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msudogs
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MLB Lagniappe 5/12

Cubs (23-17) @ Pittsburgh (18-22)
— Cubs haven’t named a starter.

— Cubs are 4-3 in last seven games.
— They’re 10-11 on road.
— over 3-0 last three road games
— scored run in first inning: 10-40
— record in first 5 innings: 17-14-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.1-4

— Falter is 1-2, 4.43 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 5-2 in his starts.
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4
— He is 0-3, 10.67 in six games (3 starts) vs Chicago

— Pirates are 9-19 in their last 28 games.
— They’re 9-11 at home.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 8-40
— record in first 5 innings: 15-18-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-5

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Philadelphia (28-12) @ Miami (10-31)
— Wheeler is 4-0, 0.71 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 4-4 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2
— He is 10-4, 2.48 in 22 starts vs Miami.

— Phillies are 23-6 in their last 29 games.
— Phillies are 13-5 on road.
— over 6-2 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 17-40
— record in first 5 innings: 28-9-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-3

— Garrett is making his first ’24 start.
— Last year, he was 9-7, 3.66 in 30 starts.
— In his career, he is 14-17, 3.86 in 56 starts.
— He is 2-1, 4.50 in five starts vs Philly.

— Marlins lost seven of their last eight games.
— Miami is 5-17 at home.
— over 11-3 last 14 games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-41
— record in first 5 innings: 14-23-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5.2-3.1

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St Louis (15-24) @ Milwaukee (24-15)
— Mikolas is 1-4, 7.56 in his last five starts.
— St Louis is 2-6 in his starts.
— under 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 1-7
— He is 9-6, 4.06 in 16 starts vs Milwaukee.

— Cardinals are 2-10 in last dozen games.
— They’re 9-13 on road.
— over 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 8-39
— record in first 5 innings: 12-22-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-4

— Wilson is 0-1, 1.35 in four starts (20 IP).
— Milwaukee is 2-2 in his starts.
— under 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He is 1-3, 9.45 in 12 games (4 starts) vs St Louis

— Brewers are 4-1 in their last five games.
— They’re 10-7 at home.
— over 10-3 last 13 home games
— scored run in first inning: 14-39
— record in first 5 innings: 19-14-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-3

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Los Angeles (27-14) @ San Diego (21-21)
— Buehler gave up 3 runs in 4 IP in his first ‘24 start (77 PT).
— Dodgers are 1-0 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 6-0, 1.49 in ten starts vs San Diego.

— Dodgers won 15 of last 18 games.
— Dodgers are 12-6 on road.
— under 9-4 last thirteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-41
— record in first 5 innings: 25-13-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-1-3

— Darvish is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (10 IP).
— San Diego is 5-2 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
— He is 4-5, 2.45 in 14 starts vs Los Angeles

— Padres won seven of last ten games.
— They’re 9-13 at home
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 14-42
— record in first 5 innings: 18-18-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-3.2

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Cincinnati (17-22) @ San Francisco (18-23)
— Montas is 0-3, 7.90 in his last four starts.
— Cincinnati is 3-3 in his starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He is 0-0, 1.50 in two starts vs San Francisco.

— Reds lost 12 of last 15 games.
— They’re 8-9 on road.
— under 16-7 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-39
— record in first 5 innings: 13-17-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-2

— Harrison is 2-0, 2.03 in his last five starts.
— San Francisco is 6-2 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-2
— He threw 6.1 scoreless IP, in his only start vs Cincinnati.

— San Francisco is 6-10 in its last 16 games.
— Giants are 10-8 at home.
— under 8-1 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 9-41
— record in first 5 innings: 13-22-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-2-4.2

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Atlanta (24-12) @ NY Mets (18-20)
— Elder is 1-1, 5.28 in three starts.
— Atlanta is 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He is 2-0, 5.27 in two starts vs New York.

— Braves won their last four games.
— They’re 3-5 in last eight road games.
— under 15-1 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 10-36
— record in first 5 innings: 21-11-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-2

— Severino is 1-1, 3.24 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 2-5 in his starts.
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2
— He is 1-1, 2.70 in two starts vs Atlanta.

— New York is 6-12 in its last 18 games.
— Mets are 9-12 at home.
— under 7-2 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 10-38
— record in first 5 innings: 12-17-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-3

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Houston (14-25) @ Detroit (20-19)
— Verlander is 1-1, 4.43 in four starts.
— Houston is 1-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He is 3-3, 2.77 in six starts vs Detroit.
— He pitched for the Tigers from 2005-17.

— Houston lost five of its last seven games.
— Astros are 7-13 on road.
— under 16-6 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 14-39
— record in first 5 innings: 16-20-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2-6.2

— Flaherty is 0-1, 3.90 in his last five starts.
— Detroit is 3-4 in his starts.
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
— He is 0-1, 3.46 in two starts vs Houston.

— Detroit lost six of last eight games.
— Tigers are 9-10 at home.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 14-39
— record in first 5 innings: 17-16-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-2.2

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Bronx (26-15) @ Tampa Bay (20-20)
— Gil is 2-0, 0.73 in his last two starts.
— New York is 5-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1
— He gave up an unearned run in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Tampa Bay.

— New York is 7-3 in its last ten games.
— They’re 13-9 on road.
— over 4-1-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 12-41
— record in first 5 innings: 19-14-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-2.2

— Alexander is 0-1, 4.50 in four starts.
— Tampa Bay is 2-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He is 0-1, 2.03 in 4 games (2 starts) vs New York.

— Tampa Bay won six of its last eight games.
— Rays are 14-11 at home.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 11-40
— record in first 5 innings: 16-18-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3.1

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Minnesota (23-16) @ Toronto (18-21)
— Ober is 3-0, 2.67 in his last five starts.
— Minnesota is 3-4 in his starts.
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2
— He is 1-2, 4.40 in three starts vs Toronto.

— Twins won 16 of their last 19 games.
— They’re 12-8 on road.
— over 9-4 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 12-39
— record in first 5 innings: 19-17-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-2-3.2

— Manoah gave up 7 runs in 4 IP, in his first ‘24 start.
— Toronto is 0-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 2-0, 3.09 in two starts vs Minnesota.

— Toronto lost 11 of its last 15 games.
— Blue Jays are 9-8 at home.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 10-39
— record in first 5 innings: 16-17-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-1-6

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Cleveland (24-16) @ White Sox (12-28)
— Allen is 0-2, 9.95 in his last three starts.
— Guardians are 4-4 in his starts.
— over 7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-2
— He is 1-2, 5.20 in five starts vs Chicago.

— Cleveland is 1-4 in its last five games.
— Guardians are 12-10 on road.
— under 12-5 last seventeen road games
— scored run in first inning: 8-40
— record in first 5 innings: 18-16-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-1-1.1

— Soroka is 0-4, 6.57 in eight starts.
— White Sox are 1-7 in his starts.
— over 7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
— He is 0-0, 4.32 in two starts vs Cleveland.

— White Sox are 9-5 with Tommy Pham in lineup.
— Chicago is 8-12 at home.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 9-40
— record in first 5 innings: 16-18-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-4.1

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Kansas City (24-17) @ LA Angels (15-25)
— Lugo is 2-0, 1.74 in his last three starts.
— Kansas City is 5-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1-2
— He is 0-0, 1.23 in 2 games (1 start) against the Angels.

— Royals are 4-2 in their last six games.
— Royals are 9-9 on road.
— under 9-4 last 13 road games
— scored run in first inning: 14-41
— record in first 5 innings: 21-13-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.2-2

— Sandoval is 1-1, 1.50 in his last two starts.
— Angels are 3-5 in his starts.
— over 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6
— He threw 7 shutout IP, in his one start vs Kansas City.

— Angels are 3-5 in their last eight games.
— They’re 5-13 at home.
— over 8-3 last eleven home games
— scored run in first inning: 9-40
— record in first 5 innings: 13-25-2
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.1-2.1

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Oakland (19-22) @ Seattle (21-19)
— Wood is 1-0, 1.72 in his last three starts.
— Oakland is 4-4 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 4-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4
— He is 0-2, 3.38 in 2 games (1 start) vs Seattle.

— A’s lost five of their last seven games.
— Oakland is 9-9 on road.
— over 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 8-41
— record in first 5 innings: 17-23-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-4

— Castillo is 3-1, 1.69 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 3-5 in his starts.
— under 7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5
— He is 3-2, 3.45 in five starts vs Oakland

— Seattle is 2-4 in its last six games.
— Mariners are 12-9 at home.
— over 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 8-40
— record in first 5 innings: 17-17-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.2-3

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Arizona (18-22) @ Baltimore (26-12)
— Gallen is 2-2, 3.27 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 4-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2
— He gave up 5 runs in 5.1 IP, in his one start vs Baltimore.

— Arizona won four of its last six games.
— Diamondbacks are 9-12 on road.
— under 20-10 last 30 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-40
— record in first 5 innings: 17-15-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2-5.1

— Kremer is 3-0, 1.96 in his last three starts.
— Baltimore is 4-3 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Baltimore is 9-2 in its last eleven games.
— Orioles are 14-7 at home.
— under 9-5 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-38
— record in first 5 innings: 21-13-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-6.1

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Washington (19-19) @ Boston (20-19)
— Gore is 0-3, 6.00 in his last four starts.
— Washington is 3-4 in his starts.
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5
— He threw 6.1 scoreless IP, in his one start vs Boston.

— Nationals are 9-5 in their last 14 games.
— They’re 12-9 on road.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 6-38
— record in first 5 innings: 17-18-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-1

— Bello is 3-1, 3.58 in five starts.
— His last start was April 19.
— Boston is 4-1 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington

— Red Sox are 2-6 in their last eight games.
— They’re 8-10 at home.
— under 14-5 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 14-39
— record in first 5 innings: 21-12-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-4

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Texas (22-19) @ Colorado (11-28)
— Texas hasn’t named a starter.

— Rangers are 9-6 in their last 15 games.
— They’re 12-10 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 14-41
— record in first 5 innings: 17-15-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-4

— Hudson is 0-6, 7.15 in seven starts.
— Colorado is 1-6 in his starts.
— under 6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 0-6-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Texas.

— Rockies won their last three games.
— They’re 8-12 at home.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 9-39
— record in first 5 innings: 10-20-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.1-3

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Umpires

Chi-Pitt- Over is 6-2 in Fletcher games.
Atl-NY- Underdogs are 5-3 in Drake games.
Phil-Mia- Last year, under was 15-9 in Riggs games.
StL-Milw- Favorites are 7-1 in Porter games.
LA-SD- Over is 4-1 in last five Gibson games.
Cin-SF- Favorites are 5-2 in Rackley games.

Hst-Det- Favorites are 6-0 in Walsh games.
NY-TB- Favorites are 6-1 Johnson games.
Minn-Tor- Under is 6-1 in Tosi games.
Clev-Chi- Last four Lentz games stayed under.
KC-LAA- Road team is 8-1 in Merzel games.
A’s-Sea- Home team is 6-1 in Mackay games.

Az-Balt- Last five Miller games stayed under.
Wash-Bos- Home team won 5 of last 6 O’Nora games.
Tex-Colo- Underdogs, under are 4-1 in Wills games.

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Sunday, 05/12/2024 (975) ARIZONA vs. (976) BALTIMORE
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line.
BALTIMORE is 15-2 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
The average score was BALTIMORE 5.5, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 4*)

Sunday, 05/12/2024 (977) WASHINGTON vs. (978) BOSTON
Favoring: WASHINGTON on the money line.
WASHINGTON is 12-5 (+17.7 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 5.3, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 4*)

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Sunday, 05/12/2024 (961) ATLANTA vs. (962) NY METS
Favoring: ATLANTA against the spread.
NY METS are 1-14 (-16.7 Units) against the run line after two straight games where they had 5 or less hits over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY METS 2.7, OPPONENT 5 - (Rating = 4*)

Sunday, 05/12/2024 (969) CLEVELAND vs. (970) CHI WHITE SOX
Favoring: CHI WHITE SOX against the spread.
CHI WHITE SOX are 12-2 (+10.6 Units) against the run line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.
The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 3.6, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 3*)

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Sunday, 05/12/2024 (977) WASHINGTON vs. (978) BOSTON
Favoring: Under on the total.
BOSTON is 19-4 UNDER (+15 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 3.9, OPPONENT 4 - (Rating = 3*)

Sunday, 05/12/2024 (969) CLEVELAND vs. (970) CHI WHITE SOX
Favoring: Under on the total.
CHI WHITE SOX are 20-5 UNDER (+14.9 Units) after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 3.4, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 3*)

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Sunday, 05/12/2024 (959) LA DODGERS vs. (960) SAN DIEGO
Favoring: LA DODGERS on the money line.
YU DARVISH is 1-9 (-14.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DARVISH 2.9, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 4*)

Sunday, 05/12/2024 (959) LA DODGERS vs. (960) SAN DIEGO
Favoring: LA DODGERS on the money line.
YU DARVISH is 4-13 (-15.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DARVISH 3.1, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 3*)

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