Phillies First Inning Moneyline +200 (Play to +180)

Starting Pitchers: Mitchell Parker vs. Zack Wheeler

The full game YRFI in this game is projecting fairly close to the prevailing lines throughout the market, giving us a slight edge but not necessarily one worth betting.

However, the run equity is heavily skewed towards the home team, which is implied for more than five runs and have four straight hitters at the top of their lineup with a 130 or better wRC+ on the season.

That's even without taking into account the Phillies platoon splits — they are roughly league-average against righties but tied for the best team in the league against lefties. Both lefties at the top of their order have reverse splits, meaning they hit fellow lefties better than righties.

That leaves us with two logical choices to bet today, the Phillies team YRFI or Phillies moneyline.