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msudogs
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MLB Lagniappe 6/29

Miami (29-53) @ Philadelphia (54-28)
— Munoz is 0-3, 7.66 in his last five starts.
— Marlins are 2-5 in his starts.
— under 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4
— He hasn’t pitched against the Phillies

— Marlins are 6-4 in their last ten games.
— Miami is 13-26 on road.
— under 15-4 last 19 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 18-82
— record in first 5 innings: 26-46-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3.1

— Nola is 3-0, 2.84 in his last four home starts.
— Phillies are 13-3 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 10-3-3
— He is 5-10, 3.58 in 23 starts vs Miami.

— Phillies are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— They’re 32-13 at home.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 31-82
— record in first 5 innings: 53-22-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-2.1-x

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Pittsburgh (39-42) @ Atlanta (45-35)
— Skenes is 4-0, 1.70 in his last seven starts.
— Pirates are 6-2 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 6-0-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— Pirates are 7-6 in their last 13 games.
— They’re 20-22 on road.
— under 14-5 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 17-81
— record in first 5 innings: 35-33-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-4

— Fried is 4-1, 2.45 in his last six starts.
— Braves are 11-4 in his starts.
— under 10-2 last 12 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-4
— He is 3-1, 4.76 in six starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Braves are 2-3 in last five games overall.
— They’re 7-1 in last eight home games.
— under 8-3 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-80
— record in first 5 innings: 40-30-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-1-2.2

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Cubs (38-45) @ Milwaukee (49-33)
— Steele is 0-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.
— Chicago is 2-9 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-5
— He is 2-2, 2.00 in 12 starts vs Milwaukee.

— Cubs are 7-14 in their last 21 games.
— They’re 16-27 on road.
— under 15-5 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 17-83
— record in first 5 innings: 30-38-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-2

— Myers is 4-0, 0.70 in his last four starts.
— Milwaukee is 6-1 in his last seven starts.
— over 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-2
— He gave up 4 runs in 3 IP at Chicago May 4th.

— Brewers won their last five games.
— They’re 13-2 in last 15 home games.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 21-82
— record in first 5 innings: 40-33-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-x-3.2

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Cincinnati (38-44) @ St Louis (42-39)
— Spiers is 1-1, 5.25 in two starts, both vs Pittsburgh.
— Reds are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 0-1, 6.00 in two games (1 start) vs St Louis.

— Reds lost nine of last 13 games.
— They’re 18-21 on road.
— under 15-6 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-82
— record in first 5 innings: 33-37-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-2

— Gray is 2-0, 1.66 in his last three starts.
— St Louis is 10-4 in his starts.
— under 8-6
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-2
— He gave up 2 runs in 7.2 IP in his one start vs his old team.
— Gray pitched for the Reds from 2019-21.

— Cardinals are 14-8 in their last 22 games.
— They’re 23-17 at home.
— over 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 17-81
— record in first 5 innings: 30-38-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8-4.1-3.2

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Los Angeles (51-32) @ San Francisco (40-43)
— Glasnow is 2-2, 2.77 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 3-5 in his last eight starts.
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-1
— He is 3-0, 1.80 in three starts vs San Francisco.

— Dodgers are 13-7 in their last 20 games.
— Dodgers are 26-16 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-83
— record in first 5 innings: 45-30-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-x-3.1

— San Francisco hasn’t named a starter.

— San Francisco is 4-1 in its last five games.
— Giants are 24-18 at home.
— over 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-83
— record in first 5 innings: 30-42-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-5-2

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Texas (37-45) @ Baltimore (52-30)
— Lorenzen is 2-0, 2.34 in his last six starts.
— Texas is 2-9 in his last 11 starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 8-2-3
— He is 0-0, 0.00 in 2 games (1 start) vs Baltimore.

— Rangers lost their last five games.
— They’re 17-26 on road.
— under 24-12 last 36 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-82
— record in first 5 innings: 33-35-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3-2.2

— Povich is 0-2, 4.15 in four starts.
— Orioles are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— Baltimore won its last three games.
— Orioles are 28-16 at home.
— over 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 19-82
— record in first 5 innings: 45-27-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-3

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Bronx (53-31) @ Toronto (37-44)
— Cortes is 1-1, 2.25 in his last three starts.
— New York is 7-10 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-3
— He is 2-2, 3.55 in five starts vs Toronto.

— New York is 4-10 in its last 14 games.
— They’re 29-17 on road.
— over 10-2 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 29-84
— record in first 5 innings: 45-27-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-4.2

— Bassitt is 3-0, 1.67 in his last seven starts.
— Toronto is 6-10 in his starts.
— under 5-3 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-5
— He is 2-0, 1.00 in four starts vs New York.

— Toronto is 4-10 in its last 14 games.
— Blue Jays are 19-20 at home.
— over 9-2 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-81
— record in first 5 innings: 37-35-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-4

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Cleveland (51-29) @ Kansas City (46-38)
— Bibee is 2-0, 1.50 in his last two starts.
— Cleveland is 13-3 in his starts.
— under 8-3 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 10-3-3
— He is 0-0, 2.70 in two starts vs Kansas City.

— Cleveland won seven of last ten games.
— Guardians are 25-20 on road.
— under 9-4 last 13 road games
— scored run in first inning: 22-80
— record in first 5 innings: 40-29-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-5.2

— Ragans is 1-1, 2.32 in his last five starts.
— Royals are 7-3 in his home starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-5
— He gave up 4 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Cleveland.

— Royals are 4-1 in their last five games.
— Royals are 29-15 at home.
— under 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-84
— record in first 5 innings: 39-32-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-3.2-3

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Minnesota (45-37) @ Seattle (47-37)
— Lopez is 2-0, 3.71 in his last three starts.
— Minnesota is 4-1 in his last five starts
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 7-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-1
— He is 1-1, 2.45 in three starts vs Seattle

— Twins are 10-5 in their last 15 games.
— Twins are 22-21 on road.
— over 12-4 last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-82
— record in first 5 innings: 36-38-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-4-3.1

— Miller is 1-1, 6.65 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 6-2 in his home starts
— over 8-2 last 10
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-3
— He gave up 6 runs in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Minnesota.

— Seattle lost six of last nine games.
— Mariners are 28-12 at home.
— under 6-1 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 22-84
— record in first 5 innings: 37-34-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-4

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Detroit (37-45) @ LA Angels (35-46)
— Olson is 1-0, 1.46 in his last two starts.
— Tigers are 3-12 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 0-15
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8-4
— He hasn’t pitched against the Angels.

— Detroit is 6-14 in its last 20 games.
— Tigers are 18-23 on road.
— under 11-3 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-82
— record in first 5 innings: 32-36-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 9-2.1-2.2

— Canning is 1-4, 4.35 in his last five starts.
— Angels are 5-11 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 9-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-1
— He is 2-1, 3.22 in four starts vs Detroit.

— Angels are 6-1 in their last seven games.
— They’re 17-25 at home.
— under 9-3 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-81
— record in first 5 innings: 29-45-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-1-5.1

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Washington (38-43) @ Tampa Bay (41-41)
— Irvin is 3-1, 2.06 in his last six starts.
— Washington won his last three road starts.
— under 8-1 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— Nationals are 3-7 in their last ten games.
— They’re 21-24 on road.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 11-81
— record in first 5 innings: 32-42-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-x-3

— Civale is 0-0, 3.86 in his last three starts.
— Rays are 2-10 in his last 12 starts.
— under 6-3 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.

— Tampa Bay is 8-3 in its last eleven games.
— Rays are 22-24 at home.
— under 5-1 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 20-82
— record in first 5 innings: 27-41-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.2-3

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Colorado (27-54) @ White Sox (23-61)
— Quantrill is 2-1, 2.45 in his last four starts.
— Colorado is 7-3 in his last 10 starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-4
— He is 2-2, 3.89 in seven starts vs Chicago.

— Rockies lost 19 of last 25 games.
— They’re 11-30 on road.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 24-81
— record in first 5 innings: 30-40-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-3

— Cannon is 1-2, 6.59 in six starts.
— Chicago is 2-4 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.

— White Sox are 8-27 in their last 35 games.
— Chicago is 15-28 at home.
— under 14-3 last seventeen games
— scored run in first inning: 14-84
— record in first 5 innings: 36-37-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6-3

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Houston (40-41) @ NY Mets (40-39)
— Valdez is 3-2, 2.73 in his last five starts.
— Astros are 6-7 in his starts.
— under 9-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-1
— He is 2-0, 1.13 in two starts vs New York.

— Houston won seven of last eight games.
— Astros are 16-22 on road.
— under 13-6 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-81
— record in first 5 innings: 38-34-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-2.1

— Megill is 1-2, 7.82 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 2-5 in his starts.
— under 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4
— He gave up 5 runs in 2.1 IP in his one start vs Houston.

— New York is 18-6 in its last 24 games.
— Mets are 21-23 at home.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 24-79
— record in first 5 innings: 34-32-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-5

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San Diego (45-41) @ Boston (43-38)
— King is 1-1, 3.48 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 6-4 in his last 10 starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-3
— He is 2-4, 5.20 in 12 games (2 starts) vs Boston.

— Padres won eight of last nine games.
— They’re 2-9 in last 11 road tilts.
— over 8-0 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 26-86
— record in first 5 innings: 36-36-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-5

— Houck is 3-0, 3.34 in his last five starts.
— Boston won his last seven starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego

— Red Sox are 10-4 in their last 14 games.
— They’re 19-22 at home.
— over 7-1 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 23-82
— record in first 5 innings: 42-30-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-5

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Oakland (30-53) @ Arizona (39-43)
— Harris is 1-1, 3.58 in five starts.
— Oakland is 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— A’s lost six of their last eight games.
— Oakland lost 11 of its last 12 road games.
— under 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 16-83
— record in first 5 innings: 26-53-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3.1-3

— Gallen is 2-2, 2.81 in his last five starts.
— His last start was May 30th.
— Arizona is 3-2 in his home starts.
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-1
— He is 0-0, 1.64 in two starts vs Oakland.

— Arizona lost five of its last six games.
— Diamondbacks are 20-21 at home.
— over 11-2 last 13 home games
— scored run in first inning: 26-82
— record in first 5 innings: 37-33-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-6.1-5

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Umpires
— Cin-StL- Road underdogs are 7-5 in Ramos games.
— Mia-Phil- Home favorites are 7-3 in Tomlinson games
— Chi-Milw- Road underdogs are 8-6 in Clemons games.
— Pitt-Atl- Under is 7-0 in Arrieta games the last three years.
— LA-SF- Over is 14-2 in Fletcher games

— NYY-Tor- Under is 11-3 in Reyburn games.
— Clev-KC- Home favorites are 9-2 in Diaz games.
— Tex-Balt- Under is 9-6 in Gonzalez games.
— Det-LAA- Road underdogs are 8-7 in Barrett games.
— Minn-Sea- Home favorites are 11-3 in Johnson games.

— Col-CWS- Favorite won last seven Baker games.
— Hst-NY- Under is 9-6 in Porter games.
— A’s-Ariz- Over is 11-6 in Hamari games
— SD-Bos- Under is 10-5 in Drake games
— Wash-TB- Under is 5-2 in Riggs games

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Saturday, 06/29/2024 (965) TEXAS vs. (966) BALTIMORE
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line.
BALTIMORE is 102-51 (+46.9 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BALTIMORE 5.5, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 06/29/2024 (965) TEXAS vs. (966) BALTIMORE
Favoring: TEXAS on the money line.
TEXAS is 8-0 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TEXAS 6.5, OPPONENT 2.6 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 06/29/2024 (965) TEXAS vs. (966) BALTIMORE
Favoring: TEXAS on the money line.
TEXAS is 15-5 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TEXAS 6.6, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 06/29/2024 (971) COLORADO vs. (972) CHI WHITE SOX
Favoring: CHI WHITE SOX on the money line.
COLORADO is 3-16 (-12.8 Units) against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
The average score was COLORADO 4.4, OPPONENT 6.9 - (Rating = 3*)

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Saturday, 06/29/2024 (965) TEXAS vs. (966) BALTIMORE
Favoring: BALTIMORE against the spread.
BALTIMORE is 36-16 (+26.8 Units) against the run line vs. an AL team with they batting average of .255 or worse this season.
The average score was BALTIMORE 5.7, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 06/29/2024 (965) TEXAS vs. (966) BALTIMORE
Favoring: BALTIMORE against the spread.
BALTIMORE is 25-8 (+22.2 Units) against the run line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) this season.
The average score was BALTIMORE 5.9, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 4*)

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Saturday, 06/29/2024 (977) OAKLAND vs. (978) ARIZONA
Favoring: Over on the total.
ARIZONA is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season.
The average score was ARIZONA 5.6, OPPONENT 6.5 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 06/29/2024 (977) OAKLAND vs. (978) ARIZONA
Favoring: Over on the total.
ARIZONA is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season.
The average score was ARIZONA 5.5, OPPONENT 6.5 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 06/29/2024 (977) OAKLAND vs. (978) ARIZONA
Favoring: Over on the total.
ARIZONA is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season.
The average score was ARIZONA 5.5, OPPONENT 6.5 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 06/29/2024 (977) OAKLAND vs. (978) ARIZONA
Favoring: Over on the total.
ARIZONA is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season.
The average score was ARIZONA 5.6, OPPONENT 6.5 - (Rating = 3*)

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Saturday, 06/29/2024 (955) PITTSBURGH vs. (956) ATLANTA
Favoring: ATLANTA on the money line.
MAX FRIED is 43-15 (+23.6 Units) against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 since 1997.
The average score was FRIED 5.5, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 2*)

Saturday, 06/29/2024 (957) CHICAGO CUBS vs. (958) MILWAUKEE
Favoring: MILWAUKEE on the money line.
JUSTIN STEELE is 1-9 (-8.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.
The average score was STEELE 3.7, OPPONENT 5.5 - (Rating = 2*)

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