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jkaul
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2005
Posts: 3658

Dog Series Chase 27-3-1 (+19.26 units)

Only one new series starts tonight between Pittsburgh and Washington. Nats are on a 3 game win streak and are favored, so there is no play on this one.

Be back tomorrow with some weekend chases.

GLTA

Old Post 05-01-08 09:01 PM
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lippsman
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Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

BOL

Maybe you can help me with something. Somone posted a chase where if you took the dog you played them on the RL. Turning them into a favorite.

I seem to remember them using your avatar. I wasn't sure if it was something you were doing or not.

Thanks

Old Post 05-01-08 09:05 PM
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lippsman
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Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

Ok, I found it

It's KC's swept chase. You take the dog on the RL.

Old Post 05-01-08 09:11 PM
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fwljr3
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Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 1941

bump

and GL this weekend

Old Post 05-02-08 06:19 AM
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jkaul
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Registered: Jan 2005
Posts: 3658

early looks

3 possible chases for this weekend. Need to see Saturday's odds and make some educated guesses on Sunday and/or Monday's games for these series, so nothing official until about 4pm.

Cubs (+) at St Louis
Hill vs Wainwright
Lilly vs Lohse
Marquis vs Wellemeyer

Don't think Lilly or Marquis will be favored, so heavy lean towards the Cubs on this one.

Dodgers (+) at Colorado
Penny vs Francis
Loaiza vs De La Rosa
Lowe vs Cook

Friday night is pickem right now, thinking Loaiza will be small fav and probably same with Lowe. Want to wait until later Friday to see if Fridays game swings one way or the other and Sat odds get posted.

White Sox (+) at Toronto
Buehrle vs Marcum
Danks vs Litsch
Contreras vs Halladay
Vazquez vs McGowan

Have a hard time thinking that Chicago would be favored in any of these matchups if their #1 isnt even favored against Toronto and not facing Halladay. Vazquez vs McGowan is the only one that I'm not real sure of. Need more research.

The rest of the series have been filtered out for various reasons. I don't plan on posting the reasons, but if you have questions about why a certain team is not a chase I will reply back as soon as possible.

GL and will update around 5pm ET

Old Post 05-02-08 12:46 PM
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krisinsd


Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 249

also

going for us is that (in case we play toronto) is that toronto has only been swept at home 4 times in the last 3 years (not counting 2 game series). Also think dodgers arent gonna sweep the rockies at home after they swept them in LA.

Old Post 05-02-08 06:53 PM
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crazyl


Registered: May 2008
Posts: 56

Thanks Jkaul will check back at 4-5.

Old Post 05-02-08 07:23 PM
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Nismon


Registered: May 2007
Posts: 12

Looks like Cubs and Sox are good to go. Dodgers are a little close. Why not Rangers and Reds?

Old Post 05-02-08 09:25 PM
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jkaul
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Registered: Jan 2005
Posts: 3658

nismon

Reds miss out on the secondary filter, which came into play because Atlanta's home record is 8-4 (.667) this season. When adding Cincys road record (6-9), the reverse of ATL home record (4-8) and Cincy vs Atl last 3 yrs (12-12) and Cincy at ATL last 3 yrs (5-5)....you get 27-34 (.442) which falls just below the .450 threshold.

Rangers miss out because they have 2 flaws, their 5-10 road record and Oakland's 10-5 home record. Secondary filter doesnt come into play here because there are 2 disqualifying factors.

Looking like we will be rooting for the Windy City this weekend as the Cubs and White Sox should be plays, Dodgers are still negative dogs and are looking like a pickem for Saturday also.

Waiting until 5pm to make it official.

GL

Old Post 05-02-08 10:09 PM
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eels
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Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 2990

jkaul

Oakland is 10-5 on the road...8-7 at home.

Old Post 05-02-08 10:36 PM
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jkaul
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Posts: 3658

eels

Thanks for the correction, was looking at these at 7am this morning. Rangers will be a play!

Old Post 05-02-08 11:07 PM
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Strizzles
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Registered: Apr 2006
Posts: 2959

Cubs have owned the Cardinals the last few years. They should not get swept..like both of these chases..gl

Old Post 05-02-08 11:08 PM
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crazyl


Registered: May 2008
Posts: 56

So far the Rangers are an official play, and Cubs..?

Old Post 05-02-08 11:10 PM
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Dewvy20


Registered: May 2006
Posts: 40

so is it official the cubs the chisox and the rangers?




Rory Duval......Rollin

Old Post 05-02-08 11:10 PM
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jkaul
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2005
Posts: 3658

Friday chases

Going to make the call for 3 chases to play....

CUBS +100 - Game 1 - 1 unit to win 1 unit
WHITE SOX +108 - Game 1 - 1 unit to win 1.08 units
RANGERS +132 - Game 1 - 1 unit to win 1.32 units

Passing on the Dodgers as they are -115 for Saturday.

GLTA

Old Post 05-02-08 11:14 PM
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maniilaq


Registered: Jul 2007
Posts: 157

The Texas game is in Oakland and Texas is .333 on the road ...




~~~ Las Vegas, Nevada ~~

Old Post 05-02-08 11:14 PM
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Dewvy20


Registered: May 2006
Posts: 40

thanks jkaul lets knock em down




Rory Duval......Rollin

Old Post 05-02-08 11:17 PM
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jkaul
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Registered: Jan 2005
Posts: 3658

manilaq

Yes, they are. But that only throws them into the secondary filter.

Tex road record - 5-10
Oak Home record - 8-7 (use 7-8)
Tex vs Oak last 3 yrs 27-28
Tex at Oak last 3 yrs 15-14

54-60 (.474) so they qualify as a play.

Old Post 05-02-08 11:17 PM
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crazyl


Registered: May 2008
Posts: 56

Thanks Jkaul, I'm on them.

Old Post 05-02-08 11:19 PM
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gynecologist


Registered: Apr 2007
Posts: 17

Thanks Jkaul..

Old Post 05-02-08 11:34 PM
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