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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
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Saturday, 06/29/2024 (971) COLORADO vs. (972) CHI WHITE SOX
Favoring: COLORADO against the spread.
CAL QUANTRILL is 12-1 (+13.6 Units) against the run line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season since 1997.
The average score was QUANTRILL 7.2, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 06/29/2024 (971) COLORADO vs. (972) CHI WHITE SOX
Favoring: COLORADO against the spread.
CAL QUANTRILL is 22-7 (+19.5 Units) against the run line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997.
The average score was QUANTRILL 5.3, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 2*)

Old Post 06-29-24 05:06 PM
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Saturday, 06/29/2024 (971) COLORADO vs. (972) CHI WHITE SOX
Favoring: Over on the total.
CAL QUANTRILL is 18-4 OVER (+13.7 Units) on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
The average score was QUANTRILL 7.2, OPPONENT 6.7 - (Rating = 2*)

Saturday, 06/29/2024 (961) NY YANKEES vs. (962) TORONTO
Favoring: Under on the total.
CHRIS BASSITT is 10-0 UNDER (+10.1 Units) in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BASSITT 4.2, OPPONENT 2.4 - (Rating = 2*)

Old Post 06-29-24 05:06 PM
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msudogs
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On Saturday, June 29, the Padres vs. Red Sox game fits a trend boasting a 57% win rate!

Saturday's AL vs. NL tilt will unfold at Fenway Park with a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch. The Red Sox enter as the favorites (-146 on the moneyline), while the Padres are listed at +124. The run line shows San Diego at +1.5 (-176) and Boston at -1.5 (+146), reflecting an edge for the home team. The total for the game is pegged at 9, with both the over and under at identical -110 odds.

And speaking of the over/under — that's a smart way to approach Saturday's Padres vs. Red Sox game.

Tailing our sharp betting data, the Padres vs. Red Sox under is the way to bet this contest.

Saturday's position is bolstered by data-driven insights and historical betting trends, specifically flagged by our PRO Systems. One such angle focuses on high-strikeout pitchers and flaunts a 57% win rate with an impressive 10% ROI.

This trend aligns well with the pitching matchup expected for this game as Michael King and Tanner Houck are slated to start.

Padres vs. Red Sox Under

Old Post 06-29-24 05:28 PM
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(951) CINCINNATI (38-44) at (952) ST LOUIS (42-39)
Trend: STL more Under vs divisional opponents (6-14 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8)

(953) MIAMI (29-53) at (954) PHILADELPHIA (54-28)
Trend: PHI good vs. RH starters (34-13, +15.23 units)
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-265 vs. MIA)

(957) CHICAGO-NL (38-45) at (958) MILWAUKEE (49-33)
Trend: MIL better during the day (24-12, +12.37 units)
System Match: PLAY MILWAUKEE (-115 vs CHC)

(959) LOS ANGELES-NL (51-32) at (960) SAN FRANCISCO (40-43)
Trend: SF not as good at night (20-27, -11.41 units)
System Match: FADE SAN FRANCISCO (+170 vs LAD)

(961) NEW YORK-AL (53-31) at (962) TORONTO (37-44)
Trend: NYY worse in divisional play (11-13, -5.54 units)
System Match: FADE NY YANKEES (-125 at TOR)

(963) CLEVELAND (51-29) at (964) KANSAS CITY (46-38)
Trend: CLE good vs. LH starters (17-5, +11.67 units)
System Match: PLAY CLEVELAND (-108 at KC)

Trend: KC better at HOME (29-15, +12.93 units)
System Match: PLAY KANSAS CITY (-112 vs CLE)

(967) DETROIT (37-45) at (968) LOS ANGELES-AL (35-46)
Trend: LAA bad vs. AL Central/East (12-25, -10.89 units)
System Match: FADE LA ANGELS (+105 vs DET)

Old Post 06-29-24 07:18 PM
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(969) MINNESOTA (45-37) at (970) SEATTLE (47-37)
Trend: SEA is 5-2 this season as a home underdog
System Match: PLAY SEATTLE (+105 vs MIN)

(971) COLORADO (27-54) at (972) CHICAGO-AL (23-61)
Trend: CWS is 3-0 as a ML favorite this season
System Match: PLAY CHICAGO WHITE SOX (-115 vs COL)

(975) HOUSTON (40-41) at (976) NEW YORK-NL (40-39)
Trend: HOU trending Under on the road (12-23 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(977) OAKLAND (30-54) at (978) ARIZONA (39-43)
Trend: AZ not as good vs. LH starters (12-17, -9.69 units)
System Match: FADE ARIZONA (-205 vs OAK)

(979) WASHINGTON (38-43) at (980) TAMPA BAY (41-41)
Trend: TB solid start in interleague play (16-8, +7.25 units)
System Match: PLAY TAMPA BAY (-135 vs WSH)

Old Post 06-29-24 07:19 PM
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(955) PITTSBURGH (39-42) at (956) ATLANTA (45-35)
Trend: ATL is 17-3 (+12.10 units) vs. NL Central in starts by Max Fried
System Match: PLAY ATLANTA (-155 vs. PIT)

(959) LOS ANGELES-NL (51-32) at (960) SAN FRANCISCO (40-43)
Trend: Tyler Glasnow is 33-8 (+12.63 units) as a favorite of -166 or higher in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY LA DODGERS (-205 at SF)

(963) CLEVELAND (51-29) at (964) KANSAS CITY (46-38)
Trend: CLE is 14-3 (+11.10 units) in the -135 to +110 line range by starter Tanner Bibee in the last two seasons
System Match: PLAY CLEVELAND (-108 at KC)

(969) MINNESOTA (45-37) at (970) SEATTLE (47-37)
Trend: Pablo Lopez is 14-3 (+10.30 units) in the short favorite line range of -118 to -130 in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY MINNESOTA (-125 at SEA)

(971) COLORADO (27-54) at (972) CHICAGO-AL (23-61)
Trend: Cal Quantrill is 22-8 (+13.30 units) vs. AL Central teams in the last four seasons
System Match: PLAY COLORADO (-105 at CWS)

(975) HOUSTON (40-41) at (976) NEW YORK-NL (40-39)
Trend: HOU is 6-1 (+5.05 units) as a slight underdog (between -108 to +105) with starter Framber Valdez in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY HOUSTON (-108 at NYM)

Old Post 06-29-24 08:54 PM
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Paul Skenes OVER 6.5 strikeouts - most bet player prop on Saturday

96% of bets are on the OVER at BetMGM

OVERs are 6-2 on Skenes strikeout props this season

Old Post 06-29-24 08:56 PM
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Most bet (tickets) teams to win on Saturday at BetMGM

1. Yankees -130

2. Guardians -110

3. Rockies -105

4. Phillies -250

Old Post 06-29-24 08:56 PM
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Most bet (tickets) players to hit a Home Run on Saturday at BetMGM

1. Aaron Judge +290

2. Gunnar Henderson +425

3. Shohei Ohtani +360

4. Juan Soto +340

Old Post 06-29-24 08:58 PM
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