StatFox.com - Sports Handicapping Community

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping

The FoxDen Forum : Powered by vBulletin version 2.3.0 The FoxDen Forum > Sports Handicapping, Trends, and Stats > Dog Series Chase (31-2 +27.49 units)
Search The Fox Den Forum:

Subscribe to this Thread
Pages (10): « 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 [8] 9 10 »

Last Message   Next Message
    
Author
Message    Post A Reply
pshinnamon
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 6463

Re Austin tx5

Hey in my eariler reference I did not refer to you. I was bashing the guessers.

PS thanks for SF Giants and Texas. We have a chance with both of these.

Pete




Terpman

Old Post 05-16-07 04:12 AM
pshinnamon is offline Click Here to See the Profile for pshinnamon Click here to Send pshinnamon a Private Message Edit post   Report post
austintx05


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 188

read above...i copied verbatim what jkaul told me

Old Post 05-16-07 04:30 AM
austintx05 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for austintx05 Click here to Send austintx05 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
austintx05


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 188

verbatim from jkaul

Don't play ON a team that is 3-7 or worse over last 10 games
Don't play AGAINST a team that is 7-3 or better over last 10 games

Play on team needs to be at least .400 overall against opponent over the last 3 years or .400 or better at the site of the series for the last 3 years.

I won't disqualify a play if one of these angles is not met, but both makes it a no play.

Also, after a team has played 10 games at home or on the road, the .400 rule comes into effect also. Like above, a team won't be disqualified for failing to hit .400 on one, but if is below .400 on 2 categories becomes a no play.

Finally, if a team is sub .400 in one of the 3 categories I apply one final filter.

Take team's record for the season (road or home)
Add
Team's record vs opponent last 3 years overall
Add
Team's record vs opponent last 3 years at site of series
Add
Reverse of opponent's record for the season (home or road)

Example
Team A is 3-7 on the road this year (.300)
Team A is 12-4 vs Team B over the last 3 years
Team A is 4-4 at Team B over the last 3 years
Team B is 6-5 at home this year

3-7
12-4
4-4
5-6 (reverse)

Old Post 05-16-07 04:34 AM
austintx05 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for austintx05 Click here to Send austintx05 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
htdykid
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2007
Posts: 3183

NYY will be a favorite with DeSalvo or at worst a close UD. JKaul would make a call based on his belief at that point

Old Post 05-16-07 05:23 AM
htdykid is offline Click Here to See the Profile for htdykid Click here to Send htdykid a Private Message Edit post   Report post
austintx05


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 188

another nooseneck closer blows a 2 run lead....why did hancock have to die? coulda used benitez 6 feet under instead...

Old Post 05-16-07 05:29 AM
austintx05 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for austintx05 Click here to Send austintx05 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
RayFreez


Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 305

What about Texas

I played them yesterday, when they were dogs, they were also dogs today according to yesterdays lines but now appears they are slight favorite at -110. So are they a play still or what.

What do you do about teams that are dogs for the first two games then the line changes for the second and there not dogs anymore?

Thank you and GL

Ray




Ray Freez

I Post my opinion - because I can.

Old Post 05-16-07 11:05 AM
RayFreez is offline Click Here to See the Profile for RayFreez Click here to Send RayFreez a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Dark Horse
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: May 2005
Posts: 3765

Any new series starting?

I guess I better start learning this system. lol

Old Post 05-16-07 05:34 PM
Dark Horse is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Dark Horse Click here to Send Dark Horse a Private Message Edit post   Report post
PhilliePhan


Registered: Dec 2006
Posts: 297

the system's thread

http://forums.statfox.com/forum/showthread.php?threadid=26528

Old Post 05-16-07 10:17 PM
PhilliePhan is offline Click Here to See the Profile for PhilliePhan Click here to Send PhilliePhan a Private Message Edit post   Report post
austintx05


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 188

exact same thign i have posted twice in this thread..

ther ******* giants better not get swept...this is hore****...

Old Post 05-17-07 04:54 AM
austintx05 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for austintx05 Click here to Send austintx05 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Dark Horse
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: May 2005
Posts: 3765

Step 1:

New series starting 5/18:

ATL@BOS
BAL@WAS
CWS@CHC
NYY@NYM
MIN@MIL
TOR@PHI
ARI@PIT
KCC@COL
FLA@TB
SFG@OAK
TEX@HOU
CIN@CLE
STL@DET
LAD@LAA
SDP@SEA

Old Post 05-17-07 03:08 PM
Dark Horse is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Dark Horse Click here to Send Dark Horse a Private Message Edit post   Report post
mzaiman


Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 250

Question

Do we have both SF and Texas in game 3 of the chase? I am curious because they both have lost the past 2 days and i have been on them, and i havn't seen any updates about the chases from anyone.

Old Post 05-17-07 05:14 PM
mzaiman is offline Click Here to See the Profile for mzaiman Click here to Send mzaiman a Private Message Edit post   Report post
maineroad


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 72

I wonder if the inter-league aspect makes the whole weekend a no-go.

Old Post 05-17-07 07:30 PM
maineroad is offline Click Here to See the Profile for maineroad Edit post   Report post
nijotaylor


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 11

Texas and S.F. did not qualify as a chase under this system. Continue to play at your own risk. These were NO PLAY series and I recommend that they not be calculated in the totals for this system. Good Luck to All!

Old Post 05-17-07 08:47 PM
nijotaylor is offline Click Here to See the Profile for nijotaylor Edit post   Report post
AkiraWulf
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 2398

Inter-league series are all no plays.

Old Post 05-17-07 08:48 PM
AkiraWulf is offline Click Here to See the Profile for AkiraWulf Click here to Send AkiraWulf a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Dewvy20


Registered: May 2006
Posts: 40

Jkaul save us

i hope jkaul gets back soon, cuz this sux, i havent played anything and i wont until i get word from the man himself




Rory Duval......Rollin

Old Post 05-17-07 11:57 PM
Dewvy20 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Dewvy20 Edit post   Report post
austintx05


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 188

why would interleague all be a no play?

and yes SF was a chase

Old Post 05-18-07 12:13 AM
austintx05 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for austintx05 Click here to Send austintx05 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
nijotaylor


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 11

There is no significant head to head data or a records at opposing ballparks. Available data does not fit within the guidelines of this system. NO PLAY

Old Post 05-18-07 12:21 AM
nijotaylor is offline Click Here to See the Profile for nijotaylor Edit post   Report post
austintx05


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 188

im curious why you say SF is not a play?

Old Post 05-18-07 01:49 AM
austintx05 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for austintx05 Click here to Send austintx05 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Dark Horse
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: May 2005
Posts: 3765

I'm sure we can all figure this out. It's not rocket science.

What's step 2? Filters first, or checking the dog sh*t?

(I many not bother about interleague filters if the pitching matchups look good).

Old Post 05-18-07 03:04 AM
Dark Horse is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Dark Horse Click here to Send Dark Horse a Private Message Edit post   Report post
austintx05


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 188

i have posteed jkaul's word verbatim, bnut many have chose not to read....

SF was a winner

Old Post 05-18-07 06:26 AM
austintx05 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for austintx05 Click here to Send austintx05 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Post A Reply
  
Pages (10): « 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 [8] 9 10 »   Last Message   Next Message

Quick Links: