6:09 p.m. ET: Florida Atlantic vs Kansas State (-2, 144)

Florida Atlantic (34-3) is the 9-seed and just took down Tennessee 62-55 in the Sweet 16, winning outright as 4.5-point dogs. Meanwhile, Kansas State (26-9) is the 3-seed and just outlasted Michigan State 98-83 in an overtime thriller, covering as 1-point favorites. This line opened with Kansas State listed as a short 2-point favorite. The public sees an easy with an cover for Kansas State and they're rushing to the window to lay the short chalk with the Wildcats. However, despite receiving 88% of bets we've seen Kansas State remain frozen at -2 or even dip to -1.5 at some shops. This signals smart money grabbing the points with Florida Atlantic, triggering a sharp line freeze and some reverse line movement on the dog. Florida Atlantic is only receiving 12% of bets, providing massive contrarian value. Ken Pom has Florida Atlantic winning the game by one point (74-73). He also has FAU ranked higher (17th vs 20th). FAU has the superior three point shooting (37% vs 34%) and better rebounding (36 RPG vs 32 RPG).