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Oak3


Registered: Feb 2003
Posts: 60

Florida is the home team, (batting last )but playing in Seattle, so still a play ?

Old Post 06-26-11 08:00 PM
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jeffdane
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 3412

6-22 605 pm. my post.

read this post to find what im doing.

the updated number for june, under the newly found trend, is 36-4 .

the phillies lost last nite as a favorite of over -180. 1st time this month.

i only use home team criteria. the favorites over -180 must be home team. all the rest will be away teams, which means we are fading the home team that tla picks, but only if we are fading the public and the dog ml is not over +150




“Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.”

Old Post 06-26-11 08:40 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

6/27

2011 Season
5/13 - 6/28
Home: 79-51 (+4.91)
Away: 67-67 (-8.72)
Home Teams: -160> 38-13 (+15.31)
InterLeague Home: 20-12 (+2.65)
InterLeague Away: 16-21 (-8.58)

6/1 – 6/28
Home: 46-35 (-4.33)
Away: 41-42 (-5.89)
Home Teams: -160 or Greater 25-8 (+11.26)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 17-1 (+15.16)
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 44-15 (+19.75)
InterLeague Home: 15-12 (-2.35)
InterLeague Away: 11-15 (-6.71)

6/26
Home: 1-2 (-1.71)
Phi-240 W
CWS-155 L
FL-116 L

Away: 1-0 (+1.0)
Tor-112 W

6/27
Home:
TB-138
AZ-164
LAA-135
Sea-113

Away:
Col-111

GL

Old Post 06-27-11 06:47 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

6/28

2011 Season
5/13 - 6/28
Home: 80-54 (+1.76)
Away: 67-68 (--9.83)
Home Teams: -160> 38-14 (+13.67)
InterLeague Home: 21-15 (-.5)
InterLeague Away: 16-21 (-8.58)

6/1 – 6/28
Home: 47-38 (-7.48)
Away: 41-43 (-7.0)
Home Teams: -160 or Greater 25-9 (+9.62)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 17-1 (+15.16)
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 48-15 (+23.75)
InterLeague Home: 16-13 (-5.5)
InterLeague Away: 11-15 (-6.71)

6/27
Home: 1-3 (-3.15)
TB-138 L
AZ-164 L
LAA-135 W
Sea-113 L

Away: 0-1 (-1.11)
Col-111 L

6/28
Home:
AZ-154
Oak-170

Away:
Mil+120
StL+128
TX-169
CWS+128
SF(G1)-127

GL

Old Post 06-28-11 06:54 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

6/29

2011 Season
5/13 - 6/30
Home: 82-54 (+3.76)
Away: 70-70 (-8.55)
Home Teams: -160> 39-14 (+14.67)
InterLeague Home: 23-15 (+1.5)
InterLeague Away: 18-23 (-8.3)

6/1 – 6/30
Home: 49-38 (-5.48)
Away: 44-45 (-5.72)
Home Teams: -160 or Greater 26-9 (+10.62)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 17-1 (+15.16)
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 49-16 (+23.1)
InterLeague Home: 18-15 (-3.5)
InterLeague Away: 13-17 (-6.43)

6/28
Home: 2-0 (+2.0)
AZ-154 W
Oak-170 W

Away: 3-2 (+1.28)
Mil+120 L
StL+128 W
TX-169 W
CWS+128 W
SF(G1)-127 W

6/29
Home:
TB-170
Min-137
Sea-142
LAA-142

Away:
SF-130
Mil+130

GL

Old Post 06-29-11 05:25 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

6/30

2011 Season
5/13 - 6/30
Home: 84-56 (+2.64)
Away: 70-72 (-10.85)
Home Teams: -160> 39-15 (+12.97)
InterLeague Home: 25-17 (+.38)
InterLeague Away: 18-24 (-9.3)

6/1 – 6/30
Home: 51-40 (-6.6)
Away: 44-47 (-8.02)
Home Teams: -160 or Greater 26-10 (+8.92)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 17-1 (+15.16)
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 53-16 (+27.1)
InterLeague Home: 20-17 (-4.62)
InterLeague Away: 13-18 (-7.43)

6/29
Home: 2-2 (-1.12)
TB-170 L
Min-137 W
Sea-142 L
LAA-142 W

Away: 0-2 (-2.3)
SF-130 L
Mil+130 L

6/30
Home:
NYY-184
Det-220
Phi-124
Oak-154
Hou+112

Away:
SF-110
StL-130

GL

Old Post 06-30-11 05:57 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

7/1

2011 Season
5/13 - 6/30
Home: 87-58 (+2.98)
Away: 71-73 (-10.95)
Home Teams: -160> 41-15 (+14.97)
InterLeague Home: 28-19 (+.72)
InterLeague Away: 19-24 (-8.3)

6/1 – 6/30
Home: 54-42 (-6.26)
Away: 45-48 (-8.12)
Home Teams: -160 or Greater 28-10 (+10.92)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 19-1 (+17.16)
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 55-17 (+27.8)
InterLeague Home: 23-19 (-4.28)
InterLeague Away: 14-18 (-6.43)

6/30
Home: 3-2 (+.34)
NYY-184 W
Det-220 W
Phi-124 L
Oak-154 L
Hou+112 W

Away: 1-1 (-.1)
SF-110 L
StL-130 W

7/1
Home:
Tor-150
Atl-172
Hou+117
Sea-132

Away:
Cle+114
Fla+155
LAD+108

GL

Old Post 07-01-11 05:28 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

7/2

2011 Season
5/13 - 7/31
Home: 89-60 (+2.48)
Away: 73-74 (-9.73)
Home Teams: -160> 42-15 (+15.97)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 19-1 (+17.16) [6/1 – 7/31]
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 57-19 (+26.45) [6/1 – 7/31]
InterLeague Home: 30-21 (+0.22)
InterLeague Away: 21-25 (-7.08)

6/1 – 6/30
Home: 54-42 (-6.26)
Away: 45-48 (-8.12)
Home Teams: -160 or Greater 28-10 (+10.92)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 19-1 (+17.16)
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 55-17 (+27.8)
InterLeague Home: 23-19 (-4.28)
InterLeague Away: 14-18 (-6.43)

7/1 – 7/31
Home: 2-2 (-.5)
Away: 2-1 (+1.22)
Home Teams: -160 or Greater 1-0 (+1.0)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 0-0 (0.0)
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 2-2 (-1.35)
InterLeague Home: 2-2 (-.5)
InterLeague Away: 2-1 (+1.22)

7/1
Home: 2-2 (-.5)
Tor-150 L
Atl-172 W
Hou+117 L
Sea-132 W

Away: 2-1 (+1.22)
Cle+114 W
Fla+155 L
LAD+108 W

7/2
Home: NO Plays Listed

Away:
Phi-161
NYY-122
CWS+102

GL

Old Post 07-02-11 06:42 PM
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teamfball


Registered: Jul 2010
Posts: 21

Can anyone send me a copy of the July 2 raw data sheet?
Thanks in advance, pm me for email address please.

Old Post 07-03-11 04:13 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

7/3

2011 Season
5/13 - 7/31
Home: 89-60 (+2.48)
Away: 76-74 (-6.71)
Home Teams: -160> 42-15 (+15.97)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 19-1 (+17.16) [6/1 – 7/31]
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 57-19 (+26.45) [6/1 – 7/31]
InterLeague Home: 30-21 (+0.22)
InterLeague Away: 24-25 (-4.06)

7/1 – 7/31
Home: 2-2 (-.5)
Away: 5-1 (+4.24)
Home Teams: -160 or Greater 1-0 (+1.0)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 0-0 (0.0)
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 2-2 (-1.35)
InterLeague Home: 2-2 (-.5)
InterLeague Away: 5-1 (+4.24)

7/2
Home: NO Plays Listed

Away: 3-0 (+3.02)
Phi-161 W
NYY-122 W
CWS+102 W

7/3
Home:
Atl-155
LAA-139
TX-200

Away:
SF+118
Phi-177
StL+137
Bos-200
CWS-134

GL

Old Post 07-03-11 05:41 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

I will not have access to a computer till later in the day for Tomorrow's Plays (July 4th).

If some one would post the plays, it would be appreciated.

I'll update as soon as I can.

Thanks.

Old Post 07-03-11 07:07 PM
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staf
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2007
Posts: 972

The logical approach site hasn't updated yet, but from the past numbers it looks like Washingon -172 at 1:00 will be a home play today.
Zimmerman was ranked 50th on the 24th and had 0 ER on 7 IP.
He dropped to 44th on the 29th, and had 0 ER on 8 IP.
Coleman hasn't pitched since the 11th, probably isn't ranked, and has less than 50 IP

Probable home play
Washington -172

Old Post 07-04-11 06:57 PM
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jeffdane
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 3412

washington, sf, and atl home

......

cinci, seatlle, and tb away

Old Post 07-04-11 07:01 PM
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staf
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2007
Posts: 972

Iskoe updated his table but the logical approach hasn't.

Old Post 07-04-11 07:07 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

7/5

2011 Season
5/13 - 7/31
Home: 92-63 (-.07)
Away: 78-80 (-12.35)
Home Teams: -160> 43-17 (+12.97)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 19-3 (+13.16) [6/1 – 7/31]
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 58-21 (+24.1) [6/1 – 7/31]
InterLeague Home: 31-23 (-2.33)
InterLeague Away: 25-29 (-8.17)

7/1 – 7/31
Home: 5-5 (-3.05)
Away: 7-7 (-1.4)
Home Teams: -160 or Greater 2-2 (-2.0)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 0-2 (-4.0)
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 3-4 (-3.7)
InterLeague Home: 3-4 (-3.05)
InterLeague Away: 6-5 (+.13)

7/3
Home: 1-2 (-2.55)
Atl-155 L
LAA-139 W
TX-200 L

Away: 1-4 (-4.11)
SF+118 L
Phi-177 L
StL+137 L
Bos-200 w
CWS-134 L

7/4
Home: 2-1 (0.0)
Wsh-170 W
SF-200 L
Atl-130 W

Away: 1-2 (-1.53)
Cin+107 L
Sea-105 W
TB-153 L

7/5
Home:
SF-145
Bos-230

Away:
Col+125
Phi-158
NYY-151
Sea-105

GL

Old Post 07-05-11 06:17 PM
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burytheb
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2005
Posts: 1977

Old Guy

Are the above the logical system?


Or some other system?


burytheb




Burytheb

Old Post 07-05-11 07:40 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

Old Guy
Are the above the logical system?


Or some other system?


burytheb

Its the Logical Approach SYS, that Jeff Started a few years back.
Some of the other info are some filters that seem to be working for the moment. This could all change after the All- Star Break.

Old Post 07-06-11 01:40 AM
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jacksonjohn


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 133

Fading

Does anyone have the record for playing the +1.5 RL against home team favorites less than -1.60 when the public is more than 50% on the home team?

I believe it was jeffdane who was testing this.

Old Post 07-06-11 01:47 AM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

7/6

2011 Season
5/13 - 7/31
Home: 93-64 (-.52)
Away: 81-81 (-10.35)
Home Teams: -160> 44-17 (+13.97)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 20-3 (+14.16) [6/1 – 7/31]
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 59-21 (+25.1) [6/1 – 7/31]
InterLeague Home: 31-23 (-2.33)
InterLeague Away: 25-29 (-8.17)

7/1 – 7/31
Home: 6-6 (-3.5)
Away: 10-8 (+.6)
Home Teams: -160 or Greater 3-2 (-1.0)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 1-2 (-3.0)
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 4-4 (-2.7)
InterLeague Home: 3-4 (-3.05)
InterLeague Away: 6-5 (+.13)

7/5
Home: 1-1 (-.45)
SF-145 L
Bos-230 W

Away: 3-1 (+2.0)
Col+125 L
Phi-158 W
NYY-151 W
Sea-105 W

7/6
Home:
Fla-128
Atl-195
LAD-122
Cle-102
TX-179

Away:
Hou+108
Sea+109
Tor+110

GL

Old Post 07-06-11 06:15 PM
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oldguy


Registered: Oct 2003
Posts: 396

7/7

2011 Season
5/13 - 7/31
Home: 97-65 (+2.26)
Away: 82-83 (-11.27)
Home Teams: -160> 46-17 (+15.97)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 21-3 (+15.16) [6/1 – 7/31]
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 61-22 (+25.9) [6/1 – 7/31]
InterLeague Home: 31-23 (-2.33)
InterLeague Away: 25-29 (-8.17)

7/1 – 7/31
Home: 10-7 (-.72)
Away: 11-10 (-.32)
Home Teams: -160 or Greater 5-2 (+1.0)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 2-2 (-2.0)
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 6-1 (-1.9)
InterLeague Home: 3-4 (-3.05)
InterLeague Away: 6-5 (+.13)

7/6
Home: 4-1 (+2.78)
Fla-128 W
Atl-195 W
LAD-122 L
Cle-102 W
TX-179 W

Away: 1-2 (-.92)
Hou+108 W
Sea+109 L
Tor+110 L

7/7
Home:
LAD-151
NYY-179
CWS-151

Away:
CHC+101

GL

Old Post 07-07-11 06:38 PM
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