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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

MLB Lagniappe 9/17

MLB dogs led 5-4 w/ PHI-MIL closing pick-'em; upsets by CHW +169, COL +155, DET +120, STL +116 & CLE +105; home teams 7-3; Unders 5-4-1 w/ push in PHI-MIL (8); faves 1,235-929 w/ 47 pick-'ems; home teams 1,158-1,046 w/ 7 neutrals; Overs 1,065-1,057-87 w/ 2 N/A

Old Post 09-17-24 08:14 AM
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msudogs
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(thru Sunday’s games)

— Arizona is 57-37 vs righty starters, 26-29 vs lefties.
Over is 20-7 in Diamondbacks’ last 27 games.

— Atlanta is 9-4 in its last 13 home games.
Under is 13-3 in their last 16 home games.

— Cubs won 11 of their last 15 road games.
Over is 12-3 in their last 15 road games.

— Cincinnati is 9-5 in its last fourteen games.
Reds are 14-27 in one-run games.

— Colorado is 9-1 in last ten home series openers.
Under is 7-2 in Rockies’ last nine road games.

— Dodgers lost four of their last six games.
Dodgers are 33-17 against lefty starting pitchers.

— Miami lost six of its last seven games.
Marlins are 10-44 against lefty starting pitchers, 45-51 vs righties.

— Under is 7-3 in Brewers’ last ten games.
Milwaukee is 19-23 against lefty starting pitchers, 67-40 vs righties.

— Mets are 9-3 in their last 12 home games.
Mets are 11-1 in their last 12 home series openers.

— Phillies won 11 of their last 14 games.
Phillies are 26-25 in day games, 64-34 in night games.

— Pirates are 2-9 in last 11 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.
Under is 6-3 in their last nine road games.

Old Post 09-17-24 08:20 AM
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msudogs
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ms…….
Trends for all 30 MLB teams…….(thru Sunday’s games)

— Arizona is 57-37 vs righty starters, 26-29 vs lefties.
Over is 20-7 in Diamondbacks’ last 27 games.

— Atlanta is 9-4 in its last 13 home games.
Under is 13-3 in their last 16 home games.

— Cubs won 11 of their last 15 road games.
Over is 12-3 in their last 15 road games.

— Cincinnati is 9-5 in its last fourteen games.
Reds are 14-27 in one-run games.

— Colorado is 9-1 in last ten home series openers.
Under is 7-2 in Rockies’ last nine road games.

— Dodgers lost four of their last six games.
Dodgers are 33-17 against lefty starting pitchers.

— Miami lost six of its last seven games.
Marlins are 10-44 against lefty starting pitchers, 45-51 vs righties.

— Under is 7-3 in Brewers’ last ten games.
Milwaukee is 19-23 against lefty starting pitchers, 67-40 vs righties.

— Mets are 9-3 in their last 12 home games.
Mets are 11-1 in their last 12 home series openers.

— Phillies won 11 of their last 14 games.
Phillies are 26-25 in day games, 64-34 in night games.

— Pirates are 2-9 in last 11 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.
Under is 6-3 in their last nine road games.

— Cardinals are 1-11 in their last dozen home series openers.
Under is 7-1 in their last eight home games.

— San Diego is 9-1 in extra-inning games.
Padres are 8-1 in last nine road series openers.

— San Francisco is 33-30 in day games, 39-48 in night games.
Giants are 2-8 in last 12 ten home games.

— Washington is 10-8 in its last 18 home games.
Under is 8-4 in their last 12 road games.

— Orioles are 2-7 in game after their last nine wins.
Last five Baltimore games stayed under.

— Red Sox lost eight of their last nine road games.
Boston is 58-49 vs righty starters, 17-26 vs lefties; last two years, they were 47-31 vs lefties.

— White Sox are 6-43 since the All-Star break.
Chicago is 2-17 in its last 19 series openers.

— Guardians are 22-11 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.
Cleveland is 29-12 vs lefty starting pitchers; LY, they were 24-35.

— Detroit is 7-3 in its last ten games.
Under is 14-3 in their last 17 home games.

— Houston won its last four games.
Last two years, Houston was 70-33 vs lefty starters; this year, they’re 21-21.

— Royals lost eight of their last eleven road games.
Royals are 69-50 vs righty starters, 13-18 vs lefties.

— Angels lost seven of their last eight games.
They’re 2-11 in their last 13 series openers.

— Minnesota is 8-17 in its last 25 games.
Over is 6-0 in their last six games.

— New York is 7-3 in its last ten games.
Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games.

— A’s are 9-7 in their last 16 games.
Oakland is 9-1 in its last ten series openers.

— Mariners are 13-9 since they changed managers,
Seattle is 7-19 in last 26 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Tampa Bay is 4-7 in its last 11 games.
Under is 20-6 in their last 26 road games.

— Texas lost five of its last six games.
Rangers are 16-22 vs lefty starting pitchers.

— Toronto is 4-1 in its last five games.
Under is 10-3 in their last 13 road games.

Old Post 09-17-24 08:20 AM
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Trend: BOS is 0-10 (-10.00 units) in road matchups against TB/NYY by starter Nick Pivetta
System Match: FADE BOSTON (-130 at TB)

NYY letdown after series vs. BOSTON: 16-15 (51.6%) -10.18 units, ROI: -32.8%
System Matches: FADE NY YANKEES (-118 at SEA)

Trend: MIA heavy Over at HOME (50-19 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total in LAD-MIA (o/u at 9.5)

Losing Streak Betting System #6:
Teams that have lost their last four games but are getting reasonably good pitching during the skid have been solid wagers in game #5, as those that allowed 6.0 RPG or fewer during the streak are on a 181-177 run (+33.89 units, ROI: 9.5%).
System Matches (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (-118 at BAL)

Old Post 09-17-24 09:46 PM
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(953) LOS ANGELES-NL (89-61) at (954) MIAMI (55-95)
Trend: MIA heavy OVER at HOME (50-19 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 9.5)

(955) WASHINGTON (68-82) at (956) NEW YORK-NL (82-68)
Trend: NYM good at NIGHT (55-32, +21.30 units)
System Match: PLAY NY METS (-170 vs WSH)

(957) PHILADELPHIA (90-60) at (958) MILWAUKEE (87-63)
Trend: MIL trending OVER against RH starters (60-40 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 7)

(959) PITTSBURGH (71-79) at (960) ST LOUIS (75-75)
Trend: STL slight UNDER vs divisional teams (19-30 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8)

(963) MINNESOTA (79-71) at (964) CLEVELAND (87-64)
Trend: CLE better at HOME (46-27, +7.14 units)
System Match: PLAY CLEVELAND (-130 vs MIN)

(967) DETROIT (78-73) at (968) KANSAS CITY (82-69)
Trend: KC better at HOME (45-31, +8.57 units)
System Match: PLAY KANSAS CITY (-162 vs DET)

(969) TORONTO (72-78) at (970) TEXAS (71-79)
Trend: TEX more UNDER at HOME (28-45 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7.5)

Old Post 09-17-24 09:48 PM
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(971) CHICAGO-AL (36-115) at (972) LOS ANGELES-AL (60-90)
Trend: CWS awful on the ROAD (16-57, -29.21 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+130 at LAA)

(973) NEW YORK-AL (87-63) at (974) SEATTLE (77-73)
Trend: SEA not as good vs AL East/Central (26-35, -15.51 units)
System Match: FADE SEATTLE (-102 vs NYY)

(975) SAN FRANCISCO (72-78) at (976) BALTIMORE (84-66)
Trend: BAL worse vs NL teams (19-24, -13.92 units)
System Match: FADE BALTIMORE (-102 vs SF)

(977) OAKLAND (65-86) at (978) CHICAGO-NL (77-73)
Trend: CHC better vs AL teams (27-17, +10.72 units)
System Match: PLAY CHICAGO CUBS (-155 vs OAK)

(979) HOUSTON (81-69) at (980) SAN DIEGO (86-65)
Trend: SD more OVER at HOME (44-30 O/U)

Old Post 09-17-24 09:48 PM
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(965) BOSTON (75-75) at (966) TAMPA BAY (73-77)
Trend: BOS is 0-10 (-10.00 units) in ROAD matchups against TB/NYY by starter Nick Pivetta
System Match: FADE BOSTON (-130 at TB)

(969) TORONTO (72-78) at (970) TEXAS (71-79)
Trend: Nathan Eovaldi is 23-6 (+17.60 units) in Sept/Oct/Nov since 2020
System Match: PLAY TEXAS (-135 vs TOR)

Old Post 09-17-24 10:14 PM
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