St Louis (60-58) @ Cincinnati (57-61)
— Gray is 2-0, 4.85 in his last four starts
— Cardinals are 13-8 in his starts.
— over 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 12-6-3
— He is 0-2, 3.75 in two starts vs Cincinnati.
— He pitched for the Reds from 2019-21.

— Cardinals are 3-2 in last five games.
— They’re 29-31 on road.
— Cardinals are 2-8 in last 10 series openers.
— over 11-5 last sixteen games
— scored run in first inning: 28-118
— record in first 5 innings: 45-54-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.1-x

— Abbott is 0-3, 7.33 in his last five starts.
— Reds lost his last four starts.
— under 17-6
— allowed run in first inning: 7-23
— record in first 5 innings: 11-9-3
— He is 2-2, 6.10 in four starts vs St Louis.

— Reds are 2-3 in their last five games.
— They’re 28-31 at home.
— Reds are 9-3 in last 12 home series openers.
— over 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 32-118
— record in first 5 innings: 53-48-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1-3.1

Los Angeles (69-49) @ Milwaukee (67-50)
— Kershaw is 0-2, 7.30 in three starts.
— Dodgers are 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He is 8-5, 2.92 in 18 starts vs Milwaukee.

— Dodgers are 6-2 in their last eight games.
— Dodgers are 4-11 in last 15 road games.
— Dodgers are 10-9 in road series openers.
— over 11-5 last sixteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-118
— record in first 5 innings: 61-46-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4.1-3

— Peralta is 1-1, 4.43 in his last four starts.
— Brewers are 2-4 in his last six starts.
— over 17-6
— allowed run in first inning: 11-23
— record in first 5 innings: 9-12-1
— He is 2-1, 2.63 in five starts vs Los Angeles.

— Brewers won five of their last six games.
— They’re 33-22 at home.
— Brewers are 11-7 in home series openers.
— over 10-4-1 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-117
— record in first 5 innings: 53-48-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-1.1-4.1

Colorado (44-75) @ Arizona (66-53)
— Quantrill is 1-1, 7.20 in his last four starts.
— Colorado lost his last four road starts.
— over 8-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 3-23
— record in first 5 innings: 9-10-4
— He is 1-3, 6.19 in six starts vs Arizona.

— Rockies are 6-10 in their last 16 games.
— They’re 17-43 on road.
— Rockies are 5-14 in road series openers.
— over 11-5 last 16 road games
— scored run in first inning: 31-119
— record in first 5 innings: 42-60-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-6.1-5.1

— Pfaadt is 3-0, 2.97 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 7-1 in his last eight starts.
— over 8-4 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 12-6-5
— He is 1-1, 4.15 in two starts vs Colorado.

— Arizona is 21-6 in its last 27 games.
— Diamondbacks are 34-26 at home.
— Diamondbacks are 9-10 in home series openers.
— over 13-2 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-119
— record in first 5 innings: 57-42-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-4.2-4

Pittsburgh (56-61) @ San Diego (66-53)
— Gonzales is 1-1, 6.48 in his last four starts.
— Pittsburgh is 3-4 in his starts.
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4
— He is 1-0, 5.52 in three starts vs San Diego.

— Pirates are 1-9 in their last ten games.
— They’re 29-30 on road.
— Pirates are 9-10 in road series openers.
— over 9-4 last thirteen games
— scored run in first inning: 23-117
— record in first 5 innings: 47-49-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-5.2

— Musgrove is 0-2, 6.00 in his last four starts.
— His last start was May 26th.
— San Diego is 6-4 in his starts.
— over 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 5-10
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-3
— He is 1-2, 3.33 in five starts vs Pittsburgh.
— He pitched for the Pirates from 2018-20.

— Padres won 16 of last 19 games.
— They’re 30-29 at home.
— Padres are 9-10 in home series openers.
— over 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-119
— record in first 5 innings: 52-51-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5.2-3

Atlanta (61-56) @ San Francisco (61-59)
— Sale is 0-0, 3.57 in his last three starts.
— Atlanta is 14-7 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 9-21
— record in first 5 innings: 16-4-1
— He is 2-0, 1.80 in three starts vs San Francisco.

— Braves lost seven of last eight games.
— They’re 29-30 on road.
— Braves are 6-10 in last 16 road series openers.
— over 6-0 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 33-117
— record in first 5 innings: 54-47-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3

— Snell is 2-0, 1.15 in his last six starts.
— Giants are 5-1 in his last six starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-2
— He is 0-2, 4.20 in three starts vs Atlanta.

— San Francisco is 12-4 in its last 16 games.
— Giants are 35-24 at home.
— Giants are 13-6 in home series openers.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 29-120
— record in first 5 innings: 49-53-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-4.2

Houston (62-55) @ Tampa Bay (59-58)
— Valdez is 5-0, 2.50 in his last six starts
— Astros won his last eight starts.
— under 4-1 last five road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-20
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-1
— He gave up 6 runs in 5.1 IP, in his one start vs Tampa Bay.

— Houston is 10-3 in its last 13 games.
— Astros are 30-29 on road.
— Astros are 9-10 in road series openers.
— under 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 36-117
— record in first 5 innings: 53-49-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2-3.1

— Bradley is 0-2, 8.38 in his last two starts.
— Rays are 9-7 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-10-2
— He is 1-1, 8.64 in two starts vs Houston.

— Tampa Bay is 4-6 in its last ten games.
— Rays are 31-31 at home.
— Rays are 6-2 in last eight home series openers.
— under 10-4 last 14 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-117
— record in first 5 innings: 41-59-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-8-4

Texas (55-63) @ Boston (61-55)
— Mahle gave up a run in 5 IP (76 PT) in his first ‘24 start.
— Rangers are 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.

— Rangers are 5-10 in last 15 games.
— Texas is 24-36 on road.
— Rangers are in 3-13 in last 16 road series openers.
— over 13-4 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-118
— record in first 5 innings: 48-51-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-9-3.1

— Bello is 0-0, 4.50 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 6-1 in his last seven starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 13-7-1
— He is 2-1, 5.63 in three starts vs Texas.

— Red Sox lost their last four games.
— They’re 27-31 at home.
— Red Sox are 5-14 in home series openers.
— over 17-3 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-116
— record in first 5 innings: 60-42-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6-8.1

Kansas City (65-53) @ Minnesota (65-52)
— Singer is 3-1, 2.36 in his last four starts.
— Royals are 5-5 in his road starts.
— under 5-3 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-23
— record in first 5 innings: 9-10-4
— He is 3-6, 5.18 in 12 starts vs Minnesota.

— Royals are 8-4 in last dozen games.
— Royals are 27-28 on road
— Royals are 8-10 in road series openers.
— over 12-4 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-118
— record in first 5 innings: 55-44-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-2-x

— Lopez is 2-1, 3.24 in his last four starts.
— Twins are 8-2 in his last 10 starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 8-23
— record in first 5 innings: 11-11-1
— He is 4-1, 2.41 in five starts vs Kansas City.

— Twins won seven of last 11 games.
— Twins are 34-23 at home.
— Twins are 12-6 in home series openers.
— under 3-1 last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-117
— record in first 5 innings: 53-50-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.1-2-5.2

Bronx (70-49) @ White Sox (28-91)
— Gil is 3-0, 2.11 in his last four starts.
— New York is 7-3 in his road starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-22
— record in first 5 innings: 15-4-3
— He is 1-0, 4.50 in two starts vs Chicago.

— New York won 10 of its last 14 games.
— They’re 38-22 on road.
— New York is 11-8 in road series openers.
— over 32-12 last 44 games
— scored run in first inning: 42-119
— record in first 5 innings: 60-45-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-7-4

— Bush gave up 3 runs in 4 IP (84 PT) in his first ’24 start.
— Chicago is 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— White Sox lost 24 of last 25 games.
— Chicago is 17-42 at home.
— White Sox lost their last nine series openers.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 22-119
— record in first 5 innings: 45-58-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6.2-5

Toronto (54-64) @ LA Angels (52-66)
— Francis is 1-2, 6.75 in five starts.
— Toronto is 2-3 in his starts.
— over 5-0
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Anaheim.

— Toronto is 5-8 in its last 13 games.
— Blue Jays are 25-33 on road.
— Blue Jays are 1-8 in last nine road series openers.
— over 33-10 last 43 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-118
— record in first 5 innings: 49-53-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-5

— Daniel is 1-3, 6.40 in five starts.
— Angels are 1-4 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto

— Angels are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— They’re 26-35 at home.
— Angels are in 2-9 in last 11 series openers.
— under 12-7 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-118
— record in first 5 innings: 43-63-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2.2-1.1

Cubs (59-60) @ Cleveland (69-49)
— Imanaga is 2-0, 2.81 in his last five starts.
— Chicago is 17-4 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 3-21
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-6
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.

— Cubs are 10-4 in their last 14 games.
— They’re 27-33 on road.
— Cubs are 3-9 in last 12 road series openers.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 27-119
— record in first 5 innings: 49-51-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-x

— Lively is 2-1, 3.71 in his last three starts.
— Guardians are 7-2 in his home starts.
— over 6-4 last 10 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-20
— record in first 5 innings: 12-6-2
— He is 0-2, 19.00 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Cleveland lost seven of last nine games.
— Guardians are 35-20 at home.
— Guardians are 12-6 in home series openers.
— over 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 31-118
— record in first 5 innings: 54-48-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-3-3.1

Trend: Home teams are 6-18 (25%, -18.35 units) in the last 24 games between the Los Angeles Angels and Toronto Blue Jays. The ROI on this trend is -76.5%.
System Matches: FADE LA ANGELS (-115 vs. TOR)

Trend: Over the total is 8-1 when CLE is a home underdog this season
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

Trend: FAVORITES are 18-2 (90%, +13.60 units) in the last 20 games between Milwaukee and LA Dodgers
– The ROI on this trend is 68%
System Matches: PLAY LA DODGERS (-112 at MIL)

(951) ST LOUIS (60-58) at (952) CINCINNATI (57-61)
Trend: Under the total is 5-2 in the head-to-head series this season (including 3-0 at CIN)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9)

(953) LOS ANGELES-NL (69-49) at (954) MILWAUKEE (67-50)
Trend: MIL not as good vs. LH starters (15-18, -6.55 units)
System Match: FADE MILWAUKEE (-110 vs. LAD)

(955) COLORADO (44-75) at (956) ARIZONA (66-53)
Trend: COL bad on the road (17-43, -13.71 units)
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+190 at AZ)

(957) PITTSBURGH (56-61) at (958) SAN DIEGO (66-53)
Trend: SD trending Over at home (35-22 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8)

(959) ATLANTA (61-56) at (960) SAN FRANCISCO (61-59)
Trend: SF not as good vs. LH starters (16-22, -10.54 units)
System Match: FADE SAN FRANCISCO (-112 vs. ATL)

(961) HOUSTON (62-55) at (962) TAMPA BAY (59-58)
Trend: TB decent vs. LH starters (18-11, +5.03 units)
System Match: PLAY TAMPA BAY (+110 vs. HOU)

(965) KANSAS CITY (65-53) at (966) MINNESOTA (65-52)
Trend: MIN leads head-to-head series (5-2 record, 3-1 at home) this season
System Match: PLAY MINNESOTA (-162 vs. KC)

(967) NEW YORK-AL (70-49) at (968) CHICAGO-AL (28-91)
Trend: CWS awful vs. RH starters (21-75, -45.72 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+260 vs. NYY)

(969) TORONTO (54-64) at (970) LOS ANGELES-AL (52-66)
Trend: LAA just 7-10 as a home favorite this season
System Match: FADE LA ANGELS (-115 vs. TOR)

(971) CHICAGO-NL (59-60) at (972) CLEVELAND (69-49)
Trend: Over the total is 8-1 when CLE is a home underdog this season
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(955) COLORADO (44-75) at (956) ARIZONA (66-53)
Trend: Cal Quantrill is 6-15 (-4.26 units) as an underdog of +150 or more in the last four seasons
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+190 at AZ)

(957) PITTSBURGH (56-61) at (958) SAN DIEGO (66-53)
Trend: Marco Gonzales is 13-7 (+8.50 units) in the last 20 road night starts
System Match: PLAY PITTSBURGH (+136 at SD)

Trend: Joe Musgrove is 14-3 (+7.30 units) as a night home favorite of -165 or higher in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY SAN DIEGO (*if they fall into this line range, -162 currently)

(961) HOUSTON (62-55) at (962) TAMPA BAY (59-58)
Trend: TB is 8-14 (-5.76 units) as a -120 favorite or worse (including underdog) with Taj Bradley in the last two seasons
System Match: FADE TAMPA BAY (+110 vs. HOU)