TAMPA BAY (50-50) at (964) TORONTO (45-54)
Trend: TOR more Over in divisional play (19-9 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(965) CHICAGO-AL (27-75) at (966) TEXAS (48-52)
Trend: CWS awful on the road (10-41, -25.85 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+110 at TEX)

(969) LOS ANGELES-AL (43-57) at (970) SEATTLE (53-49)
Trend: SEA trending Under at home (16-33 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7)

(971) BALTIMORE (60-39) at (972) MIAMI (35-65)
Trend: MIA trending Over at home (34-16 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(975) PHILADELPHIA (63-37) at (976) MINNESOTA (55-44)
Trend: PHI better at night (42-21, +9.64 units)
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-142 at MIN)

(977) ARIZONA (51-50) at (978) KANSAS CITY (56-45)
Trend: KC great at home (35-18, +15.67 units)
System Match: PLAY KANSAS CITY (-102 vs AZ)

(979) BOSTON (53-46) at (980) COLORADO (37-64)
Trend: BOS solid as road favorite (12-5 record)
System Match: PLAY BOSTON (-155 at COL)

OVERs are 9-2 on Paul Skenes strikeout props this season

69% of bets are on Skenes OVER 7.5 Ks today at BetMGM

(951) ST LOUIS (52-48) at (952) PITTSBURGH (51-49)
Trend: Lance Lynn is 9-21 (-10.15 units) on the road at night as a -120 favorite or worse (including underdog) in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE ST LOUIS (+154 at PIT)

(957) MILWAUKEE (57-43) at (958) CHICAGO-NL (49-53)
Trend: Colin Rea is good in the -120 to +135 line range (16-3 record, +14.64 units) in the last two seasons
System Match: PLAY MILWAUKEE (-110 at CHC)

(963) TAMPA BAY (50-50) at (964) TORONTO (45-54)
Trend: Jose Berrios is 11-21 (-20.54 units) within the line range of -140 to -160 in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE TORONTO (-142 vs TB)

Trend: Jose Berrios is 9-23 (-20.84 units) in night games as short favorite within line range of -120 to -145 in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE TORONTO (-142 vs. TB)