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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
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MLB Lagniappe

7:05 p.m. ET: Atlanta Braves (11-7) at New York Yankees (10-6)

Could we be looking at a possible World Series preview? The Braves are coming off a 13-8 loss to Philadelphia last night -- which snapped a 2-game winning streak. Meanwhile, New York is looking to get back on track after dropping three of four to Tampa Bay. This pitching matchup is less than stellar with Touki Toussaint (0-0, 6.08 ERA) facing Jordan Montgomery (1-1, 5.59 ERA). This line opened with New York listed as a moderately heavy -160 favorite and the Braves a + 150 dog. Despite two-thirds of bets rushing to the window to lay the moneyline with the Yankees, we've actually seen the line fall to New York -150. This signals some sharp reverse line movement on the Braves (+ 150 to + 140). Atlanta is also a contrarian road dog with a high total (10), a profitable spot historically. The more expected runs scored, the more it leads to variance and upset opportunities.

Old Post 08-11-20 09:20 PM
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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

7:05 p.m. ET: Baltimore Orioles (7-7) vs Philadelphia Phillies (5-6)

The Orioles have surprised fans and bettors this season. No one expected them to be anywhere close to .500 at this point. Baltimore enters this Interleague Series riding a 2-game winning streak after taking a pair from the Nats. The Phillies are a win from reaching .500 after taking down the Braves 13-8 last night. Philadelphia was a classic sharp fade the trendy dog play as they opened at -140 and closed near -150 despite receiving less than half the tickets. Tonight, Baltimore sends out Alex Cobb (1-1. 2.51 ERA) against Phillies prized free agent acquisition Zack Wheeler (2-0, 2.08 ERA). This line opened with the Phillies listed as heavy -170 favorites and the Orioles a + 155 dog. Wiseguys have immediately steamed Bryce Harper and company, jacking this line up to Phillies -185. The total is 9. The forecast calls for mid-80s and humid with 5-10 MPH winds out to dead-center.

Old Post 08-11-20 09:32 PM
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