MLB faves led 11-3 Wednesday w/ HOU-SD closing pick-em; upsets by OAK +159 at CHC, SF +142 at BAL & BOS -103 at TB; home teams 8-7; Unders 8-6-1 w/ push in SF-BAL (8); faves 1,253-940 w/ 48 PKs; home teams 1,174-1,060 w/ 7 neutral; Overs 1,078-1,073-88 w/ 2 N/A

NYM Letdown after series vs. WASHINGTON: 9-20 (31%) -19.60 units, ROI: -67.6%
System Matches: FADE NY METS (-135 vs. PHI)

Trend: Jack Flaherty has taken care of business against lesser opponents, going 26-9 (+8.33 units) against teams with a 45% or lower win percentage in the last six seasons
System Match: PLAY LA DODGERS (-225 at MIA)

Trend: TEX more Under at home (29-46 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total in TOR-TEX (o/u at 7.5)

(951) ATLANTA (82-70) at (952) CINCINNATI (74-79)
Trend: CIN not as good during the day (23-34, -12.86 units)
System Match: FADE CINCINNATI (+180 vs. ATL)

(953) LOS ANGELES-NL (90-62) at (954) MIAMI (56-96)
Trend: MIA heavy over at home (52-19 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8)

(955) PHILADELPHIA (91-61) at (956) NEW YORK-NL (84-68)
Trend: NYM good at night (57-32, +23.30 units)
System Match: PLAY NY METS (-135 vs. PHI)

(957) PITTSBURGH (71-81) at (958) ST LOUIS (77-75)
Trend: STL slight Under vs. divisional teams (20-31 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8)

(961) WASHINGTON (68-84) at (962) CHICAGO-NL (77-75)
Trend: CHC not as good vs. LH starters (12-18, -9.45 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO CUBS (-170 vs. WSH)

(965) TORONTO (72-80) at (966) TEXAS (73-79)
Trend: TEX more Under at home (29-46 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(967) NEW YORK-AL (89-63) at (968) SEATTLE (77-75)
Trend: SEA not as good vs. AL East/Central (26-37, -17.59 units)
System Match: FADE SEATTLE (-112 vs. NYY)

(973) SAN FRANCISCO (74-78) at (974) BALTIMORE (84-68)
Trend: BAL worse vs. NL teams (19-26, -16.58 units)
System Match: FADE BALTIMORE (-148 vs. SF)

(953) LOS ANGELES-NL (90-62) at (954) MIAMI (56-96)
Trend: Jack Flaherty has taken care of business against lesser opponents, going 26-9 (+8.33 units) against teams with a 45% or lower win percentage in the last six seasons
System Match: PLAY LA DODGERS (-225 at MIA)

Trend: MIA is 4-8 (-3.32 units) against teams with a >57% win pct with starter Edward Cabrera in the last four seasons
System Match: FADE MIAMI (+185 vs. LAD)

(955) PHILADELPHIA (91-61) at (956) NEW YORK-NL (84-68)
Trend: Taijuan Walker is 6-18 (-11.23 units) at night against teams with a >=55% win percentage in the last four seasons
System Match: FADE PHILADELPHIA (+114 at NYM)

(971) LOS ANGELES-AL (62-90) at (972) HOUSTON (82-70)
Trend: Yusei Kikuchi is 16-19 (-12.31 units) as a night home favorite in career
System Match: FADE HOUSTON (-298 vs. LAA)