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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

MLB Lagniappe 5/21

Milwaukee (27-20) @ Miami (16-33)
— Gasser is 2-0, 0.82 in two starts (11 IP).
— Milwaukee is 2-0 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.

— Brewers are 1-4 in their last five games.
— They’re 15-11 on road
— over 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-47
— record in first 5 innings: 24-17-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3.2-8.1

— Rogers is 1-4, 8.72 in his last five starts.
— Miami is 1-8 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6-1
— He is 3-0, 1.10 in three starts vs Milwaukee.

— Marlins won six of their last eight games.
— Miami is 9-18 at home.
— over 16-6 last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 11-49
— record in first 5 innings: 17-26-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-5-3

Old Post 05-21-24 07:34 AM
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San Diego (25-25) @ Cincinnati (19-28)
— Musgrove is 2-1, 5.96 in his last four starts.
— His last start was May 1st.
— San Diego is 5-3 in his starts.
— over 7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-2
— He is 6-2, 3.75 in ten starts vs Cincinnati.

— Padres split their last 14 games.
— They’re 15-9 on road.
— Padres are 6-2 in road series openers.
— under 8-4 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 16-50
— record in first 5 innings: 21-23-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-7

— Abbott is 1-1, 2.65 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 4-5 in his starts.
— under 7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 5-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-2
— He gave up a run in 7.2 IP, in his only start vs San Diego.

— Reds lost 18 of last 23 games.
— They’re 9-13 at home.
— Reds are 8-7 in series openers.
— under 10-6 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 10-47
— record in first 5 innings: 15-22-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-x

Old Post 05-21-24 07:36 AM
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San Francisco (23-25) @ Pittsburgh (22-26)
— Webb is 1-3, 5.23 in his last four starts.
— San Francisco is 1-4 in his road starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-1
— He is 1-1, 2.84 in two starts vs Pittsburgh.

— San Francisco won its last four games.
— Giants are 8-15 on road.
— Giants are 2-5 in road series openers.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 11-48
— record in first 5 innings: 19-23-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-x

— Perez is 0-3, 7.36 in his last five starts.
— Pirates are 1-6 in his last seven starts.
— over 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-3
— He is 1-1, 2.33 in three starts against the Giants.

— Pirates are 3-1 in their last four games.
— They’re 9-12 at home.
— Pirates are 7-8 in series openers.
— over 8-4 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 10-48
— record in first 5 innings: 19-21-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 0.2-3-x

Old Post 05-21-24 07:36 AM
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Atlanta (27-17) @ Cubs (26-22)
— Morton is 1-1, 2.74 in his last four starts.
— Atlanta is 3-1 in his road starts.
— under 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-2
— He is 4-8, 5.38 in 19 starts vs Chicago.

— Braves lost four of their last five games.
— They’re 11-9 on the road.
— Braves are 11-4 in series openers.
— under 21-3 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 13-44
— record in first 5 innings: 24-14-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6-4.2

— Assad is 2-0, 1.33 in his last five starts.
— Chicago is 6-3 in his starts.
— under 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-2
— He is 1-0, 3.55 in 4 games (2 starts) vs Atlanta

— Cubs are 3-6 in their last nine games.
— They’re 14-9 at home.
— Cubs are 4-3 in home series openers.
— under 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 12-48
— record in first 5 innings: 19-18-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4.1-x

Old Post 05-21-24 07:36 AM
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Arizona (22-26) @ Los Angeles (33-17)
— Pfaadt is 0-2, 3.96 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 3-6 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-3
— He is 0-2, 9.35 in two starts against the Dodgers

— Arizona lost three of last four games.
— Diamondbacks are 10-13 on road.
— over 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 16-48
— record in first 5 innings: 20-18-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-3

— Stone is 3-0, 1.38 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 6-2 in his starts.
— over 4-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Dodgers are 6-2 in their last eight games.
— Dodgers are 11-1 in their last 12 home games.
— over 5-3 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 20-49
— record in first 5 innings: 29-17-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.2-2.2

Old Post 05-21-24 07:36 AM
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(901) SAN DIEGO (25-25) at (902) CINCINNATI (19-28)
Trend: Joe Musgrove is 7-1 (+6.05 units) vs Cincinnati in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY SAN DIEGO (-120 at CIN)

Trend: Joe Musgrove is 9-1 (+7.85 units) on the ROAD within the line range of +100 to -115 in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY SAN DIEGO (*if they fall into this line range, -120 currently)

(903) SAN FRANCISCO (23-25) at (904) PITTSBURGH (22-26)
Trend: Martin Perez is 11-5 (+6.30 units) as an underdog within +100 to +110 line range in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY PITTSBURGH (*if they fall into this line range, +114 currently*)

(905) MILWAUKEE (27-20) at (906) MIAMI (16-33)
Trend: MIA is 8-27 (-16.86 units) as an underdog within line range -109 to +154 with Trevor Rogers since 2020
System Match: FADE MIAMI (+120 vs MIL)

(913) SEATTLE (26-22) at (914) NEW YORK-AL (33-16)
Trend: NYY is 9-1 (+7.45 units) as a night large favorite of -155 or higher with starter Clarke Schmidt in career
System Match: PLAY NY YANKEES (-162 vs SEA)

(915) CHICAGO-AL (14-34) at (916) TORONTO (21-25)
Trend: Yusei Kikuchi is 12-16 (-11.96 units) as a night home favorite in career
System Match: FADE TORONTO (-185 vs CWS)

Old Post 05-21-24 10:48 PM
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Seattle (26-22) @ Bronx (33-16)
— Woo is 1-0, 0.92 in two starts (9.2 IP).
— Seattle is 2-0 in his starts
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He threw 5.1 scoreless IP in his one start vs New York.

— Seattle is 5-3 in its last eight games.
— Mariners are 11-12 on the road.
— over 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 10-48
— record in first 5 innings: 21-21-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-3

— Schmidt is 3-0, 1.37 in his last three starts.
— New York is 8-1 in his starts.
— under 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 7-1-1
— He threw 5.2 scoreless IP in his one start vs Seattle.

— New York is 14-4 in its last 18 games.
— They’re 16-7 at home.
— under 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-49
— record in first 5 innings: 27-14-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-1.2

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