|
msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
|
England vs. Colombia (2 p.m. ET)
Moneyline Odds: England +115, Colombia +295, Draw +225
Odds to Advance: England -175, Colombia +160
England are the favorites with roughly a 47% chance of winning in regulation and 63% of advancing to the quarterfinal. Just over half the moneyline tickets have come in on England (+115) to win in 90 minutes, which is expected.
Bettors have also been more apt to bet the underdog straight-up during the World Cup rather than the draw, and Colombia has received 34% of bets compared to just 10% for the match to go to extra time.
All of the early line movement has been toward Los Cafateros, who opened at +325 and are now at +295.
Spread bettors are just about split on England -0.5 (+114) and Colombia +0.5 (-130). This type of wager is identical to the moneyline for England (+114), but it’s a great option if you think Colombia will either win or draw and don’t want to make multiple bets.
Public bettors are not being shy about the over (2), and that’s where 80% of the tickets are going. Again there was initial movement toward the under, but juice has settled back to the opener, just like the Switzerland/Sweden total.
|
07-03-18 08:06 AM |
|
|
| |
|
Traderpro
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Mar 2009
Posts: 4375
|
Havent had time to contribute with WC,but looking at MLS match tonight.These folks have been decent with comps lately, but again too much juice here for me. GL
twitter.com/LpwSports Comp WC
Tuesday World Cup 1* Columbia/England Over 1.5(-197)
|
07-03-18 06:07 PM |
|
|
| |
|
msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
|
France vs. Uruguay, 10 a.m. ET, Fox Sports 1
France -103
Uruguay +366
Draw +216
Bet to Watch:
Diego Godin to Score First Goal +4850 (Bookmaker)
These are the two best defensive teams left in the tournament. Despite conceding three goals to Argentina, France conceded only four shots on target and 10 total shots. Sometimes 35-yard bombs and weird deflections happen. Uruguay, meanwhile, have given up one goal in the entire tournament. They’re built to win matches 1-0 while venturing forward as little as possible, doubly so since they’re expected to be without one of their two star strikers, Edinson Cavani, for at least the first part of the game.
Uruguay will be happy to sit back and make the game as muddy as possible while depending on either a wonder-strike from their remaining star forward, Luis Suarez, or more likely a set-piece goal. While Uruguay have experimented with their formation a little bit and have come to rely on a narrow diamond midfield, it hasn’t changed their extremely defensive — and effective — approach to international soccer. They do the thing they’ve done for the better part of a decade, and they do it very well.
France, meanwhile, will happily allow Uruguay to play their defensive style without taking many risks to break them down. The major question facing Didier Deschamps is how he’ll replace the suspended Blaise Matuidi. Matuidi plays vaguely on the left and vaguely in front of his midfield partners Paul Pogba and N’golo Kane (to the extent that it might also be accurate to call him the left-sided midfielder in the band of three attackers in front of Pogba and Kante). He brings defensive pressing abilities to advanced areas of the field, and is generally tasked with shutting down the opposition’s attacks before they start.
His suspension means Deschamps will need to decide between Corentin Tolisso, Thomas Lemar and Steven N’zonzi. Tolisso is a true center midfielder who is both a good pressing defender and creative passer, but who struggled when he started the opening match of the World Cup. Lemar is a hybrid left winger who is comfortable coming into central areas, and is by far the most aggressive midfield option. N’Zonzi could come in and anchor the midfield while Pogba moved into a more advanced position. Lastly, if Deschamps wants a truly attacking lineup, he could elect to start Ousman Dembele, although starting Dembele alongside Antoine Griezmann, Kylian Mbappe and Olivier Giroud would result in France depending on only two midfielders to patrol the rest of the territory.
However Descahmps decides to line up, it’s likely that France will not pour men forward in an attempt to overwhelm Uruguay. Instead, as they always do, France will leave their talented attackers on an island and depend on their skills to break down a determined defense, while making sure the rest of the team is held in reserve to not give up space on the counterattack.
It’s a method that’s worked so far, and probably won’t stop now. In the event that it does, though, expect Uruguay’s goal to come ugly from the kind of physical moment they excel on, with a big defender coming forward and scoring a towering header in a crowded penalty area.
|
07-06-18 08:00 AM |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|