LSU vs USC (-4.5) (@ Las Vegas)
In two years under Kelly, LSU is 20-7 SU/15-11-1 ATS
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Tigers have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Nussmeier was MVP of LSU’s 35-31 bowl win, but he threw only 78 passes LY. 1st-round draft pick Daniels leaves big shoes to fill.

In his career, Kelly is 35-17-2 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2017, Tigers are 15-5-1 ATS as an underdog.
Under Kelly, LSU is 7-3 ATS in non-conference games.
LSU lost its last four season openers (favored in 3 of the 4)

Last three years, Trojans went 3-9/11-3/8-5 SU (16-23 ATS).
USC has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Trojans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Moss won his only start 42-28 (bowl game).

In his career, Riley is 25-18 ATS as home favorite, 8-17-1 as road favorite.
Last ten years, Trojans are 1-10 ATS on neutral fields.
In his career, Riley is 15-10 ATS in non-league games.
USC is 5-0 SU/2-3 ATS in its last five season openers.

These teams haven’t met since 1984.
Kelly was 8-3 vs USC when he coached Notre Dame.

Updated LSU-USC betting at BetMGM

LSU open -6.5, now -4.5
▪️ 59% of bets, 60% of money on LSU

Total open 62.5, now 64.5
▪️ 65% of bets, 73% of money on Over

USC open +180, now +160
▪️ 55% of bets, 49% of money on USC

USC spread vs. LSU

+6.5: Open

+4.5: This morning

+4: Now

Only 36% of money is on USC to cover at BetMGM

Florida State-Boston College betting at BetMGM

FSU open -21.5, now -16.5
▪️ 60% of bets, 69% of money on Florida State

Total open 51.5, now 50
▪️ 52% of bets, 73% of money on Over

BC open +1000, now +550
▪️ 56% of bets, 21% of money on Boston College

As double-digit favorites after a loss, Mike Norvell's teams have gone 5-1 ATS

Florida State lost as double-digit favorites last week.

Florida State's rocky start to the season and the underwhelming offensive performance has set up a fascinating scenario for this game against BC.

Given the historical context and statistical trends, Monday night's pick for BC-FSU zooms in on the total rather than the spread.

Historically, a solid pick has been the under when "Power Five" conference matchups occur on days other than Saturday. Our extensive tracking reveals that these non-Saturday games have gone under 56% of the time.