The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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pointmagic
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 6114
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KISS OF DEATH FADE
MUSH
150 Dimes Texas +3.5
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Playbook
TEXAS over Baylor by 3
Remember what we said about how we can’t lay points with an undefeated
team taking on a quality team on the road? Well, it barely applies here as the
Longhorns have lost to every decent team they played since the Notre Dame
opener, meaning it’s tough to put ‘quality’ and ‘Longhorns’ together in the
same sentence. Meanwhile, the rested Bears arrive in Austin sporting a 9-2
AT record with conference revenge (lost to Texas, 23-17, as 21-point chalk
in Waco last year). Behind RB Shock Linwood, the Bears’ all-time leader in
rushing (3,962) and TDs (36), Baylor will look to crank up the thermostat on
the Charlie Strong hot seat. After all, Charlie is just 10-9-1 SU against nonranked
opposition, and 4-9 SU versus ranked foes. Despite all the fervent
denials by the UT athletic department, Strong is another coach who is in
danger of losing his job – and a home loss here could be the fi nal nail in the
coffi n. His saving grace likely lies in the fact that undefeated 6-0 or greater
college road teams have struggled when taking to the road with a week of
rest, going just 12-27-2 ATS when favored against conference foes. And just
like that, it appears Strong’s savior may have once again arrived.
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10-29-16 08:38 PM |
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cbones
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Nov 2007
Posts: 946
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Looks like MUSH's 100 dymer is Colts +2.5.
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10-30-16 06:31 PM |
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timande
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 1860
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Damn. I like indy in this spot
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10-30-16 06:48 PM |
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cbones
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Nov 2007
Posts: 946
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MUSH
He finally loses
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10-31-16 01:36 AM |
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pointmagic
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 6114
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Playbook
Tuesday, November 1
NO ILLINOIS over Bowling Green by 17
What a difference 11 months can make! Who would have thought this
Week 10 opener would be relegated to ESPNU (WMU/Ball State gets the
deuce) since it seemed like only yesterday the Huskies and Falcons were
squaring off for the 2015 MAC championship (not to mention the 2013
and 2014 titles as well). Now, less than a year later, it looks like neither
will be hitting the alleys. The 1-7 Bee Gees certainly won’t be singing
in any post-season showers while the 2-6 sled dogs will need to run the
table in order to extend an 8-year bowl skein. That’s unlikely with Toledo
on deck but we won’t stand in their path tonight as they’re looking to
avenge a 34-14 loss in the aforementioned 2015 title tilt. And with theseries favorite a solid 6-3 ATS since 1998, look for the ‘Hi-Jinks’ to continue
tonight in Dekalb.
W Michigan over BALL ST by 16
Don’t look now but the 17th-ranked Western Michigan Broncos are the
highest rated non-power 5 school in the latest AP Poll following Boise
State’s loss last week in Wyoming. Of course, we have a better chance of
getting a ‘Weekend of Winners’ e-mail through to Hillary Clinton than the
Broncos have of making the four-team playoff, but a date in the Cotton
Bowl is defi nitely on P.J. Fleck’s radar. Normally the road is treacherous
for an undefeated team at this time of the season. Just ask Baylor, Boise,
West Virginia and Nebraska – all of whom all fell victim to the ‘noose’ last
week. Or Clemson and Washington, who barely escaped the conference
highway with a win. However, the Gonads look to be nothing more than
late-season fodder for soon-to-be MAC bowlers. Our database can attest
to that in this lopsided matchup as the Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in weekday
home games and 1-5 ATS before facing Eastern Michigan. Meanwhile,
the Broncos are 7-1 ATS in weekday road games and 5-1 ATS as doubledigit
road favorites. Still, the ever-looming presence of ‘the noose’ keeps
us at bay.
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11-02-16 01:29 AM |
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cbones
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Nov 2007
Posts: 946
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MUSH 11/3
Looks like he is on the Over 51 in Atl/TB game. Not sure on the amount of doughnuts though.
Thoughts?
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11-04-16 12:41 AM |
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cbones
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Nov 2007
Posts: 946
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Thanks Bostonshamrock
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11-04-16 01:35 AM |
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cbones
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Nov 2007
Posts: 946
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ML
Not sure if this has already been passed around or not.
http://www.playbook.com/POS7716/football/issue11/newsletter.pdf
If so. Sorry for the dupe posting.
If not. Hope it helps in making any decisions
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11-05-16 05:12 AM |
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