2011 Season
5/13 - 5/28
Home: 18-9 (+4.64)
Away: 11-16 (-7.76)

5/22 (Inter-League)
Home: 1-0(+1.0)
AZ-160 W

Away: 4-2(+2.24)
HOU+129 W
TB-146 W
STL-167 W
LAD+118 L
SEA-135 W
OAK-105 L

5/23
Home:
Phi-166
Cle+107
TX-154
LAA-200

Away:
LAD-122
STL-123

GL

Now that my auto scoring and grading sheet is working, I’ve directed my focus to filtering the system as discussed late last year. My goal is to reduce risk, limiting the number of plays, increase ROI identifying winners with lower juice, by applying some test filters using the additional information contained in the LogicalApp sheet.

Yesterday the JD system was very profitable at 5-2 and +180 assuming a 100 risk per. However, risking only 300 the filtered plays yield was 3-0 and +237.

So FYI a few of my test filters are in play today.
---------------
STL –130, this filter is 2-0 since 5-13-11
ANA-210, this filter is 3-1 since 5-13-11, juice too high-----a pass for me.
TB –115, I know not a JD sys pick but the filter alone is 13-6 since 5-13-11, & big ROI.

teamfball,
thanks for the info.
will you continue posting these thru the season?
hopefully these filters continue thru the season.
thanks again.

I'd like to hear comments on my plan to play home teams -1.60 or less and fade the away team picks.

Anyone know how that would have done last year pre All Star and post All Star?

Pre all-star break, I get the home teams winning 63% but losing less than 1 unit.
Passing on games with odds worse than -160, I get them winning 60% and making a profit of less than 1 unit.
I only have data through mid August, but post all-star break they won 71% and were up over 20 units.
Passing on games with odds worse than -160, they won 55% and lost over 3 units.

Thanks staf. Sounds like the way to go is wait until after All Star break and only play those home teams favored by MORE than -1.60.

Do you have similar data on the away picks?

Fading road teams pre all-star break won 42% and lost 16 units.
With the -160 filter they won 44% and lost 12 units.

Fading road teams after the all-star break through mid August won 52% and 7 units.
With the -160 filter they won 55% and 5 units.

Betting ON the road teams pre all-star break, I get a profit of 7 units and 5 units with the -160 filter.

with the filters I created a couple years ago.

good luck this summer guys

I agree with you jeffdane. If the system works don't try and fix it. Does anybody have the figures from last year just playing the games with the original filters. I thought I saw somewhere that it won 50 units in July alone? Thanks for the system and good luck to everybody.

Will someone please direct me to the filters Jeffdane refers to above? I went to the first page of this thread and don't know how to access last year's if that's where they are.

Pitcher must be higher in ranking, value, and total power.
You can not bet on a 0 ranking but you can bet against if qualified.
I also think the pitcher we are playing must have 50 innings pitched.

Isn't all that built into the Excel sheet. I thought he was referring to filters outside of the automated plays.

It is built into the spreadsheet and I think those are all the filters that jeffdane uses.

http://forums.statfox.com/forum/showthread.php?threadid=150835&perpage=20&pagenumber=11

On July 20th last year Jeffdane suggested that we pass on teams 10 or more games below 500 and bet the runline if the odds are -230 or worse.
This didn't get tracked last year.
I'll fart around with my spreadsheet and see if I can come up with the results.

2011 Season
5/13 - 5/28
Home: 22-9 (+8.64)
Away: 12-17 (-7.98)

5/23
Home: 4-0(+4.0)
Phi-166 W
Cle+107 W
TX-154 W
LAA-200 W
Away: 1-1(-.22)
LAD-122 L
STL-123 W

5/24
Home:
Col(G1)-170
Col(G2)-151
Bal-165
Det-160
LAA-200

Away:
Atl-125
LAD-125
Fla+123
Bos-135

GL

Colorado game 1 was a pitching change.

Any early games today?

.........

Thanks

2011 Season
5/13 - 5/28
Home: 25-11 (+8.2)
Away: 16-17 (-3.98)

5/24
Home: 3-2 (-.51)
Col(G1)-170 W
Col(G2)-151 L
Bal-165 W
Det-160 W
LAA-200 L

Away: 4-0 (+4.0)
Atl-125 W
LAD-125 W
Fla+123 W
Bos-135 W

5/25
Home:
Phi-195

Away:
AZ+113
Oak-107

GL