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RDTrains
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2003
Posts: 11675

1st NCAAF wager 2014

I think I found something that looks pretty sweet. In addition to the obvious undefeated record over the L10Y, the other elements that make this attractive:

1. Applies to Both teams
2. Avg line is 46.1 so there is value in the current higher line
3. The cover rate by more than 7 is outstanding


Play Under - All teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (MASSACHUSETTS & Boston College) - in the first week of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses against opponent in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses.
(30-6 since 1992.) (83.3%, +23.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The average total posted in these games was: 46.1
The average score in these games was: Team 19.4, Opponent 19.4 (Total points scored = 38.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 26 (72.2% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (22-0).

My wager: BC/MASS Under 48 risk 4 units

Old Post 08-25-14 06:41 PM
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CUBANO
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Registered: Jan 2009
Posts: 20748

I love these little nuggets you come up with




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Old Post 08-25-14 07:10 PM
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Shen
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 1283

Thanks RD. Looking forward to your input in football this year.

Old Post 08-25-14 08:11 PM
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mgh56
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Registered: Oct 2007
Posts: 2839

I'm in at under 48, thx for the tip.

Old Post 08-25-14 08:13 PM
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ronnie111
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Registered: Feb 2009
Posts: 6909

RD

i had the un circled as a play....BC is returning only 3 off starters from last year.

Old Post 08-25-14 10:14 PM
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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

let's do this one, great start buddy
GL

Old Post 08-30-14 03:07 PM
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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

let's get the 1st half as well
GL

Old Post 08-30-14 03:39 PM
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RDTrains
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Registered: Sep 2003
Posts: 11675

Adding ...

Ark/AUB Under 58 risk 3 units

Old Post 08-30-14 05:30 PM
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Bromoe
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Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 6014

Tailing...Good Job yesterday!

Old Post 08-30-14 05:33 PM
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BIG BAD BILL
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Registered: Dec 2006
Posts: 7999

Great start RD!!!!I am with you on some,Have A great year!!!




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Old Post 08-30-14 06:54 PM
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jbrent95
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Registered: Feb 2009
Posts: 1023

Beautiful

Old Post 08-30-14 09:33 PM
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diamondjim
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Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 6974

Went down to 56 as a total




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Old Post 08-30-14 09:42 PM
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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

thanks for this one
GL

Old Post 08-31-14 12:04 AM
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CUBANO
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Registered: Jan 2009
Posts: 20748

Thanks for the winner Ray




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Old Post 08-31-14 12:43 AM
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RDTrains
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Registered: Sep 2003
Posts: 11675

1-1 +.7 unit

BC/MASS Under 48 => Winner
Ark/AUB Under 58 => Lost

4-2 +9.05 units

Old Post 08-31-14 03:41 PM
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