MLB favorites led 7-4 on Monday w/ upsets by CIN +140 vs. HOU, PIT +135 at CHC, OAK +124 vs. SEA & CLE -101 at KC; home teams led 6-5; Overs 7-4; faves lead 1,128-854 on season w/ 45 pick-ems; home teams 1,055-965 w/ 7 neutrals; Overs 986-963-76 w/ 2 no-action

Washington (61-76) @ Miami (51-86)
— Corbin is 2-0, 1.65 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 5-13 in his last 18 starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-27
— record in first 5 innings: 8-18-1
— He is 5-7, 4.22 in 19 starts vs Miami

— Nationals are 3-6 in last nine games.
— They’re 29-39 on road.
— Nationals are 2-8 in last 10 series openers
— under 11-4 last fifteen games
— scored run in first inning: 26-137
— record in first 5 innings: 55-68-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-x

— Meyer is 0-2, 7.20 in his last three starts.
— Miami is 1-5 in his last six starts.
— over 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington

— Marlins are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Miami is 25-44 at home.
— Marlins are 8-15 in home series openers
— over 14-3 last 17 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-137
— record in first 5 innings: 46-75-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.2-5

Colorado (51-87) @ Atlanta (74-63)
— Freeland is 1-2, 7.13 in his last three starts.
— Colorado is 8-3 in his last 11 starts.
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-1
— He is 1-4, 6.34 in nine starts vs Atlanta.

— Rockies are 4-8 in their last 12 games.
— They’re 19-50 on road.
— Rockies are 6-16 in road series openers
— over 3-1 last four road games
— scored run in first inning: 35-138
— record in first 5 innings: 49-69-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-5-x

— Sale is 2-0, 1.73 in his last four starts.
— Atlanta is 10-3 in his last thirteen starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 8-25
— record in first 5 innings: 18-5-2
— He is 0-0, 1.74 in three games (1 start) vs Colorado.

— Braves lost three of last four games.
— They’re 36-28 at home.
— Braves are 8-4 in last 12 home series openers
— under 6-0 last six home games
— scored run in first inning: 38-137
— record in first 5 innings: 65-52-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-3-x

St Louis (69-69) @ Milwaukee (81-57)
— Matz is 1-2, 7.07 in six starts.
— His last start was April 30th.
— Cardinals are 2-4 in his starts.
— over 4-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He is 5-2, 2.89 in seven starts vs Milwaukee.

— Cardinals are 8-5 in last 13 games.
— They’re 33-37 on road.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 30-138
— record in first 5 innings: 54-63-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-2.1

— Civale is 3-0, 1.93 in his last four starts.
— Brewers won his last four starts.
— over 7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2-1
— He gave up five runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs St Louis.

— Brewers are 14-5 in their last 19 games.
— They’re 41-25 at home.
— over 7-4 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 37-138
— record in first 5 innings: 65-53-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-4

Pittsburgh (64-73) @ Cubs (71-67)
— Skenes is 2-0, 2.65 in his last three starts.
— Pirates are 11-7 in his starts.
— over 10-8
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 11-3-4
— He is 1-0, 3.60 in three starts vs Chicago TY.

— Pirates lost six of last nine games.
— They’re 32-37 on road.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 27-137
— record in first 5 innings: 54-60-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.2-2.2

— Hendricks is 0-1, 7.41 in his last four starts.
— Chicago is 8-11 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-11-1
— He is 0-1, 13.09 in three starts vs Pittsburgh TY.

— Cubs are 9-2 in their last 11 games.
— They’re 36-30 at home.
— over 10-2 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-138
— record in first 5 innings: 60-57-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-2

Arizona (77-61) @ San Francisco (68-70)
— Nelson is 1-0, 2.39 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 10-3 in his last 13 starts.
— over 8-3 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 3-24
— record in first 5 innings: 12-9-3
— He is 0-0, 1.93 in two starts vs San Francisco TY.

— Arizona is 2-5 in its last six games.
— Diamondbacks are 38-30 on road.
— Diamondbacks are 8-4 in last 12 road series openers
— over 27-7 last 34 games
— scored run in first inning: 46-138
— record in first 5 innings: 65-51-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3.1-5

— Giants haven’t named a starter

— Giants are 3-7 in their last ten games.
— Giants are 39-30 at home.
— Giants are 8-2 in last 10 home series openers
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 34-138
— record in first 5 innings: 56-59-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-x

White Sox (31-108) @ Baltimore (80-59)
— Nastrini is 0-6, 7.63 in seven starts.
— White Sox are 1-6 in his starts.
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-6
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

— White Sox lost their last 11 games.
— Chicago is 13-54 on road.
— under 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 29-139
— record in first 5 innings: 49-69-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5.2-4.2

— Povich is 0-5, 8.51 in his last six starts.
— Orioles are 4-7 in his starts.
— over 6-5
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.

— Baltimore is 10-11 in its last 21 games.
— Orioles are 40-30 at home.
— under 12-7 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-139
— record in first 5 innings: 71-52-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-2-4

Cleveland (78-59) @ Kansas City (75-63)
— Bibee is 0-2, 6.32 in his last three starts.
— Cleveland is 7-4 in his last 11 starts.
— under 7-3 last 10 road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-26
— record in first 5 innings: 13-8-5
— He is 1-0, 5.63 in three starts vs Kansas City TY.

— Cleveland is 7-10 in its last 17 games.
— Guardians are 36-34 on road.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 37-138
— record in first 5 innings: 61-59-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-2

— Singer is 1-1, 3.71 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 1-4 in his last five starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-27
— record in first 5 innings: 10-13-4
— He is 2-2, 4.98 in 12 starts vs Cleveland.

— Royals lost their last six games.
— Royals are 41-29 at home.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 37-139
— record in first 5 innings: 66-52-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-4

Minnesota (75-62) @ Tampa Bay (67-70)
— Festa is 0-2, 4.00 in his last four starts.
— Minnesota is 3-5 in his starts.
— under 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— Twins are 3-1 in last four games.
— Twins are 36-32 on road.
— under 6-3 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 39-137
— record in first 5 innings: 62-59-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-3-5.1

— Springs is 1-1, 2.41 in his last four starts.
— Rays are 4-2 in his starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
— He is 1-0, 0.00 in two games (6.1 IP) (1 start) vs Minnesota

— Tampa Bay is 3-8 in its last 11 games.
— Rays are 35-37 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-137
— record in first 5 innings: 45-72-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-6-5

Bronx (80-58) @ Texas (65-73)
— Rodon is 1-2, 5.40 in his last three starts.
— New York is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— under 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 11-27
— record in first 5 innings: 14-11-2
— He is 2-1, 3.96 in six starts vs Texas.

— New York is 4-5 in its last nine games.
— They’re 43-27 on road.
— under 6-1 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 49-138
— record in first 5 innings: 68-54-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5-3

— Heaney is 0-3, 4.91 in his last six starts.
— Texas is 9-17 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-26
— record in first 5 innings: 6-15-5
— He is 1-4, 5.35 in seven starts vs New York.

— Rangers are 9-5 in last 14 games.
— Texas is 36-33 at home.
— under 11-6 last seventeen games
— scored run in first inning: 42-138
— record in first 5 innings: 54-61-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5.1-4

Seattle (69-69) @ Oakland (60-78)
— Castillo is 1-1, 5.82 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 7-8 in his last 15 starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 10-28
— record in first 5 innings: 12-15-1
— He is 4-2, 3.38 in six starts vs Oakland.

— Seattle lost its last three games.
— Mariners are 28-41 on road.
— under 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 38-138
— record in first 5 innings: 62-57-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3.1-2.2

— bullpen game

— A’s are 6-7 in last 13 games.
— Oakland is 34-35 at home.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 32-138
— record in first 5 innings: 53-76-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4.2-3.2

Philadelphia (81-56) @ Toronto (67-72)
— Phillips is 4-1, 5.91 in six starts.
— Phillies are 5-1 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

— Phillies are 7-2 in their last nine games.
— They’re 34-31 on road.
— Phillies are 1-6 in last seven road series openers
— over 5-3 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 47-137
— record in first 5 innings: 74-50-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2-3

— Bassitt is 0-3, 6.23 in his last four starts.
— Blue Jays are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— under 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 10-27
— record in first 5 innings: 8-12-7
— He is 4-0, 1.86 in five starts vs Philly.

— Toronto is 2-4 in its last six games.
— Blue Jays are 34-33 at home.
— Blue Jays are 10-11 in home series openers
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 38-139
— record in first 5 innings: 61-60-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6-x

Boston (70-68) @ NY Mets (74-64)
— Crawford is 0-3, 3.71 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— under 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-27
— record in first 5 innings: 10-12-5
— He gave up four runs in 4 iP, in his one start against the Mets.

— Red Sox are 3-9 in last 12 games.
— They’re 39-30 on road.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 46-138
— record in first 5 innings: 69-51-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-2.2

— Peterson is 3-0, 2.20 in his last five starts.
— Mets are 13-3 in his starts.
— under 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-16
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-1
— He is 1-1, 3.38 in two starts vs Boston.

— New York is 13-6 in its last 19 games.
— Mets are 36-33 at home.
— under 5-1 last six home games
— scored run in first inning: 34-137
— record in first 5 innings: 64-54-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-2

Los Angeles (83-55) @ LA Angels (57-80)
— Buehler is 0-0, 10.13 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 6-5 in his starts.
— over 3-0-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7
— He is 1-0, 4.02 in three starts vs Anaheim.

— Dodgers are 20-8 in their last 28 games.
— Dodgers are 38-31 on road.
— Dodgers are 7-1 in last eight series openers
— over 8-3 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 48-138
— record in first 5 innings: 71-52-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.2-3.1

— Detmers is 0-2, 9.68 in his last four starts.
— His last start was June 1st.
— Angels are 1-7 in his last eight starts.
— over 7-0 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 0-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-2
— He is 0-3, 7.58 in four starts against the Dodgers

— Angels are 3-1 in their last four games.
— They’re 29-41 at home.
— Angels are 2-6 in last eight home series openers
— under 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-137
— record in first 5 innings: 46-77-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-x

Umpires
— Pitt-Chi— Home favorites are 12-6 in Eddings games.
— StL-Mil— Over is 16-11 in Barrett games.

— Chi-Balt— Under is 17-10 in Wendelstedt games.
— Minn-TB— Road team is 17-9 in Clemons games.
— Clev-KC— Favorites are 12-10 in Ceja games.
— NYY-Tex— Over is 14-6 in Wegner games.
— Sea-A’s— Under is 15-9 in Gonzalez games.

— Bos-NYM— Home favorites are 7-11 in Segal games.

(951) WASHINGTON (61-76) at (952) MIAMI (51-86)
Trend: MIA awful vs. LH starters (9-38, -28.06 units)
System Match: FADE MIAMI (-118 vs. WSH)

(953) COLORADO (51-87) at (954) ATLANTA (74-63)
Trend: COL worse vs. LH starters (13-29, -10.50 units)
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+280 at ATL)

(957) ST LOUIS (69-69) at (958) MILWAUKEE (81-57)
Trend: MIL trending Over at home (37-22 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(959) ARIZONA (77-61) at (960) SAN FRANCISCO (68-70)
Trend: AZ trending Over vs. divisional teams (28-11 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(961) CHICAGO-AL (31-108) at (962) BALTIMORE (80-59)
Trend: BAL slight Over vs. AL Central/West (32-18 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(963) MINNESOTA (75-62) at (964) TAMPA BAY (67-70)
Trend: TB trending Under vs. AL Central/West (20-33 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(967) NEW YORK-AL (80-58) at (968) TEXAS (65-73)
Trend: NYY not as good vs. LH starters (17-22, -22.49 units)
System Match: FADE NY YANKEES (-135 at TEX)

(969) SEATTLE (69-69) at (970) OAKLAND (60-78)
Trend: SEA bad on the road (28-41, -21.37 units)
System Match: FADE SEATTLE (-155 at OAK)

(971) PHILADELPHIA (81-56) at (972) TORONTO (67-72)
Trend: Over the total is 15-7 when PHI is a road underdog this season
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(973) BOSTON (70-68) at (974) NEW YORK-NL (74-64)
Trend: BOS worse vs. LH starters (15-23, -11.27 units)
System Match: FADE BOSTON (+114 at NYM)

(975) LOS ANGELES-NL (83-55) at (976) LOS ANGELES-AL (57-80)
Trend: LAD better vs. LH starters (31-14, +4.06 units)
System Match: PLAY LA DODGERS (-192 at LAA)

(951) WASHINGTON (61-76) at (952) MIAMI (51-86)
Trend: WSH is 3-9 (-5.96 units) as a night underdog between line range of -105 to +120 with Patrick Corbin in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE WASHINGTON (-102 at MIA)

Trend: WSH is 10-39 (-27.66 units) vs. Divisional opponents with starter Patrick Corbin since 2020
System Match: FADE WASHINGTON (-102 at MIA)

(953) COLORADO (51-87) at (954) ATLANTA (74-63)
Trend: COL is 6-16 (-6.06 units) on the road with starter Kyle Freeland in last two seasons
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+280 at ATL)

(955) PITTSBURGH (64-73) at (956) CHICAGO-NL (71-67)
Trend: Kyle Hendricks not good in the short underdog role, +100 to +128 range, 3-15 (-11.75 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO CUBS (+114 vs. PIT)

(957) ST LOUIS (69-69) at (958) MILWAUKEE (81-57)
Trend: Aaron Civale is 19-8 (+4.07 units) in home night games as a favorite in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY MILWAUKEE (-148 vs. STL)

(965) CLEVELAND (79-59) at (966) KANSAS CITY (75-64)
Trend: CLE is 16-4 (+12.10 units) in the -135 to +110 line range by starter Tanner Bibee in the last two seasons
System Match: PLAY CLEVELAND (-115 at KC)

(967) NEW YORK-AL (80-58) at (968) TEXAS (65-73)
Trend: Andrew Heaney is 19-33 (-17.05 units) vs teams with a >53% win percentage in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE TEXAS (+114 vs. NYY)

(971) PHILADELPHIA (81-56) at (972) TORONTO (67-72)
Trend: Chris Bassitt is 13-4 (+8.02 units) vs. NL East opponents in the last six seasons
System Match: PLAY TORONTO (-112 vs PHI)

(973) BOSTON (70-68) at (974) NEW YORK-NL (74-64)
Trend: BOS is 6-18 (-13.90 units) in the months of August/September by starter Kutter Crawford
System Match: FADE BOSTON (+114 at NYM)

(975) LOS ANGELES-NL (83-55) at (976) LOS ANGELES-AL (57-80)
Trend: Walker Buehler is 9-2 vs. AL teams (+5.64 units) since 2019
System Match: PLAY LA DODGERS (-192 at LAA)

Trend: LAA is 0-4 (-4.00 units) vs. LA Dodgers with starter Reid Detmers
System Match: FADE LA ANGELS (+160 vs. LAD)