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nijotaylor


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 11

Texas has a below .400 road record this year and a below .400 road record @Tampa Bay over the last 3 years. NO PLAY

San Fran. most likely will not be a dog tomorrow with Lowry vs. Albers. NO PLAY

Old Post 05-15-07 01:35 PM
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austintx05


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 188

Texas is 6-8 L3 years in TB WHICH IS A 42.8%

Texas is a play as long as they are dogged in game 2

Old Post 05-15-07 05:14 PM
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slowdive


Registered: Apr 2004
Posts: 95

texas-tampa games being played at disney world not in orlando for what its worth.

Old Post 05-15-07 05:30 PM
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maineroad


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 72

Can we start a fund to buy JKAUL a new computer?

Thanks for all of your efforts in his absense. Thanks to my gambling partner, we are only on Detroit at present, having not taken the plunge on Milwaukee and the Cubs.

Old Post 05-15-07 06:53 PM
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Zincdog


Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 177

No plays?

Both the Giants and the Rangers are -110 on Wednesday's early lines.




"How would you rate the thrill you got from gambling, on a scale of one to 100?"
"Um... hundred."
"And what about the biggest thrill you've ever had outside of gambling?"
"Twenty."

Old Post 05-15-07 07:15 PM
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austintx05


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 188

if yo look at the RL you can see who is favored....Ol;ympic shows Texas & SF as dogs...I would just wait a littler to see which way the money moves the line. The beauty of Matchbook

Old Post 05-15-07 07:24 PM
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marlee


Registered: Mar 2007
Posts: 191

Why don't you guys let JKaul do his own thing instead of trying to be him

Old Post 05-15-07 09:20 PM
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sunnyisle
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2006
Posts: 547

Agree

His system and rules for plays. It's been good.

Old Post 05-15-07 09:23 PM
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austintx05


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 188

there are several filters jkaul does and he wont disqualify a team just on 1 angle...

Old Post 05-15-07 09:37 PM
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pshinnamon
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 6463

ARE THERE ANY PLAYS

JKAUL's computer was giving him trouble yesterday. I'm assuming the same applies today. Has anyone actually figured out if there are any chases starting today?

Any help would be appreciated.

Pete




Terpman

Old Post 05-15-07 10:27 PM
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austintx05


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 188

SFG & Texas are both chases

Old Post 05-15-07 10:31 PM
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pshinnamon
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 6463

Re Plays for tonight

Thanks for the update.

If JKAUL is still down tomorrow how about we all belly up to the bar and buy him a new computer?

Pete




Terpman

Old Post 05-15-07 10:34 PM
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austintx05


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 188

i need a new one myself!

Old Post 05-15-07 10:36 PM
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austintx05


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 188

COPIED FROM AN EARLIER JKAUL THREAD

Don't play ON a team that is 3-7 or worse over last 10 games
Don't play AGAINST a team that is 7-3 or better over last 10 games

Play on team needs to be at least .400 overall against opponent over the last 3 years or .400 or better at the site of the series for the last 3 years.

I won't disqualify a play if one of these angles is not met, but both makes it a no play.

Also, after a team has played 10 games at home or on the road, the .400 rule comes into effect also. Like above, a team won't be disqualified for failing to hit .400 on one, but if is below .400 on 2 categories becomes a no play.

Finally, if a team is sub .400 in one of the 3 categories I apply one final filter.

Take team's record for the season (road or home)
Add
Team's record vs opponent last 3 years overall
Add
Team's record vs opponent last 3 years at site of series
Add
Reverse of opponent's record for the season (home or road)

Example
Team A is 3-7 on the road this year (.300)
Team A is 12-4 vs Team B over the last 3 years
Team A is 4-4 at Team B over the last 3 years
Team B is 6-5 at home this year

3-7
12-4
4-4
5-6 (reverse)

24-21 (.533)
This percentage needs to be .450 or above.

Texas is 17-12 L3 Years = .586
Texas is 6-8 L3 Years in TB = .428

5-13 on the road
17-12 L3 Years
6-8 at TB L3 years
Tampa is 8-9 at home (9-8 reverse)
==============================
36-42 = .468

Texas is a play

Old Post 05-15-07 11:20 PM
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cwin32
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 1952

Cardinals Fit

Cardinals fit all criteria if they are a dog all series which I assume they will be...can anyone verify?

They are 13-2 vs Dodgers last 3 years and 6-1 @ LA last 3

I'm still checking the rest...

Old Post 05-15-07 11:57 PM
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cwin32
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 1952

Angels Fit

Angels fit all criteria if they are a dog all series...can anyone verify?

They are 22-18 vs Mariners last 3 years and 11-7 @ LA last 3

I'm still checking the rest...

Old Post 05-16-07 12:03 AM
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cwin32
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 1952

Just

Those are the only 2 games I see that fit all the criteria. Not sure if JKaul will be up in running in time to confirm, but for you action junkies out there, I'm 99% sure these are the only 2 and they fit. I'm just not sure on being a dog all series so play at your own risk. GL

Old Post 05-16-07 12:05 AM
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ecarc
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 581

Cwin32

Angels favored tomorrow

Cards series started yesterday

Old Post 05-16-07 12:14 AM
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