It all began in 1997 when Denver came-out of the wild card round and went to the SB.
Since then, 15 years later the trend continues with 10 teams from the wild card round - non bye teams - making the SB.
Those 10 teams from the wild card round in the SB................................10-0 ATS and 7-3 SU.
Since free agency began in 1993, there's evidence that it _seems to have weakened the better teams.
Just 2 short years later in 1995 _and the higher seeds could no longer cover the spread in the SB.
4 years later is when teams from the wild card round began their assult on the SB, as posted above.
In the 17 SB's since 1995 just 2 higher seeded teams have covered the spread and one of those was 2004 no.1 seed Eagles who happen to be a 7 pt dog to the no.2 seeded Pats.
That leaves just 1 higher seeded team (the 98 Broncos covering_as a no.1 seed against no.2 seeded Falcons)__to cover the line as a Fav. I don't like those odds so my final play of the year is:
Balt +3' for 3 units. If the line creeps up between now and game time I will add to my wager.
Happy wagering to all!
P.S. Smoked Brisket, Ribs and Links for SB Sunday. There's no place like Texas!
Balt +4 -105 for 1 unit
Flacco MVP +200 for 1 unit
Parlay Balt +4 -105 & Over 47' 1 unit to win 2.7
-> Dog is 8-3 ats in last 11 SB's.
-> Teams off B2B road games are 5-2 SU and 6-0-1 ATS s/99.
-> In last 11 SB's, the team with the better regular season record went 1-10 ATS and 0-9 ATS in L9.
-> Any team including SB teams off B2B games totalling 70+pts are 3-8 SU and ATS s/83.
not trying to agrue but maybe I remember it wrong, wasnt the NE/PHI spread 7? i thought it busted but I could be wrong, may also depend on the line from any given book
I know all the rules but the rules do not know me, Guaranteed- Eddie Vedder