Miami (45-75) @ Philadelphia (69-50)
— Cabrera is 1-0, 1.06 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 6-6 in his starts.
— over 9-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— He is 1-1, 2.84 in four starts against the Phillies.

— Marlins are 6-9 in their last 15 games.
— Miami is 21-36 on road.
— over 6-2 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-120
— record in first 5 innings: 42-66-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-x-2

— Phillips is 4-1, 5.20 in five starts.
— Phillies are 4-1 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.

— Phillies are 8-18 in their last 26 games.
— They’re 38-22 at home.
— over 10-4 last fourteen games
— scored run in first inning: 44-119
— record in first 5 innings: 67-41-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-x-5

St Louis (60-60) @ Cincinnati (59-61)
— Gibson is 0-1, 4.08 in his last five starts.
— Cardinals are 7-4 in his road starts.
— over 12-3 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 7-22
— record in first 5 innings: 8-11-3
— He is 2-0, 5.40- in three starts vs Cincinnati.

— Cardinals are 1-4 in last five games.
— They’re 29-33 on road.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 28-120
— record in first 5 innings: 45-56-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-2

— bullpen game

— Reds are 6-3 in their last eight games.
— They’re 30-31 at home.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 33-120
— record in first 5 innings: 55-48-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2.1-2

Los Angeles (71-49) @ Milwaukee (67-52)
— Buehler is 0-1, 10.50 in his last three starts.
— His last start was June 18th.
— Dodgers are 4-4 in his starts.
— under 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5
— He is 1-1, 1.50 in two starts vs Milwaukee.

— Dodgers are 8-2 in their last ten games.
— Dodgers are 6-11 in last 17 road games.
— over 12-6 last eighteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-120
— record in first 5 innings: 63-46-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-4

— Montas is 1-0, 6.00 in two starts for Milwaukee.
— Brewers are 2-0 in his starts.
— over 6-0 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 7-12-2
— He is 0-2, 11.57 in three starts vs Los Angeles.

— Brewers won five of their last eight games.
— They’re 33-24 at home.
— over 11-5-1 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-119
— record in first 5 innings: 53-50-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-3

Colorado (44-77) @ Arizona (68-53)
— Gordon is 0-3, 6.15 in five starts.
— Colorado is 1-4 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Rockies are 6-12 in their last 18 games.
— They’re 17-45 on road.
— over 12-6 last 18 road games
— scored run in first inning: 31-121
— record in first 5 innings: 44-60-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-2.1-2.2

— Montgomery is 0-1, 7.11 in his last three starts.
— Arizona is 10-7 in his starts.
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-2
— He gave up a run in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Colorado.

— Arizona is 23-6 in its last 29 games.
— Diamondbacks are 36-26 at home.
— over 14-3 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-121
— record in first 5 innings: 57-44-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-4

Pittsburgh (56-63) @ San Diego (68-53)
— Keller is 0-1, 4.32 in his last five starts.
— Pittsburgh is 13-3 in his last 16 starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-4
— He is 2-2, 3.86 in four starts vs San Diego.

— Pirates are 1-11 in their last 12 games.
— They’re 29-32 on road.
— over 9-6 last fifteen games
— scored run in first inning: 23-119
— record in first 5 innings: 47-50-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-2-3

— Perez is 0-0, 2.08 in two starts for San Diego.
— Pirates traded him to San Diego July 30th.
— San Diego is 2-0 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He is 2-1, 4.00 in three starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Padres won 18 of last 21 games.
— They’re 32-29 at home.
— under 4-1 last five home games
— scored run in first inning: 33-121
— record in first 5 innings: 53-51-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.2-3

Atlanta (63-56) @ San Francisco (61-61)
— Holmes is 0-0, 5.79 in three starts.
— Atlanta is 0-3 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— This is his first start against San Francisco.

— Braves lost seven of last ten games.
— They’re 31-30 on road.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 33-119
— record in first 5 innings: 55-47-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-4

— Ray is 2-1, 3.98 in four starts.
— Giants are 3-1 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He is 1-3, 4.85 in seven starts vs Atlanta.

— Giants lost their last three games.
— Giants are 35-26 at home.
— under 8-2 last ten home games
— scored run in first inning: 29-122
— record in first 5 innings: 49-54-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3.2-5

Washington (55-65) @ Baltimore (70-50)
— Herz is 1-1, 3.57 in his last four starts.
— Washington is 4-7 in his starts.
— over 5-3 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

— Nationals are 6-4 in last ten games.
— They’re 27-33 on road.
— over 12-5 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-120
— record in first 5 innings: 47-60-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-5-3

— Kremer is 0-4, 6.97 in his last four starts.
— Orioles are 2-7 in his last nine starts.
— over 12-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-1
— He is 2-0, 2.31 in two starts vs Washington.

— Baltimore is 5-4 in its last nine games.
— Orioles are 34-26 at home.
— over 20-5 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-120
— record in first 5 innings: 64-44-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.1-x-4

Cubs (59-62) @ Cleveland (71-49)
— Taillon is 1-1, 7.05 in his last three starts.
— Chicago is 4-6 in his road starts.
— over 5-2 last seven starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-1
— He is 1-2, 4.71 in four starts vs Cleveland.

— Cubs are 10-6 in their last 16 games.
— They’re 27-35 on road.
— over 8-4 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 27-121
— record in first 5 innings: 49-52-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-4

— Cobb gave up 5 runs in 4.2 IP in his first ’24 start.
— Cleveland lost his only start.
— In his career, he is 77-76, 3.86 in 231 starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He is 0-1, 1.40 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Cleveland won its last four games.
— Guardians are 37-20 at home.
— over 8-1 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 31-120
— record in first 5 innings: 55-48-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-5.1-3.2

Oakland (51-69) @ NY Mets (61-58)
— Estes is 1-0, 3.24 in his last three starts.
— Oakland is 8-7 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 6-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Mets.

— A’s are 14-8 since All-Star break.
— Oakland is 10-5 in last 15 road games.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 27-120
— record in first 5 innings: 45-68-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-5

— Peterson is 1-1, 3.94 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 9-3 in his starts.
— under 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-12
— record in first 5 innings: 8-2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Oakland.

— New York is 3-7 in its last ten games.
— Mets are 30-30 at home.
— under 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 29-119
— record in first 5 innings: 50-51-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-5

Trend: Home teams are 6-20 (23.1%, -20.50 units) in the last 26 games between the Los Angeles Angels and Toronto Blue Jays. The ROI on this trend is -78.8%.
System Matches: FADE LA ANGELS (-115 vs. TOR)

Trend: FAVORITES are 20-2 (90.9%, +15.60 units) in the last 22 games between Milwaukee and LA Dodgers
– The ROI on this trend is 70.9%
System Matches: PLAY LA DODGERS (-135 at MIL)

Trend: Under the total is 7-2 in STL-CIN head-to-head series this season (including 5-0 at CIN)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9.5)

(951) COLORADO (44-77) at (952) ARIZONA (68-53)
Trend: COL bad on the road (17-45, -15.71 units)
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+170 at AZ)

(955) MIAMI (45-75) at (956) PHILADELPHIA (69-50)
Trend: MIA more Under on the road (22-34 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9)

(957) ST LOUIS (60-60) at (958) CINCINNATI (59-61)
Trend: Under the total is 7-2 in the head-to-head series this season (including 5-0 at CIN)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9.5)

(959) LOS ANGELES-NL (71-49) at (960) MILWAUKEE (67-52)
Trend: MIL is 16-24 (-13.35 units) vs. NL East/West this season
System Match: FADE MILWAUKEE (+105 vs LAD)

(961) ATLANTA (63-56) at (962) SAN FRANCISCO (61-61)
Trend: ATL slightly better vs. LH starters (22-13, +1.26 units)
System Match: PLAY ATLANTA (-105 at SF)

(963) KANSAS CITY (65-55) at (964) MINNESOTA (67-52)
Trend: MIN leads head-to-head series (7-2 record, 5-1 at home) this season
System Match: PLAY MINNESOTA (-110 vs KC)

(967) SEATTLE (63-57) at (968) DETROIT (57-63)
Trend: DET more Over vs. AL teams (46-33 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8)

(971) NEW YORK-AL (71-50) at (972) CHICAGO-AL (29-92)
Trend: CWS bad at night (19-54, -25.74 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+200 vs. NYY)

(973) TORONTO (56-64) at (974) LOS ANGELES-AL (52-68)
Trend: LAA just 7-11 as a home favorite this season
System Match: FADE LA ANGELS (-115 vs TOR)

(975) WASHINGTON (55-65) at (976) BALTIMORE (70-50)
Trend: BAL hasn’t been good vs. NL teams this season (14-19, -13.92 units)
System Match: FADE BALTIMORE (-180 vs WSH)

(979) OAKLAND (51-69) at (980) NEW YORK-NL (61-58)
Trend: NYM better at night (39-28, +9.04 units)
System Match: PLAY NY METS (-185 vs. OAK)

(955) MIAMI (45-75) at (956) PHILADELPHIA (69-50)
Trend: MIA is 3-7 (-3.46 units) against teams with a >57% win pct with starter Edward Cabrera in the last three seasons
System Match: FADE MIAMI (+150 at PHI)

(959) LOS ANGELES-NL (71-49) at (960) MILWAUKEE (67-52)
Trend: LAD is 4-8 (-6.60 units) as a short favorite (in line range -120 to -145) with starter Walker Buehler in since 2019
System Match: FADE LA DODGERS (-125 at MIL)

(975) WASHINGTON (55-65) at (976) BALTIMORE (70-50)
Trend: BAL is 26-10 (+13.89 units) in the last 2+ seasons in home games with starter Dean Kremer
System Match: PLAY BALTIMORE (-180 vs WSH)

(977) CHICAGO-NL (59-62) at (978) CLEVELAND (71-49)
Trend: CHC is 13-4 (+7.38 units) against AL Central by starter Jameson Taillon
System Match: PLAY CHICAGO CUBS (+120 at CLE)

Trend: Alex Cobb is 9-1 (+7.85 units) in his last 10 HOME starts
System Match: PLAY CLEVELAND (-142 vs. CHC)