After years of gambling, I have found that every person hits about 50% over the long run. So I usually go with losing streaks and fade winning streaks. Two teams.. 50/50 chance..
give a man a fish, you feed him for a day, teach a man to fish, he'll sit in a boat and drink beer all day"
Marc Lawrence perfect system club
NFL 10/16/2016
WELL TRAVELED DOG
PLAY ON any NFL Game Six dog off a loss of 14 or less points if this is their 4th away game of the season and they are playing with revenge versus a foe off a win.
ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 14-0
Play On:Cincinnati Bengals
Rationale: NFL teams in in their 4th road game of the campaign, playing in Game Six
, are quickly accustomed to life on the road and tend to respond well when playing
off a loss against foes off a win.
100 DIME
-MAJOR WAGER-
UNDERDOG
GAME OF THE YEAR
#2 IN A ROW
Game Hasn't Started
My biggest NFL release of the entire year goes for 2 in a row.
Last Sunday I came with my biggest NFL release of the entire year and didn't disappoint with the 100 dime winner Titans (+3 1/2) 30-17 over Miami.
Today I come just as big with this 2nd straight 100 dime winner and once again it's an underdog I truly feel will win the game outright.
As for Saturday, once again came up short as the 80 dimer goes down with Virginia, who had covered 9 straight as a dog going back to last year.
However, that was yesterday and today is about today and my 2nd straight 100 dime winner.
Nothing more to say.
My biggest NFL release of the entire year goes for #2 in a row and just like last week, it will get the money.
This underdog is ready to bark for a 2nd straight week.
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StatFox Super Situations
NFL*|*LA RAMS*at*DETROIT
Play On - Road teams (LA RAMS) off 1 or more straight overs, poor offensive team - scoring 17 or less points/game
76-37*over the last 10 seasons.**(*67.3%*|*35.3 units*)
2-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*2.0 units*)
NFL*|*DALLAS*at*GREEN BAY
Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the money line (DALLAS) off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, in the first half of the season
37-8*since 1997.**(*82.2%*|*0.0 units*)
1-2*this year.**(*33.3%*|*0.0 units*)
NFL*|*PHILADELPHIA*at*WASHINGTON
Play Against - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (WASHINGTON) off a upset win as an underdog against opponent off a road loss
70-33*over the last 10 seasons.**(*68.0%*|*33.7 units*)
3-2*this year.**(*60.0%*|*0.8 units*)
NFL*|*CAROLINA*at*NEW ORLEANS
Play Under - Any team against the total versus division opponents, off a division game
137-77*over the last 5 seasons.**(*64.0%*|*52.3 units*)
3-6*this year.**(*33.3%*|*-3.6 units*)
NFL*|*DALLAS*at*GREEN BAY
Play Under - Home teams against the total after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers
59-26*over the last 5 seasons.**(*69.4%*|*30.4 units*)
4-1*this year.**(*80.0%*|*2.9 units*)
It's almost like MUSH is reading playbook for his plays. He makes a teaser basically getting two home favorites even or plus a couple points. Lawrence has GB -1, TEN -1.
We know at least one or both of these home teams will lose since MUSH will never win two bets at once.