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Heading into the final group stage matches, there are still four spots left in the knockout round. Here are their current odds to advance:

Group B: Inter Milan (-210) or Tottenham (+160)
Group C: Two of PSG (-2500), Napoli (-150), Liverpool (-110)
Group D: Lyon (-150) or Shakhtar Donetsk (+120)

Clubs that have advanced to the knockout round are: Barcelona, Manchester City, Juventus, Manchester United, Bayern Munich, Ajax, Roma, Real Madrid, Atletico Madrid, Dortmund, Porto, Schalke.

Porto at Galatasaray (12:55 p.m. ET on TNT)
Moneylines: Porto +235, Galatasaray +135, Draw +230
Total: 2.5 (o-120)

Porto are the Group D winners but will be looking to stay undefeated in the group stage. Galatasaray are only playing for a spot in the Europa League as they’ve officially been eliminated from the Champions League. They enter Tuesday a point ahead of Lokomotiv Moscow for third place in Group D.

At home, Galatasaray are the small “favorites” at +135 odds and attracting more than half the betting tickets. They’ll have plenty of motivation to get the win and could be facing a weakened Porto lineup

Lokomotiv Moscow at Schalke (12:55 p.m. ET)
Moneylines: Lokomotiv +280, Schalke +110, Draw +255
Total: 2.5 (u-119)

In the other Group D match, Schalke are small home favorites and they’ve already secured the second place in the group. Lokomotiv Moscow are a point behind Galatasaray and ultimately need to win for a chance at a Europa League spot.

Public bets have been fairly spread out on Schalke, Galatasaray and the draw, and I don’t see much value anywhere on the moneyline here either.

The total has attracted some sharp action on the under (2.5), moving the juice from -105 to -120. This could be shaping up to be a 1-0 or 1-1 result.

PSV at Inter Milan (3 p.m. ET)
Moneylines: PSV +800, Inter -280, Draw +435
Total: 3 (o-120)

In one of the most important matches of the day, public bettors are taking a shot on PSV as hefty +800 road underdogs.

This comes as a surprise to me since Inter Milan have the upper hand to advance from Group B and home-field advantage. Usually in these spots, public bettors will hammer the favorite that needs to win, but that’s not the case here.

Even at -280 odds, I still think there’s a bit of value on the Inter Milan moneyline from a contrarian standpoint. They finally get some relief after playing Tottenham, Roma and Juventus in consecutive games, and will be looking to pounce on PSV early. Once Inter get on the scoresheet, this could turn into a romp.

Tottenham at Barcelona (3 p.m. ET on TNT)
Moneylines: Tottenham +217, Barcelona +112, Draw +318
Total: 3 (o-130)

Barcelona have already secured the top spot in Group B but Spurs ultimately need to win for a chance at the next round. Tottenham are tied with Inter Milan with seven points apiece and listed at +160 just to advance to the knockout round.

It’s unknown how strong Barcelona’s starting lineup will be, which means stars like Leo Messi could be rested. Because of that, Spurs have moved from +300 to +217 to earn the win in Barcelona.

Tottenham have been very impressive in the Champions League this season despite not getting the best results, and I wouldn’t put it past the North London club springing an upset in Spain. Only 15% of bettors are willing to take a small risk on Spurs which makes them a very enticing contrarian angle.

PSG at Red Star Belgrade (3 p.m. ET)
Moneylines: PSG -600, Red Star +1580, Draw +680
Total: 3.5 (u-140)

Group C comprises of the best games to track on Tuesday with the top two spots still in play, as well as third-place for the Europa League.

A win by PSG seals a spot in the Champions League knockout round, while a draw or loss means they could be eliminated.

For Red Star Belgrade, a win could potentially lift them into a Europa League spot. They’ve already earned a +1500 upset in the group stage just last month against Liverpool, so it’s not crazy to think they could do it again, especially at home.

Napoli at Liverpool (3 p.m. ET)
Moneylines: Napoli +418, Liverpool -158, Draw +345
Total: 3 (o-120)

Napoli currently sit in pole position in Group C but they face the longest odds in the final group match at +418 (19.3% implied win probability). Liverpool are on the outside looking in, but the -158 moneyline suggests they’ve got >60% chance of victory against Napoli.

I’ve continued to be perplexed by public betting patterns this week, and would have predicted a good portion of wagers placed on Napoli. However, Liverpool have received more than 80% of moneyline bets and 70% of spread bets

Atlético Madrid at Club Brugge (3 p.m. ET)
Moneylines: Atlético -155, Brugge +475, Draw +300
Total: 2.5 (u-115)

Atlético Madrid can seal the first position in Group A with a victory at Club Brugge, while the home side is already locked into a Europa League berth.

All the line movement has come in on Atlético around the betting market, and I don’t see any reason to fade them. They’ve conceded just two goals in their last five matches while earning shutouts in the Champions League, Copa del Rey and La Liga in that span.

Even at a price of -155, I’d be willing to bet them straight up or in a moneyline parlay.

Dortmund at Monaco (3 p.m. ET)
Moneylines: Dortmund -125, Monaco +350, Draw +295
Total: 3 (u-120)

It’s been an incredibly disappointing season for Monaco in all competitions and they’ll finish last in Group A no matter what happens Monday.

Meanwhile, Dortmund have qualified for the knockout round and are hoping to somehow surpass Atletico Madrid for top spot. They’ve received nearly 65% of moneyline bets as -125 favorites, but this feels like the type of game that Monaco will finally show up for without any pressure. I’d be careful believing that Dortmund are an automatic win here.

1.0 tw 1.6

Borussia Dortmund -163
Liverpool FC -161
-------------------------------
1.0 tw 2.8

FC Schalke 04 -111
Liverpool FC -1 +101
-------------------------------
.5 tw 1.6

Atletico Madrid -163
Inter Milan -226
Paris Saint-Germain -2-123

glta

I am on these today. Tread lightly is you decide to follow.

Barca +110
Dortmund -142

Parlay
Dortmund/Monaco O2.5
Barca ML
Inter Milan ML
Liverpool/Napoli BTTS
.5 to win 3.65

1.0 tw 1.6

Borussia Dortmund -163
Liverpool FC -161
-------------------------------
1.0 tw 2.8

FC Schalke 04 -111
Liverpool FC -1 +101
-------------------------------
.5 tw 1.6

Atletico Madrid -163
Inter Milan -226
Paris Saint-Germain -2-123

Roma at Viktoria Plzen (12:55 p.m. ET)
Moneylines: Roma +163, Plzen +173, Draw +259
Total: 2.5 (o-117)

While Roma is already through to the Round of 16, Viktoria Plzen needs a win to earn a spot in the Europa League. They’re tied on four points apiece with CSKA Moscow for third place in Group G.

There hasn’t been much betting action to report in this one with just a slight adjustment away from the draw. Roma have slipped a bit in Italy’s Serie A and find themselves in the middle of the table, so UEFA Champions League may be their primary focus at this point. They should be motivated to get a result on Wednesday even if it’s with some reserve players.

CSKA Moscow at Real Madrid (12:55 p.m. ET on TNT)
Moneylines: CSKA +1170, Real Madrid -435, Draw +555
Total: 3.5 (u-125)

Real Madrid are the Group G winners and have been rolling since making the change to manager Santiago Solari in October. CSKA Moscow are still battling for third place and a Europa League berth.

Casual bettors are taking CSKA to win at over 10-1 odds, but Real Madrid will attract all the parlays and goal-line bets. It’s difficult to predict these matches without really knowing who will play, but no matter what, Real Madrid will have the more talented starting XI.

With no pressure and the ability to experiment at home, Real Madrid could easily blowout CSKA Moscow. The Russian club will need to do everything they can to keep it within a goal at all times, but I’m not sure they can.

Juventus at Young Boys (3 p.m. ET)
Moneylines: Juventus -235, Young Boys +700, Draw +390
Total: 2.5 (o-123)

If Juventus win they’ll lock up the top spot in Group H, while Young Boys are just playing for pride at the bottom. After originally opening at -180, Juventus are up to -240 and receiving more than 85% of bet slips.

The moneyline is poised to keep growing until kickoff and sportsbooks will have a tough time finding bettors on Young Boys. If you think you want to take a shot on the Swiss club at home, you can probably keep waiting for better odds.

Manchester United at Valencia (3 p.m. ET on TNT)
Moneylines: Man Utd +193, Valencia +160, Draw +235
Total: 2.5 (u-118)

Manchester United can only win the group with a little help from Young Boys, and a road match at Valencia will be tough enough in itself.

Public bettors have pounced on the prospect of getting United at plus-money odds, but they’ve actually drifted from +170 to +193. Sharper money is taking Valencia to win at home, as well as the under (2.5).

Lyon at Skakhtar Donetsk (3 p.m. ET)
Moneylines: Lyon +210, Shakhtar +124, Draw +286
Total: 3 (o-120)

In the only match with knockout round implications, Shakhtar Donetsk are the slight +124 home favorites to beat Lyon.

A draw would be good enough for the French side to advance, and that would also keep them undefeated in the group stage. Anything but a win for Shakhtar means they’re out, and they could even finish last in the group if Hoffenheim were to beat Manchester City.

A lot of early action has come in on Lyon to push their odds down from +223 to +210. Bettors have also surprisingly taken the under (3) even though these clubs have combined to concede 2+ goals in nine of 10 Champions League matches so far.

Hoffenheim at Manchester City (3 p.m. ET)
Moneylines: Hoffenheim +1080, Man City -470, Draw +640
Total: 3.5 (o-125)

Manchester City will top the group if they can earn a win or draw against Hoffenheim, or even if Lyon doesn’t beat Shakhtar Donetsk. At -470 odds, there’s a high probability that City will take care of things themselves.

Originally Man City were listed at -650 and Hoffenheim +1700, so sportsbooks have adjusted since opening. Nearly 60% of straight bets have been placed on Hoffenheim, but City will still be a popular parlay piece.

AEK Athens at Benfica (3 p.m. ET)
Moneylines: AEK +920, Benfica -262, Draw +375
Total: 2.5 (o-130)

This is the least-bet match of the day as Benfica have already wrapped up the Europa League spot and AEK Athens stuck in last place.

AEK are only club without a point in this year’s Champions League and odds are against them getting one in Portugal. They’ve got roughly a 30% chance of attaining a win or draw, but they do have the support of public bettors.

While the volume is extremely low, more than 60% of bets has come in on AEK to pull off an upset.