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Bytore
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 16059

Last game a winner.

Today.

Orlando 2.10

Estimated profit on system. 1.85% to 2%.

Atlanta still the short.

I keep everything the same. It is the machine I call "Seneca".

Slowly, the trend lines will change to 13/34.

I build various trend-lines now, to see if I can profit next year, from early losers.

I think the machine would be up about 8 to 10% if I fix things right.

I make mistakes posting my samples, however I think you get the idea.

I set all the vig in my machine to .5% less profit, so it had to make a profit. Somewhere...

See below. The bet is correct per dollar. I only take a .95 cent profit. So no line discrepancy sort of thing long term. It will all average out.

$100.00 -$0.27 $0.00 11/25/2023 $99.73
$99.73 -$0.74 $0.95 11/26/2023 $99.94
$99.94 -$0.65 $0.95 11/28/2023 $100.25
$100.25 -$0.33 $0.00 11/30/2023 $99.92
$99.92 -$0.71 $0.95 12/2/2023 $100.15
$100.15 -$0.42 $0.95 12/6/2023 $100.68
$100.68 -$0.79 $0.95 12/8/2023 $100.84
$100.84 -$0.60 $0.95 12/11/2023 $101.19
$101.19 -$0.57 $0.95 12/13/2023 $101.57
$101.57 -$0.55 $0.00 12/15/2023 $101.01
$101.01 -$0.65 $0.95 12/16/2023 $101.32
$101.32 -$0.18 $0.00 12/18/2023 $101.14
$101.14 -$0.59 $0.00 12/20/2023 $100.55
$100.55 -$0.53 $0.95 12/22/2023 $100.97
$100.97 -$0.49 $0.95 12/23/2023 $101.43
$101.43 -$0.47 $0.95 12/26/2023 $101.92
$101.92 -$0.52 $0.95 12/29/2023 $102.35
$102.35 -$0.33 $0.00 12/31/2023 $102.02
$102.02 -$0.53 $0.00 1/3/2024 $101.50
$101.50 -$0.60 $0.95 1/5/2024 $101.85

And yes, I am only betting, 48 cents today!!!

I want too keep it clean!!!

The concept, of $100 to One Million Dollars.

I am not allowed to cheat...


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KnIgXtE4K5U




"Today's Tom Sawyer, he gets high on you
And the space he invades, he gets by on you..."

RUSH

Old Post 01-07-24 06:14 PM
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Bytore
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 16059

Last game a winner.

Philadelphia today.

Got it at 2.

This system now at a 2.32% gain.




"Today's Tom Sawyer, he gets high on you
And the space he invades, he gets by on you..."

RUSH

Old Post 01-10-24 05:55 PM
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Bytore
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 16059

Last game was a loss.


Indiana 2.75

Up 1.82%

Very precise really.

Letting it roll. Could win a coffee one day...

Old Post 01-12-24 09:50 PM
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Bytore
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 16059

Winner.

New high. 2.41% or better.

I like new highs...

WAS 3.10




"Today's Tom Sawyer, he gets high on you
And the space he invades, he gets by on you..."

RUSH

Old Post 01-13-24 05:26 PM
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Bytore
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 16059

I am on San Antonio as I type.

I missed posting, however, I short Atlanta so it is continuing for a few games at least. I do not deviate.

Atlanta would need to win 3 out of 5 or so to pull out or be a super dog.

Last game was a winner.

I got SA this morning at 3.5.

Short still on!!!




"Today's Tom Sawyer, he gets high on you
And the space he invades, he gets by on you..."

RUSH

Old Post 01-15-24 10:54 PM
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Bytore
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 16059

Orlando 2.35




"Today's Tom Sawyer, he gets high on you
And the space he invades, he gets by on you..."

RUSH

Old Post 01-18-24 12:12 AM
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Bytore
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 16059

MIA 1.37

Yes, it will all even out. And should work based on eye-balling 20 years of data.

Eventually is a long time however...

More soon, sort of a look at things so far.

The ATS record is whopping!

All based on the Statfox line I cut and paste.

Last game was a loss. Up at least 3% still.




"Today's Tom Sawyer, he gets high on you
And the space he invades, he gets by on you..."

RUSH

Old Post 01-19-24 11:40 PM
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Bytore
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 16059

Loss yesterday.

Today Cleveland 1.71

The line is -2.5 at loto-Q.

So far, looks like a chart! More in a bit. My health is weak lately. So I'm slow!

$100.00 $0.00 $0.00 11/22/2023 $100.00
$100.00 -$0.27 $0.00 11/25/2023 $99.73
$99.73 -$0.74 $0.95 11/26/2023 $99.94
$99.94 -$0.65 $0.95 11/28/2023 $100.25
$100.25 -$0.33 $0.00 11/30/2023 $99.92
$99.92 -$0.71 $0.95 12/2/2023 $100.15
$100.15 -$0.42 $0.95 12/6/2023 $100.68
$100.68 -$0.79 $0.95 12/8/2023 $100.84
$100.84 -$0.60 $0.95 12/11/2023 $101.19
$101.19 -$0.57 $0.95 12/13/2023 $101.57
$101.57 -$0.55 $0.00 12/15/2023 $101.01
$101.01 -$0.65 $0.95 12/16/2023 $101.32
$101.32 -$0.18 $0.00 12/18/2023 $101.14
$101.14 -$0.59 $0.00 12/20/2023 $100.55
$100.55 -$0.53 $0.95 12/22/2023 $100.97
$100.97 -$0.49 $0.95 12/23/2023 $101.43
$101.43 -$0.47 $0.95 12/26/2023 $101.92
$101.92 -$0.52 $0.95 12/29/2023 $102.35
$102.35 -$0.33 $0.00 12/31/2023 $102.02
$102.02 -$0.53 $0.00 1/3/2024 $101.50
$101.50 -$0.60 $0.95 1/5/2024 $101.85
$101.85 -$0.48 $0.95 1/7/2024 $102.32
$102.32 -$0.50 $0.00 1/10/2024 $101.82
$101.82 -$0.36 $0.95 1/12/2024 $102.41
$102.41 -$0.32 $0.95 1/13/2024 $103.03
$103.03 -$0.29 $0.00 1/15/2024 $102.75
$102.75 -$0.43 $0.00 1/17/2024 $102.32
$102.32 -$0.75 $0.00 1/19/2024 $101.57




"Today's Tom Sawyer, he gets high on you
And the space he invades, he gets by on you..."

RUSH

Old Post 01-20-24 06:35 PM
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Bytore
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 16059

The last five or so do not need the .95 reduction. For illustrative purposes only. : )

It does not emulate a trade, the way I need it to.

It is like I pay a vig on each basket shot. That eats all the profits.

I will let it continue. I like to watch it like T.V.!!!

I want to see how the morning only ATS line plays out as well.

This is quite random, and the line quite beyond my control.

All the last place teams trigger after 10 games or so.

And I wait three days to grab the breakthrough. All good and easy to run.

Correct. I have no idea how it makes money...

Probably ATS???




"Today's Tom Sawyer, he gets high on you
And the space he invades, he gets by on you..."

RUSH

Old Post 01-20-24 08:26 PM
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Bytore
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 16059

SAC 1.32

The line on ATL 3.5

Line

The line is -7.5 and only pays 1.83 Atlanta pays 2.

This what I mean when I say I cannot set a line. Loto Q changes the value, not the line.

Not a biggie long-term. I set my charts to 1.9. as it averages out.

My fund lived to fight another day!




"Today's Tom Sawyer, he gets high on you
And the space he invades, he gets by on you..."

RUSH

Old Post 01-22-24 09:25 PM
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Bytore
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 16059

Golden State 1.40

Last game, winner.




"Today's Tom Sawyer, he gets high on you
And the space he invades, he gets by on you..."

RUSH

Old Post 01-24-24 06:36 PM
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Bytore
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 16059

Dallas 1.74

This opened yesterday at 2.10

It averages out strangely enough. Over thousands of bets.

Last game was a winner.




"Today's Tom Sawyer, he gets high on you
And the space he invades, he gets by on you..."

RUSH

Old Post 01-26-24 05:13 PM
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Bytore
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 16059

Toronto 2.90

Working. My shorting is up about 3% as I tallied it to loto Q.




"Today's Tom Sawyer, he gets high on you
And the space he invades, he gets by on you..."

RUSH

Old Post 01-28-24 02:43 PM
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Chris511
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 5305

Lets go!

Looking at this one

Old Post 01-28-24 03:36 PM
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Bytore
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 16059

Well Chris, it won ATS. :(

Those 1 point games!

I did design this to skim the profits, I do not know if it is a strong play on any given day.

I do know, Atlanta is weak, and that is the plan. Fade the weak.

Now going over the season. Time to up the game!

And games. I am now building shorts for every team, and will take either away or home.

The system should be done soon!

Often a math error creeps in, however I fix them.

Still going to run SU, I want to see if it matches money won or lost playing ATS.

ATS very nice fade so far.

26-6 ATS as a fade. Atlanta only.

And I like your accounting Chris!

Your posts are a pleasure to read. : )

The tough part for me, is all those American sports and team names!

Old Post 01-29-24 10:41 PM
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Bytore
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 16059

Took Memphis in a trade.

Very tough! I had to click 5 times and the screen still moves to another game.

It fits a pattern.I am just trying to grab the most profitable overall.

So it's short city for road teams. Seems to pay well.

Sacramento is tough. I need that! Well, my brain does.

This short started Jan 7 and lost me money. .3%.

I bought the 4 point lead so I lost a bit on the vig. I just hold it.




"Today's Tom Sawyer, he gets high on you
And the space he invades, he gets by on you..."

RUSH

Old Post 01-30-24 02:21 AM
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Bytore
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 16059

Added Dallas and Denver.

MEM 4.00

DAL 1.6

Denver 1.6

I had to look for a button to grab today's games when late and trading starts. Found it!

No idea why traded games fly all over the screen. Figure that out later.




"Today's Tom Sawyer, he gets high on you
And the space he invades, he gets by on you..."

RUSH

Old Post 01-30-24 02:41 AM
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Bytore
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 16059

Lakers 2.70

Lakers are down like Atlanta. Chart wise.

This is the last part of the puzzle to put together.

I cannot fade both at once.

It is the DRKerplunkenstein "epiphany". Mentioned on page 46 of the last book...

I am working on that part.

Maybe more plays later.

MEM lost.

The other two won yesterday.




"Today's Tom Sawyer, he gets high on you
And the space he invades, he gets by on you..."

RUSH

Old Post 01-30-24 06:57 PM
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Bytore
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 16059

MIA 1.47

OKL 1.74


I switched modes!

I am now making a daily fav line as well.

Some days all the favs win, sometimes they all lose. Rare however, that they lose many days in a row. New and dangerous!

The trading is difficult to program.

I am now switching things so shorts do not play each other.

Still gonna fade ATL till the end. It really is just a few teams thing and hard enough to spot or trigger in a program.




"Today's Tom Sawyer, he gets high on you
And the space he invades, he gets by on you..."

RUSH

Old Post 02-01-24 01:22 AM
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Bytore
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 16059

Two winners on the fav line idea.


Today.

UTAH 1.52

New York 1.6




"Today's Tom Sawyer, he gets high on you
And the space he invades, he gets by on you..."

RUSH

Old Post 02-01-24 03:47 PM
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