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qs185
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 1866

Handicapping light 12/06

Handicapping light for 12/06

Test to see if simple evaluation has any possibility of winning

Lines are as of what was on the sheet and will be graded at that.

SS = Super Situations
Sim = Simulator
OW = Outright Win
PL = Power Line
Sim * = Simulator Edge
PL * = Power Line Edge
otherwise, used to indicate a sitatuion, for example, 4* or 5*


These are subjective - always willing to see if others see something different in the data.

Will sometimes comment on games that are a pass.

Basic criteria
10 or more difference in SS (usually more), possibly with backup from Sim / PL and other Sits
or
Outright dog wins on the sim


Started yesterday

So far

NBA no plays

College

Sides
RD 1-0
RF
HD
HF 0-1

H1 always will be RD 1-0

Totals

Over 0-0
Under 1-0




NBA

NOR/MEM over 178
15-5 SS and a 4* Sim at 179

BOS / HOU no play
SS 14-0 for HOU -7, Sim has BOS OW

ATL/DEN over 196 no play
SS 10-0 for the over Sim at 187 * under


College

St. Joe's H1 +1.5
Sim OW, play in H1

Depaul +1.5
Sim and PL OW

Evansville +14
SS 44-0, Sim cover

Michigan State H1 +1
Sim OW, PL cover

Michigan State / Boston College under 151.5
SS 40-0, including 5*


Cal Riverside / San Diego no play
SS 63-9 at +15, but both Sim * and PL *


Creighton -6.5
Sim * and PL cover, also 4* SS

Wofford +16
SS 10-0, but Sim has Clemson covering, PL is at -16.

Montana -7
SS 30-7. Sim * including 2 4* and PL cover


Good Luck,
Bart

Old Post 12-07-05 12:04 AM
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MTPaid
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2004
Posts: 2583

Good luck. Will be watching. Always looking for an edge with the sheets.

Old Post 12-07-05 12:21 AM
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MTPaid
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2004
Posts: 2583

I actually played small on the ones with 2 out of 3 in agreement (SS, Sim, PL) and stayed away from 1st halves. DePaul, Creighton, Evansville, and Montana. Unfortunately, I had the infinite wisdom to play the 3 smaller lines on the ML and took a hit with Creighton. Still 3-1. May have found a golden nugget here.

Old Post 12-07-05 05:29 AM
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