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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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NCAAF
Saturday, October 27
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Florida at Georgia: What bettors need to know
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Florida at Georgia (6.5, 46.5)
The last big test for No. 3 Florida and the obstacle standing in the way of a spot in the SEC Championship Game comes this weekend with No. 11 Georgia. The annual cocktail party in Jacksonville, Florida, takes place on Saturday afternoon. The Bulldogs are the only team in the SEC East with a chance to steal the Gators’ spot in the SEC title game but will need to win out to make it happen. If Florida gets by Georgia, it will have clinched a spot in the big game thanks to head-to-head wins over South Carolina and the Bulldogs. Any remaining doubts about the Gators’ legitimacy were wiped away with that 44-11 drubbing of the Gamecocks last weekend, and quarterback Jeff Driskel has emerged as a threat in both the passing and running game. The Bulldogs have been less impressive, getting drilled by South Carolina and barely scraping by Tennessee and Kentucky in the last three games.
TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS.
LINE: Florida -6.5, O/U 46.5.
WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-70s with a 33 percent chance of showers. Winds will be strong out of the north at 21 mph.
ABOUT FLORIDA (7-0, 6-0 SEC): The Gators have one game left in a brutal four-game stretch that included LSU and South Carolina. Florida struggled on both sides of the ball at times during its 7-6 campaign in 2011 but has tightened things up in 2012, especially on the defensive end. The Gators are fourth nationally in scoring defense, surrendering just 12.1 points, and held the Gamecocks to 36 rushing yards last Saturday. Driskel, who rushed for 177 yards in a win at Vanderbilt and passed for 219 at Tennessee, was efficient in the red zone against South Carolina with four touchdown passes. The sophomore has been asked to manage the game more than carry the offense and has responded with a 9-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio for an offense averaging better than 30 points.
ABOUT GEORGIA (6-1, 4-1): The Bulldogs put up at least 48 points in each of their first three conference games but had their defense exposed in a 51-44 win over the Volunteers on Sept. 29. Including that contest, Georgia has allowed 34.3 points over its last three games. That has put more pressure on quarterback Aaron Murray, who matched Driskel with a four-TD, no-interception performance in a 29-24 win at Kentucky last weekend. Murray became the school’s all-time leader in touchdown passes with that effort while putting up 427 yards through the air. But the only top-20 defense Murray has faced in 2012 was South Carolina, which forced him into a season-worst 11-for-31 passing performance with no touchdowns. Murray was 15-for-34 for 169 yards, two touchdowns and one interception last season against Florida but converted a pair of fourth downs for scores to help pull out a 24-20 victory.
TRENDS:
* Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Gators are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
EXTRA POINTS:
1. Second-year Florida coach Will Muschamp played at Georgia from 1991-94 and was defensive captain as a safety his senior year.
2. The Bulldogs’ victory last season snapped a three-game losing streak in the series. Georgia leads the series overall at 48-40-2.
3. Bulldogs DE Abry Jones (ankle) won't play, but OLB Jarvis Jones (ankle), who missed the Kentucky game, is expected to return.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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10-27-12 05:58 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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NCAAF
Saturday, October 27
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Ohio State at Penn State: What bettors need to know
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Ohio State at Penn State (-1, 50.5)
In a down year for the Big Ten, the two best teams might be the only two that are banned from postseason play. Ohio State is the lone Big Ten team without a loss but is still dealing with sanctions left over from the Jim Tressel regime. Penn State has won five straight and is the only team other than Ohio State coming into this weekend undefeated in Leaders Division play. But the Nittany Lions, like the Buckeyes, will be watching the postseason from home. Instead of the Big Ten championship game, the two best teams in the conference will meet Saturday evening at Beaver Stadium. Ohio State hopes to have quarterback Braxton Miller at 100 percent by game time. The dark horse Heisman contender was knocked out of last weekend’s victory over Purdue and sent to the hospital to be checked out. Miller cleared all the tests this week, but will be closely monitored.
TV: 5:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.
LINE: Penn State -1, O/U 50.5.
WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s with a 35 percent chance of showers. Winds will be light out of the east.
ABOUT OHIO STATE (8-0, 4-0 Big Ten): Buckeyes coach Urban Meyer expects Miller to start Saturday, with backup Kenny Guiton ready if needed. Guiton led a game-tying touchdown drive against the Boilermakers and helped the team pull out a 29-22 victory in overtime. Miller, who is 41 yards short of 1,000 rushing yards on the season, will be running into a Penn State defense that has yielded an average of 13.8 points over its last five games. An area of greater concern for Meyer could be on the other side of the ball, where Ohio State has been gouged for 36.3 points over the last three games. The Buckeyes rank 11th in the Big Ten against the pass, surrendering 271.8 yards through the air. They have made up for it with 11 interceptions but will be going up against a quarterback in Matt McGloin who is at the top of his game.
ABOUT PENN STATE (5-2, 3-0): McGloin led the 38-14 thrashing of Iowa last weekend and ranks second in the Big Ten in passing yardage at 1,788. His 14-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio is the best in the league. Expectations were low for the Nittany Lions after crushing sanctions and two losses to open the season, but first-year coach Bill O’Brien has pulled the team together on both sides of the ball. Known as an offensive coordinator, O’Brien’s defense has been just as strong over the last five games. Penn State is second in the Big Ten against the run, averaging only 110.1 yards allowed, and held Illinois dual-threat quarterback Nathan Scheelhaase to seven yards on 11 carries in a 35-7 drubbing Sept. 29.
TRENDS:
* Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.
* Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a win.
* Buckeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Nittany Lions are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall.
EXTRA POINTS:
1. The vacated wins over the past several seasons by each team has changed the historical record between the schools. Ohio State lists the series as tied, 13-13, while Penn State has the Buckeyes leading 14-8 (noting five vacated wins for the Nittany Lions).
2. Penn State won the meeting last season 20-14 in Columbus. Miller threw for a touchdown and ran for another but was sacked on the final play.
3. Ohio State has rushed for at least 100 yards in each of its eight games in 2012.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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10-27-12 05:59 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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NCAAF
Short Sheet
Week 9
First Post
Saturday, October 27, 2012
(TC) Navy at East Carolina, 3:30 ET
Navy: 7-0 ATS away off a home win by 3 points or less
East Carolina: 1-9 ATS off BB games scoring 37+ points
(TC) Massachusetts at Vanderbilt, 7:00 ET
Massachusetts: 1-4 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Vanderbilt: 9-2 ATS in home games
(TC) Ohio U at Miami OH, 3:30 ET
Ohio U: 1-8 ATS off a road game
Miami OH: 23-10 Under in October
Ball State at Army, 12:00 ET CBSSN
Ball State: 6-0 ATS off a conference win
Army: 9-1 Over vs. MAC opponents
(TC) Akron at Central Michigan, 3:30 ET
Akron: 2-9 ATS vs. conference opponents
Central Michigan: 9-2 Over vs. conference opponents
(TC) Eastern Michigan at Bowling Green, 3:30 ET
Eastern Michigan: 2-11 ATS away after scoring 37+ points
Bowling Green: 8-0 Under at home off a conference game
Northern Illinois at Western Michigan, 12:00 ET
Northern Illinois: 15-5 ATS off a conference game
Western Michigan: 1-5 ATS as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
Temple at Pittsburgh, 12:00 ET
Temple: 11-2 Under in road games
Pittsburgh: 10-2 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games
Indiana at Illinois, 12:00 ET BTN
Indiana: 10-1 Over off 3+ losses
Illinois: 2-10 ATS off 4+ games allowing 31+ points
(TC) Purdue at Minnesota, 3:30 ET BTN
Purdue: 10-22 ATS on road after playing last game on road
Minnesota: 21-9 Over at home off 1 or more overs
Iowa at Northwestern, 12:00 ET
Iowa: 45-25 Under in road games
Northwestern: 7-1 ATS in all games
(TC) Duke at Florida State, 3:30 ET
Duke: 22-10 Under in road games against conference opponents
Florida St: 19-6 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 of 5
(TC) = Time Change
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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10-27-12 06:02 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
|
NCAAF
Short Sheet
Week 9
First Update
Saturday, October 27, 2012
(TC) Maryland at Boston College, 1:00 ET
Maryland: 0-6 ATS off a conference loss
Boston College: 9-2 Under off an Under
(TC) Mississippi State at Alabama, 8:30 ET ESPN
Mississippi State: 7-0 Under off a home win
Alabama: 6-0 ATS in October
Utah State at Texas San Antonio, 2:00 ET
Utah State: 6-0 ATS playing on artificial turf
Texas SA: * No Trends Available *
(TC) Hawaii at Colorado State, 7:00 ET
Hawaii: 21-7 Over off a conference loss
Colorado State: 0-6 ATS off a road game
(TC) Baylor at Iowa State, 7:00 ET
Baylor: 6-0 Over as an underdog
Iowa State: 8-29 ATS off BB games having 125 or less rushing yards
(TC) Texas A&M at Auburn, 7:00 ET ESPNU
Texas A&M: 14-4 Over off 3+ ATS losses
Auburn: 0-4 ATS after scoring and allowing 17 points or less
(TC) California at Utah, 9:45 ET
California: 16-36 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
Utah: 22-10 Over off a conference loss
(TC) Texas at Kansas, 12:00 ET
Texas: 9-0 Over off 5+ Overs
Kansas: 26-46 ATS off a conference loss by 10+ points
Michigan State at Wisconsin, 3:30 ET ABC | ESPN2
Michigan State: 2-11 ATS away off ATS losses in 4 of their last 5 games
Wisconsin: 16-4 ATS at home off BB conference wins
(TC) Colorado at Oregon, 3:00 ET
Colorado: 2-12 ATS as a road underdog
Oregon: 13-4 Over in home games
(TC) NC State at North Carolina, 12:30 ET
NC State: 20-8 ATS off BB Unders
North Carolina: 16-4 Under at home off a combined score of 60+ points
Boise State at Wyoming, 3:30 ET CBSSN
Boise State: 25-11 ATS after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games
Wyoming: 5-15 ATS off BB Unders
(TC) UTEP at Houston, 4:30 ET
UTEP: 6-0 Under in October
Houston: 9-2 ATS off a conference game
(TC) BYU at Georgia Tech, 3:00 ET
BYU: 6-0 ATS as an underdog
Georgia Tech: 2-9 ATS after the first month of the season
Florida vs. Georgia, 3:30 ET CBS
Florida: 6-0 ATS vs. conference opponents
Georgia: 0-8 ATS as an underdog
(TC) Kentucky at Missouri, 12:00 ET ESPNU
Kentucky: 0-7 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points
Missouri: 32-16 ATS off a loss by 17+ points
(TC) UCLA at Arizona State, 3:00 ET FX
UCLA: 1-8 ATS in October
Arizona State: 11-1 Over at home off a loss by 21+ points
USC at Arizona, 3:30 ET ABC | ESPN2
USC: 6-0 ATS in the second half of the season
Arizona: 10-2 Over off a conference game
Kent State at Rutgers, 3:30 ET
Kent State: 6-0 ATS playing on artificial turf
Rutgers: 6-0 Under at home off BB wins
Texas State at San Jose State, 4:00 ET
Texas State: * No Trends Available *
San Jose State: 8-1 ATS off an Over
(TC) Washington State at Stanford, 6:15 ET
Washington State: 8-2 Over off an ATS loss
Stanford: 13-3 ATS off a win by 17+ points
(TC) Ohio State at Penn State, 5:30 ET ESPN
Ohio State: 9-1 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less
Penn State: 8-1 Under in home games
(TC) Oregon State at Washington, 10:15 ET
Oregon State: 8-0 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
Washington: 15-30 ATS off a conference road loss
(TC) Texas Tech at Kansas State, 3:30 ET FOX
Texas Tech: 6-0 Over with a total of 56.5 to 63 points
Kansas State: 10-2 ATS vs. conference opponents
Syracuse at South Florida, 7:00 ET
Syracuse: 22-9 ATS off a win by 28+ points
South Florida: 4-14 ATS as a favorite
(TC) TCU at Oklahoma State, 3:30 ET
TCU: 29-13 ATS off ATS losses in 3 of their last 4 games
Oklahoma State: 32-12 Over at home vs. conference opponents
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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10-27-12 06:04 PM |
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