NFLPS DK Betting Splits system #1: Looking back at the 2023 NFL preseason, majority handle bettors on sides were just 14-30 ATS (31.8%). Until proven otherwise, any August majority handle in the NFL should be faded.

NFLPS DK Betting Splits system #2: For the 3+ week 2023 NFL preseason, majority bets groups on sides were just 17-32 ATS (34.7%). This is another majority group that should be faded until further notice.

NFLPS DK Betting Splits system #3: Looking back at the 2023 NFL preseason, majority handle bettors on totals were just 19-28 ATS (40.4%). While not as bad as the side percentages, there is still a continued fade opportunity in 2024.

NFLPS DK Betting Splits system #4: For the 3+ week 2023 NFL preseason, majority bets groups on totals were just 18-29 ATS (38.3%). A little less success for majority bets than handle on totals.

NFLPS DK Betting Splits system #5: When the majority of the HANDLE backed either team in a ’23 preseason game that saw a line move of three points or more from open to close, that group was just 3-13 ATS (18.8%), a percentage low topped only by #9 below.

NFLPS DK Betting Splits system #6: When the majority HANDLE backed either team in a ’23 preseason game that had a point spread of three points or higher, that majority group went just 9-21 ATS (30%). This is a slight dropoff from the 31.8% overall win rate in system #1, so it’s worth further consideration.

NFLPS DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority of NUMBER of BETS backed a ’23 NFL preseason team in a game with a point spread of 2.5 points or lower, that group was just 4-12 ATS (25%). This is almost 10% worse than the overall bets majority win rate. Look to fade the majority number of bettors in expected tight games this month.

NFLPS DK Betting Splits system #8: When the majority NUMBER of BETS was 60% or greater on any team in the ’23 NFL preseason, that group went 9-21 ATS (30%). These bigger majorities lost more than the overall groups.

NFLPS DK Betting Splits system #9: In the ’23 NFL preseason, when DraftKings lines moved toward the road teams throughout the week but majority HANDLE bettors stuck with the home teams, that group went just 1-7 ATS (12.5%). This might be the lowest DK splits percentage system I’ve posted for any sport, albeit it’s a very small sample size.

NFLPS DK Betting Splits system #10: In games between CONFERENCE OPPONENTS, majority HANDLE bettors were just 4-11 ATS (26.7%) when backing one of the teams. Most preseason games are of the non-conference variety, so this is another opportunity to fade majorities at a higher success rate.

Patriots-Panthers NFL Preseason betting at BetMGM

Patriots open -3, now -6.5
▪️ 57% of bets, 78% of money on Patriots

Total open 34.5, no movement
▪️ 64% of bets, 78% of money on Over

Panthers open +135, now +240
▪️ 72% of bets, 29% of money on Panthers

Giants-Lions NFL Preseason betting at BetMGM

Giants open -3.5, no movement
▪️ 32% of bets, 52% of money on Giants

Total open 36.5, now 34.5
▪️ 54% of bets, 60% of money on Over

Lions open +150, no movement
▪️ 89% of bets, 86% of money on Lions

NFLPS DK Splits system #7: When majority # of BETS backed a ’23 NFLPS team in game w/ point spread of <=2.5, group was 4-12 ATS (25%).
System fades: MIA, PIT, BAL, BUF, GB, KC, LAC, NO, IND

In the John Harbaugh era, Ravens are 38-19-1 ATS in the NFL Preseason

NFL Preseason Week 1 betting at BetMGM

Most bet teams

1. Browns -4
2. Ravens +1
3. Texans -2.5

Most bet teams $

1. Bills -1.5
2. Browns -4
3. Bengals -6

Since 2010, NFL Preseason favorites of more than 3 points have gone 153-121-3 (56%) ATS

Big favorites in Preseason Week 1

Browns -4 vs. GB
Bengals -6 vs. TB
Titans -5.5 vs. SF
Cowboys -4 at LAR

Unders are 4-0 to start the 2024 NFL preseason this week.

Majority of bets at BetMGM are on the Under in all nine of today’s games

Saturday NFL Preseason betting at BetMGM

Most bet teams to cover
1. Browns -5.5
2. Bills -3
3. Raiders -3

Most bet teams to win
1. Chiefs +100
2. Bills -160
3. Packers +200

Most bet Unders
1. Bears-Bills 38
2. Commanders-Jets 34.5
3. Saints-Cardinals 38

Since 2010, in NFL Preseason games with totals of 40 or more points the UNDER is 142-105-4 (58%)
Chiefs-Jaguars total 40.5 on Saturday.

The Seahawks are 24-11 ATS away with a line -4.5 or better in the preseason.