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msudogs
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MLB Lagniappe 8/10

San Diego (65-52) @ Miami (43-74)
— Waldron is 2-0, 5.17 in his last three starts.
— San Diego is 5-7 in his road starts.
— over 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 10-23
— record in first 5 innings: 8-12-3
— He threw 7 shutout IP, in his one start vs Miami.

— Padres won 15 of last 17 games.
— They’re 35-23 on road.
— over 9-5 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-117
— record in first 5 innings: 52-49-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.1-3

— Munoz is 1-1, 9.22 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 4-9 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 8-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego

— Marlins are 3-6 in their last nine games.
— Miami is 23-38 at home.
— over 8-1 last nine home games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-117
— record in first 5 innings: 39-66-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-5.2-3

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Cincinnati (56-60) @ Milwaukee (66-49)
— Martinez is 2-0, 0.00 in his last three games (13.1 IP).
— Reds are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
— He is 0-0, 4.26 in six games (2 starts) vs Milwaukee.

— Reds are 4-3 in their last seven games.
— They’re 28-29 on road.
— over 8-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 32-116
— record in first 5 innings: 52-48-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3

— Myers is 1-2, 2.21 in his last four starts.
— Brewers are 5-2 in his home starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 8-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Brewers won last four games, scoring 42 runs.
— They’re 32-21 at home.
— over 10-2-1 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-115
— record in first 5 innings: 53-47-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-2.2

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Atlanta (60-55) @ Colorado (43-74)
— Fried is 0-3, 6.46 in his last three starts.
— Atlanta is 12-7 in his starts.
— under 13-3 last 16
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-5
— He is 1-2, 3.00 in four starts vs Colorado.

— Braves lost their last six games.
— They’re 28-29 on road.
— over 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 32-115
— record in first 5 innings: 52-47-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-6.1-3

— Hudson is 0-5, 6.93 in his last five starts.
— Colorado is 3-14 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 4-12-1
— He is 1-1, 7.43 in three starts vs Atlanta.

— Rockies are 5-9 in their last 14 games.
— They’re 26-31 at home.
— under 12-4 last 16 home games
— scored run in first inning: 31-117
— record in first 5 innings: 42-58-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8-6-4

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Philadelphia (69-47) @ Arizona (64-53)
— Nola is 0-1, 4.37 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— over 5-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-23
— record in first 5 innings: 15-4-4
— He is 2-2, 7.67 in five starts vs Arizona

— Phillies are 8-15 in their last 23 games.
— They’re 31-26 on road.
— over 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 43-116
— record in first 5 innings: 67-38-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-2

— Gallen is 3-0, 3.38 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— over 5-2 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-3
— He is 3-1, 2.22 in five starts vs Philly.

— Arizona is 19-6 in its last 25 games.
— Diamondbacks are 32-26 at home.
— over 11-2 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-117
— record in first 5 innings: 55-42-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3.1-1.2

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Pittsburgh (56-59) @ Los Angeles (67-49)
— Skenes is 2-1, 2.04 in his last six starts.
— Pittsburgh is 9-5 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 8-2-4
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP vs LA on June 5th.

— Pirates are 1-7 in their last eight games.
— They’re 29-28 on road.
— over 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 23-115
— record in first 5 innings: 47-47-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-4

— Ryan is 1-0, 2.30 in three starts.
— Dodgers are 3-0 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh.

— Dodgers are 4-2 in their last six games.
— Dodgers are 12-5 in last 17 home games.
— over 10-4 last fourteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 41-116
— record in first 5 innings: 59-46-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-x-3.1

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Cleveland (67-49) @ Minnesota (65-50)
— Williams is 1-3, 5.79 in his last four starts.
— Guardians are 2-5 in his starts.
— under 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-2
— He is 1-0, 1.50 in two starts vs Minnesota.

— Cleveland lost its last seven games.
— Guardians are 32-29 on road.
— over 8-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 30-116
— record in first 5 innings: 53-48-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8.2-x-5.2

— Woods-Richardson is 0-1, 4.91 in his last six starts.
— Twins are 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 1-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-6
— He gave up a run in 5.1 IP, in his one start vs Cleveland.

— Twins won seven of last nine games.
— Twins are 34-21 at home.
— over 14-5 last 19 games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-115
— record in first 5 innings: 53-49-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-x-7.1

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Baltimore (69-48) @ Tampa Bay (57-57)
— Burnes is 3-0, 3.96 in his last four starts.
— Orioles are 11-3 in his last 14 starts.
— over 10-4 last 14 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-23
— record in first 5 innings: 16-5-2
— He gave up 2 unearned runs in 7 IP, in his one start vs Tampa Bay.

— Baltimore is 8-5 in its last 13 games.
— Orioles are 35-23 on road.
— over 18-4 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-117
— record in first 5 innings: 62-43-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.2-2

— Rasmussen is making his first ‘24 start.
— He was 4-2, 2.62 in eight starts LY, before he got hurt.
— In his career, he is 20-10, 2.95 in 46 starts.
— He is 2-0, 2.13 in four starts vs Baltimore.

— Tampa Bay is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Rays are 30-30 at home.
— under 9-3 last dozen games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-115
— record in first 5 innings: 41-57-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4.2-4

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Oakland (48-69) @ Toronto (54-62)
— Bido is 1-3, 7.78 in four starts.
— Oakland is 1-3 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

— A’s are 11-8 since All-Star break.
— Oakland is 7-5 in last 12 road games.
— under 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 25-117
— record in first 5 innings: 43-68-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-4-2.1

— Rodriguez is 0-1, 4.80 in his last four starts.
— Toronto is 5-6 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Oakland.

— Toronto is 5-6 in its last 11 games.
— Blue Jays are 29-29 at home.
— over 32-9 last 41 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-116
— record in first 5 innings: 49-52-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-1-2

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Houston (60-55) @ Boston (61-53)
— Arrighetti is 0-3, 4.00 in his last three starts
— Astros are 2-8 in his last 10 starts.
— under 7-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 7-20
— record in first 5 innings: 4-13-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.

— Houston is 8-3 in its last 11 games.
— Astros are 28-29 on road.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 35-115
— record in first 5 innings: 52-49-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 0.1-3.2-5

— bullpen game

— Red Sox are 6-4 in last ten games.
— They’re 27-29 at home.
— over 16-2 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-114
— record in first 5 innings: 60-41-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-x-3

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Texas (54-61) @ Bronx (68-48)
— Bradford is 3-0, 2.78 in four starts
— Three of those four starts were in April.
— Rangers are 4-0 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Eovaldi is 2-2, 6.26 in his last four starts.
— Rangers are 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— over 9-2 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-6
— He is 4-4, 3.45 in 17 starts vs New York.

— Rangers are 4-8 in last 12 games.
— Texas is 23-34 on road.
— Rangers are 3-12 in last 15 road series openers.
— over 11-3 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-115
— record in first 5 innings: 48-49-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-x

— Rodon is 3-0, 2.89 in his last three starts.
— New York is 14-9 in his starts.
— over 15-3 last 18 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-23
— record in first 5 innings: 12-9-2
— He is 1-1, 4.70 in five starts vs Texas.

— Cole is 1-1, 4.67 in his last three starts.
— New York is 5-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4
— He is 6-4, 3.86 in 15 starts vs Texas.

— New York won eight of its last 11 games.
— They’re 30-26 at home.
— New York is 4-7 in last 11 home series openers.
— over 30-11 last 41 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-116
— record in first 5 innings: 58-45-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8.2-4.1-x

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LA Angels (51-65) @ Washington (53-64)
— Canning is 1-1, 6.98 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— under 9-4 last 13 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 12-23
— record in first 5 innings: 9-13-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Washington.

— Angels are 6-5 in last 11 games.
— They’re 25-30 on road.
— under 11-6 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-116
— record in first 5 innings: 41-63-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8.2-3-3.1

— Corbin is 0-3, 10.13 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 2-11 in his last 13 starts.
— over 9-5 last 14 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 6-16-1
— He is 1-0, 4.91 in two starts vs Anaheim.

— Nationals are 6-11 in last 17 games.
— They’re 27-31 at home.
— over 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-117
— record in first 5 innings: 46-58-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-7.1-3.2

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Cubs (58-60) @ White Sox (28-90)
— Steele is 1-1, 3.71 in his last three starts.
— Chicago is 6-12 in his starts.
— under 6-0 last six starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-6
— He hasn’t pitched against the White Sox.

— Cubs are 9-4 in their last 13 games.
— They’re 26-33 on road.
— over 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 27-118
— record in first 5 innings: 49-51-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-x-4

— Flexen is 0-4, 10.26 in his last five starts.
— Chicago lost his last 16 starts.
— over 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 6-12-4
— He is 0-1, 6.23 in four starts against the Cubs.

— White Sox lost 23 of last 24 games.
— Chicago is 17-41 at home.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 22-118
— record in first 5 innings: 45-58-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-6.2

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St Louis (60-57) @ Kansas City (64-53)
— Pallante is 0-3, 5.32 in his last four starts
— Cardinals are 2-3 in his road starts.
— under 7-4
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2-3
— He is 0-1, 6.58 in two games (1 start) vs Kansas City.

— Cardinals are 3-1 in last four games.
— They’re 29-30 on road.
— over 10-5 last fifteen games
— scored run in first inning: 28-117
— record in first 5 innings: 44-54-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-5

— Wacha is 4-0, 3.03 in his last six starts.
— Royals are 6-1 in his last seven starts.
— under 6-2 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-4
— He is 3-0, 3.12 in three starts vs St Louis.
— He pitched for the Cardinals from 2013-19.

— Royals are 7-4 in last eleven games.
— Royals are 37-25 at home
— over 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-117
— record in first 5 innings: 55-43-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-2.2-4.2

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Detroit (55-62) @ San Francisco (60-58)
— Detroit hasn’t named a starter

— Detroit is 3-8 in its last 11 games.
— Tigers are 29-31 on road.
— under 5-1 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 35-117
— record in first 5 innings: 47-51-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4.1-4

— Webb is 2-0, 0.61 in his last two starts.
— Giants are 7-11 in his last 18 starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 8-24
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-4
— He gave up 6 unearned runs in 4.2 IP, in his one start vs Detroit

— San Francisco is 11-3 in its last 14 games.
— Giants are 34-23 at home.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 28-118
— record in first 5 innings: 48-52-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5.1-3

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NY Mets (61-55) @ Seattle (61-56)
— Manaea is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two (14 IP) starts.
— Mets are 7-1 in his last eight starts.
— under 7-4 last eleven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-22
— record in first 5 innings: 12-6-4
— He is 8-7, 3.73 in 16 starts vs Seattle.

— New York is 6-5 in its last 11 games.
— Mets are 31-26 on road.
— under 10-3 last 13 road games
— scored run in first inning: 29-116
— record in first 5 innings: 50-48-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-2.1

— Gilbert is 0-3, 7.63 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 1-5 in his last six starts.
— under 5-2 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-23
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-5
— He gave up a run in 6.2 IP, in his one start vs New York.

— Seattle split its last ten games.
— Mariners are 5-10 in last 15 home games.
— over 8-5 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-117
— record in first 5 innings: 52-49-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.1-3

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Umpires
— SD-Mia- Home underdogs are 4-4 in Moore games.
— Cin-Milw- Road underdogs are 8-6 in Randazzo games.
— Atl-Colo- Under is 13-9 in DeJesus games.
— Phil-Ariz- Under is 11-9 in Lentz games.
— Pitt-LA- Under is 11-8 in O’Nora games.

— A’s-Tor- Under is 9-4 in Bacon games
— Hst-Bos- Under is 14-9 in Merzel games
— Clev-Minn- Home favorites are 8-7 in Porter games.
— Balt-TB- Home team is 13-9 in Torres games.

— LAA-Wsh- Over is 13-6 in Hudson games.
— StL-KC- Road underdogs are 8-5 in Ortiz games.
— Chi-CWS- Home underdogs are 3-4 in Rackley games.
— Det-SF- Home favorites are 10-5 in Hoye games.
— NY-Sea- Home favorites are 11-5 in Tichenor games.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Cardinals
8:10 pm ET

Zac Gallen is a different pitcher at home, boasting a 3.28 ERA at Chase Field compared to a 4.40 mark on the road.

The Diamondbacks veteran will be tasked with taming a Phillies lineup on Saturday night that is batting just .228 with a .294 on-base percentage against right-handed pitching.

In addition, Philadelphia takes the third-least pitches per plate appearance in the National League. This should allow Gallen to work deeper into the game, making his Outs prop an attractive prop option.

Gallen is Over 17.5 Outs in seven of his 10 home outings this season and in 10 of 18 starts overall.

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Trend: Atlanta has won 13 of the last 15 games against Colorado (86.7%, +7.98 units)
– The ROI on this trend is 53.2
System Matches: PLAY ATLANTA (-198 at COL)

Losing Streak Betting System #4:
Teams on losing streaks of seven games or more and playing against divisional opponents are just 30-66 in their last 96 tries (-21.76 units, ROI: -22.7%). Divisional foes love to stomp on their rivals when they are down.
System Matches: FADE CLEVELAND (-102 at MIN)

Trend: Gerrit Cole is 28-7 (+7.45 units) at home vs. teams with a losing record in last five seasons
System Match: PLAY NY YANKEES GAME 2 (-192 vs. TEX)

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(951) SAN DIEGO (65-52) at (952) MIAMI (43-74)
Trend: MIA trending Over at home (41-16 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 9)

(953) CINCINNATI (56-60) at (954) MILWAUKEE (66-49)
Trend: MIL pretty good vs divisional teams (24-13, +8.66 units)
System Match: PLAY MILWAUKEE (-142 vs CIN)

(955) PHILADELPHIA (69-47) at (956) ARIZONA (64-53)
Trend: Over the total is 12-5 when PHI is a road underdog this season
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(959) PITTSBURGH (56-59) at (960) LOS ANGELES-NL (67-49)
Trend: LAD slight Over at home (33-23 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8)

(961) TEXAS (54-61) at (962) NEW YORK-AL (68-48) (DH Game #1)
Trend: NYY good vs. AL West/Central (30-10, +11.04 units)
System Match: PLAY NY YANKEES (-155 vs TEX)

(963) OAKLAND (48-69) at (964) TORONTO (54-62)
Trend: OAK worse on the road (19-39, -6.70 units)
System Match: FADE OAKLAND (+130 at TOR)

Old Post 08-10-24 04:18 PM
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(967) CLEVELAND (67-49) at (968) MINNESOTA (65-50)
Trend: Under the total is 5-2 in the head-to-head series this season
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(969) BALTIMORE (69-48) at (970) TAMPA BAY (58-57)
Trend: BAL better vs. divisional teams (25-12, +9.55 units)
System Match: PLAY BALTIMORE (-162 at TB)

(971) DETROIT (55-62) at (972) SAN FRANCISCO (60-58)
Trend: SF trending Over during the day (31-17 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(975) ST LOUIS (60-57) at (976) KANSAS CITY (64-53)
Trend: KC better at home (37-25, +8.42 units)
System Match: PLAY KANSAS CITY (-135 vs. STL)

(977) CHICAGO-NL (58-60) at (978) CHICAGO-AL (28-90)
Trend: CWS terrible at night (18-52, -26.59 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+210 vs. CHC)

(979) NEW YORK-NL (61-55) at (980) SEATTLE (61-56)
Trend: SEA more Under at home (19-39 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7.5)

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