Cincinnati (54-58) @ Miami (42-71)
Lodolo is 0-1, 6.67 in his last five starts.
Reds are 2-4 in his last six starts.
over 4-2 last six
allowed run in first inning: 6-17
record in first 5 innings: 8-7-2
He is 1-0, 1.69 in two starts vs Miami.
Reds are 2-3 in their last five games.
Theyre 26-27 on road.
over 4-1 last five games
scored run in first inning: 31-112
record in first 5 innings: 51-46-15
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-4
Meyer is 2-1, 3.81 in five starts.
Marlins are 3-2 in his starts.
over 3-2
allowed run in first inning: 1-5
record in first 5 innings: 3-2
He hasnt pitched against Cincinnati
Marlins are 10-8 in their last 18 games.
Miami is 22-35 at home.
under 4-1 last five games.
scored run in first inning: 26-113
record in first 5 innings: 37-65-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.2-4-5.1
San Diego (61-52) @ Pittsburgh (56-55)
Cease is 4-0, 0.33 in his last four starts.
San Diego is 14-9 in his starts.
under 12-7 last 19 starts
allowed run in first inning: 9-23
record in first 5 innings: 12-10-1
He is 1-0, 2.53 in two starts vs Pittsburgh.
Padres won 11 of last 13 games.
Theyre 31-23 on road.
Padres are 10-8 in road series openers.
over 7-3 last ten games
scored run in first inning: 30-113
record in first 5 innings: 49-48-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-x
Falter is 2-1, 4.26 in his last three starts.
Pittsburgh is 5-10 in his last 15 starts.
under 5-1 last six
allowed run in first inning: 4-18
record in first 5 innings: 7-10-1
This is his first start vs San Diego.
Pirates are 13-8 in their last 21 games.
Theyre 27-28 at home.
Pirates are 8-3 in last 11 home series openers.
over 6-2 last eight games
scored run in first inning: 22-111
record in first 5 innings: 47-43-21
bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-x
San Francisco (57-57) @ Washington (51-62)
Birdsong is 2-0, 2.12 in his last three starts.
Giants are 4-2 in his starts.
under 5-1
allowed run in first inning: 0-6
record in first 5 innings: 4-0-2
He hasnt pitched against Washington
San Francisco is 8-2 in its last ten games.
Giants are 24-34 on road.
under 13-6 last 19 games
scored run in first inning: 26-114
record in first 5 innings: 47-50-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-4-3.1
Gore is 0-2, 9.30 in his last five starts.
Washington is 7-6 in his home starts.
over 10-2 last 12 starts
allowed run in first inning: 3-22
record in first 5 innings: 9-12-1
He is 2-1, 5.65 in three starts vs San Francisco.
Nationals are 4-9 in last 13 games.
Theyre 25-29 at home.
over 7-3 last ten games
scored run in first inning: 20-113
record in first 5 innings: 45-56-12
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-3
Milwaukee (62-49) @ Atlanta (60-51)
Rea is 0-0, 2.12 in his last three starts.
Brewers are 8-2 in his last 10 starts.
over 3-1 last four
allowed run in first inning: 6-19
record in first 5 innings: 9-6-4
He is 1-0, 4.70 in four starts vs Atlanta
Brewers are 3-6 in their last nine games.
Theyre 31-28 on road.
series openers.
over 6-2-1 last nine games
scored run in first inning: 29-111
record in first 5 innings: 50-46-15
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-x
Elder is 1-1, 5.51 in his last three starts.
Atlanta is 4-5 in his starts.
under 6-3
allowed run in first inning: 2-9
record in first 5 innings: 4-4-1
He is 2-0, 1.86 in three starts vs Milwaukee
Braves are 6-3 in their last nine games.
Theyre 32-23 at home.
series openers.
under 26-11 last 37 games
scored run in first inning: 30-111
record in first 5 innings: 51-44-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-5.2-x
NY Mets (59-53) @ Colorado (41-72)
Severino is 1-1, 5.14 in his last three starts.
Mets are 8-3 in his last eleven starts.
under 3-1 last four
allowed run in first inning: 2-21
record in first 5 innings: 12-7-2
He hasnt pitched against Colorado
New York is 4-5 in its last nine games.
Mets are 29-24 on road.
Mets are 13-2 in last 15 series openers.
under 6-3 last nine road games
scored run in first inning: 27-112
record in first 5 innings: 49-46-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-2
Freeland is 3-1, 4.56 in his last four starts.
Colorado is 5-1 in his last six starts.
under 3-1 home starts
allowed run in first inning: 5-11
record in first 5 innings: 4-6-1
He is 2-1, 2.52 in four starts vs New York.
Rockies are 3-7 in their last ten games.
Theyre 24-29 at home.
home series openers.
under 9-3 last 12 home games
scored run in first inning: 30-113
record in first 5 innings: 40-57-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.2-x
Philadelphia (66-46) @ Los Angeles (66-47)
Sanchez is 0-3, 5.82 in his last three starts,
Phillies are 2-7 in his road starts.
under 5-2 last seven
allowed run in first inning: 5-21
record in first 5 innings: 9-11-1
He gave up 2 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Los Angeles.
Phillies are 5-14 in their last 19 games.
Theyre 28-25 on road.
over 6-1 last seven games
scored run in first inning: 42-112
record in first 5 innings: 66-35-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-1-2
Kershaw is 0-1, 10.56 in two starts.
Dodgers are 1-1 in his starts.
over 2-0
allowed run in first inning: 0-2
record in first 5 innings: 1-1
He is 4-6, 2.76 in 16 starts vs Philadelphia.
Dodgers won their last three games.
Dodgers are 11-3 in last 14 home games.
over 8-3 last eleven games.
scored run in first inning: 39-113
record in first 5 innings: 57-45-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.1-3
LA Angels (49-63) @ Bronx (67-46)
Daniel is 1-2, 5.32 in four starts.
Angels are 1-3 in his starts.
under 3-1
allowed run in first inning: 2-4
record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
He hasnt pitched against New York.
Angels are 4-3 in last seven games.
Theyre 23-28 on road.
Angels are 9-8 in road series openers.
under 9-4 last 13 games
scored run in first inning: 25-112
record in first 5 innings: 38-62-12
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-x
Gil is 2-0, 2.76 in his last three starts.
New York is 2-5 in his last seven starts.
under 3-1 last four
allowed run in first inning: 3-21
record in first 5 innings: 14-4-3
He gave up a run in 8 IP, in his one start vs Anaheim.
New York won seven of its last eight games.
Theyre 29-24 at home.
New York is 1-5 in its last six home series openers.
over 28-10 last 38 games
scored run in first inning: 39-113
record in first 5 innings: 57-43-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3.1-x
Baltimore (67-46) @ Toronto (51-61)
Rodriguez is 1-1, 7.80 in his last three starts.
Orioles are 13-7 in his starts.
over 4-1 last five
allowed run in first inning: 7-20
record in first 5 innings: 12-6-2
He is 2-1, 3.68 in five starts vs Toronto.
Baltimore is 6-3 in its last nine games.
Orioles are 33-21 on road.
Orioles are 10-7 in road series openers.
over 16-2 last 18 games
scored run in first inning: 30-113
record in first 5 innings: 61-41-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.2-4
Bassitt is 0-3, 7.47 in his last three starts.
Toronto is 2-8 in his last 10 starts.
over 5-2 last seven
allowed run in first inning: 7-22
record in first 5 innings: 8-8-6
He is 3-3, 5.45 in seven starts vs Orioles
Toronto lost five of its last seven games.
Blue Jays are 26-28 at home.
Blue Jays are 2-6 in last eight home series openers.
over 30-7 last 37 games
scored run in first inning: 28-112
record in first 5 innings: 47-52-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-x
Houston (57-55) @ Texas (54-59)
Valdez is 4-0, 2.90 in his last five starts.
Astros won his last seven starts.
over 5-2 last seven starts
allowed run in first inning: 3-19
record in first 5 innings: 10-8-1
He is 7-5, 2.90 in 13 starts vs Texas.
Houston lost six of last eight games.
Astros are 25-29 on road.
under 5-1 last six games
scored run in first inning: 33-112
record in first 5 innings: 50-48-14
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-3.2
Mahle is making his first 24 start.
He was 1-2, 3.16 in five starts for Minnesota LY, then got hurt.
In his career, he is 33-41, 4.30 in 122 starts.
He is 0-1, 4.15 in two starts vs Houston.
Rangers lost seven of last ten games.
Texas is 10-4 in last 14 home games.
over 10-2 last 12 games
scored run in first inning: 38-113
record in first 5 innings: 48-47-18
bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-4-4
Boston (60-51) @ Kansas City (63-51)
Bello is 3-0, 4.29 in his last six starts.
Boston is 5-1 in his last six starts.
over 5-2 last seven
allowed run in first inning: 6-20
record in first 5 innings: 13-7
He is 1-0, 2.77 in two starts vs Kansas City.
Red Sox are 5-2 in last seven games.
Theyre 33-23 on road.
over 13-2 last 15 games
scored run in first inning: 35-111
record in first 5 innings: 59-40-12
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.1-3
Lugo is 2-1, 3.09 in his last three starts.
Royals are 5-6 in his home starts.
under 7-1 last eight starts
allowed run in first inning: 3-23
record in first 5 innings: 14-6-3
He is 0-2, 7.56 in four games (1 start) vs Boston.
Royals won six of last eight games.
Royals are 36-23 at home
over 8-4 last dozen games
scored run in first inning: 31-114
record in first 5 innings: 53-43-18
bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-3.1
White Sox (27-88) @ Oakland (47-67)
Cannon is 0-3, 3.96 in his last four games.
Chicago is 3-8 in his starts.
under 7-4
allowed run in first inning: 3-11
record in first 5 innings: 4-6-1
He hasnt pitched against Oakland
White Sox have lost 21 games in a row.
Chicago is 10-48 on road.
over 9-3 last 12 games
scored run in first inning: 22-115
record in first 5 innings: 43-57-15
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-4-6.1-4
Stripling is 1-1, 5.23 in two starts since coming off IL.
Oakland is 1-5 in his last six starts.
over 4-2 last six
allowed run in first inning: 5-13
record in first 5 innings: 2-11
He is 3-0, 0.77 in four games (1 start) vs Chicago.
As are 2-3 in last five games.
Oakland is 10-6 in last 16 home games.
over 9-3 last 12 home games
scored run in first inning: 25-114
record in first 5 innings: 43-66-5
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-2
Detroit (53-60) @ Seattle (59-54)
Montero is 0-4, 8.02 in his last four starts.
Detroit is 3-4 in his starts.
over 5-2
allowed run in first inning: 4-7
record in first 5 innings: 1-4-2
He hasnt pitched against Seattle
Detroit is 4-10 in its last 14 games.
Tigers are 27-29 on road.
Tigers are 10-8 in road series openers.
over 10-6 last 16 games
scored run in first inning: 34-113
record in first 5 innings: 43-51-19
bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.1-9-x
Castillo is 3-1, 1.99 in his last five starts.
Seattle is 4-6 in his last ten starts.
over 5-3 last eight
allowed run in first inning: 7-23
record in first 5 innings: 10-12-1.
He is 0-3, 3.91 in four starts vs Detroit.
Seattle won six of last nine games.
Mariners are 33-24 at home.
Mariners are 14-4 in home series openers.
over 7-2 last nine games
scored run in first inning: 31-113
record in first 5 innings: 51-46-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4.2-3
Arizona (61-52) @ Cleveland (67-45)
Rodriguez is making his first 24 start.
Last year, he was 13-9, 3.30 in 26 starts for Detroit.
In his career, he is 82-53, 4.03 in 196 starts.
He is 6-0, 2.28 in eight starts vs Cleveland.
Arizona is 16-5 in its last 21 games.
Diamondbacks are 30-27 on road.
over 8-1 last nine games
scored run in first inning: 36-113
record in first 5 innings: 51-42-20
bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-3
Lively is 2-0, 2.25 in his last two starts.
Cleveland is 12-7 in his starts.
under 3-1 last four
allowed run in first inning: 1-19
record in first 5 innings: 12-5-2
He is 0-2, 7.50 in four starts vs Arizona.
Cleveland is 8-5 in its last 13 games.
Guardians are 35-18 at home.
over 5-0 last five games
scored run in first inning: 30-112
record in first 5 innings: 53-44-15
bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5-5
Tampa Bay (57-54) @ St Louis (57-56)
Springs gave up 2 runs in 3.2 IP in his first 24 start.
In 22-23, he was 11-5, 2.26 in 28 starts, then he got hurt.
Rays are 1-0 in his starts.
over 1-0
allowed run in first inning: 1-1
record in first 5 innings: 0-1
He is 0-0, 1.00 in two games (1 start) vs Cardinals
Tampa Bay is 13-8 in its last 21 games.
Rays are 27-25 on road.
Rays are 7-10 in road series openers.
under 6-2 last eight games.
scored run in first inning: 28-111
record in first 5 innings: 41-53-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-9-x
Gray is 1-1, 5.19 in his last four starts
Cardinals are 2-4 in his last six starts.
over 7-1 last eight
allowed run in first inning: 4-20
record in first 5 innings: 11-6-3
He is 4-6, 4.20 in 13 starts vs Tampa Bay.
Cardinals are 4-8 in last 12 games.
Theyre 29-26 at home.
Cardinals are 0-8 in last eight series openers.
over 8-3 last eleven games
scored run in first inning: 25-113
record in first 5 innings: 41-53-19
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-4.1
Minnesota (63-48) @ Cubs (55-60)
Lopez is 2-0l 2.25 in his last three starts.
Twins are 7-2 in his last nine starts.
over 4-1 last five
allowed run in first inning: 7-22
record in first 5 innings: 11-10-1
He is 1-2, 2.66 in four starts against the Cubs.
Twins won their last five games.
Twins are 31-27 on road.
over 11-4 last 15 games.
scored run in first inning: 31-111
record in first 5 innings: 51-47-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-4
Imanaga is 1-0, 3.38 in his last six starts.
Chicago is 16-4 in his starts.
over 5-2 last seven starts.
allowed run in first inning: 3-20
record in first 5 innings: 10-4-6
He hasnt pitched against Minnesota.
Cubs are 6-4 in their last ten games.
Theyre 30-27 at home.
under 11-6 last 17 games
scored run in first inning: 24-115
record in first 5 innings: 46-51-18
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.3
Trend: Luis Severino is 24-7 (+16.55 units) against teams with a losing record in the last two seasons
System Match: PLAY NY METS (-148 at COL)
SD Momentum after series vs. COLORADO: 19-10 (65.5%) 11.47 units, ROI: 39.6%
System Matches: PLAY SAN DIEGO (-170 at PIT)
Trend: MIA trending Over at home (38-16 O/U)
(951) SAN DIEGO (61-52) at (952) PITTSBURGH (56-55)
Trend: SD slight Under vs. LH starters (15-22 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8)
(953) CINCINNATI (54-58) at (954) MIAMI (42-71)
Trend: MIA trending Over at home (38-16 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8)
(955) SAN FRANCISCO (57-57) at (956) WASHINGTON (51-62)
Trend: SF not as good vs. LH starters (15-21, -10.36 units)
System Match: FADE SAN FRANCISCO (-120 at WSH)
(957) MILWAUKEE (62-49) at (958) ATLANTA (60-51)
Trend: MIL not as good vs. NL East/West (13-22, -14.82 units)
System Match: FADE MILWAUKEE (+110 at ATL)
(961) PHILADELPHIA (66-46) at (962) LOS ANGELES-NL (66-47)
Trend: Over the total is 10-3 when PHI is a road underdog this season
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)
(963) LOS ANGELES-AL (49-63) at (964) NEW YORK-AL (67-46)
Trend: LAA not as good vs. RH starters (39-52, -6.90 units)
System Match: FADE LA ANGELS (+235 at NYY)
(965) BALTIMORE (67-46) at (966) TORONTO (51-61)
Trend: TOR more Over vs. divisional teams (26-12 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)
(967) HOUSTON (57-55) at (968) TEXAS (54-59)
Trend: TEX slight Under at home (19-35 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8)
(969) BOSTON (60-51) at (970) KANSAS CITY (63-51)
Trend: KC is great at home (36-23, +9.82 units)
System Match: PLAY KANSAS CITY (-130 vs BOS)
(973) CHICAGO-AL (27-88) at (974) OAKLAND (47-67)
Trend: OAK is 10-3 as a home favorite this season
System Match: PLAY OAKLAND (-192 vs CWS)
(977) TAMPA BAY (57-54) at (978) ST LOUIS (57-56)
Trend: STL more Over vs. AL teams (17-8 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 7.5)
(979) MINNESOTA (63-48) at (980) CHICAGO-NL (55-60)
Trend: CHC pretty good vs. AL teams (17-10, +8.63 units)
System Match: PLAY CHICAGO CUBS (-108 vs MIN)
(951) SAN DIEGO (61-52) at (952) PITTSBURGH (56-55)
Trend: Dylan Cease is 11-2 (+6.82 units) in the last five seasons as a large road favorite (-170 or higher)
System Match: PLAY SAN DIEGO (-170 at PIT)
Trend: Bailey Falter is 8-4 (+4.05 units) as a home night starter in the last two seasons
System Match: PLAY PITTSBURGH (+142 vs. SD)
(953) CINCINNATI (54-58) at (954) MIAMI (42-71)
Trend: Nick Lodolo is just 11-12 (-4.35 units) vs. losing teams in his career
System Match: FADE CINCINNATI (-135 at MIA)
(957) MILWAUKEE (62-49) at (958) ATLANTA (60-51)
Trend: Colin Rea is good in the -120 to +135 line range (18-3 record, +16.64 units) in the last two seasons
System Match: PLAY MILWAUKEE (+110 at ATL)
(959) NEW YORK-NL (59-53) at (960) COLORADO (41-72)
Trend: Luis Severino is 24-7 (+16.55 units) against teams with a losing record in the last two seasons
System Match: PLAY NY METS (-148 at COL)
Trend: COL is 8-18 (-6.80 units) in the underdog line range of +125 to +150 with starter Kyle Freeland in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE COLORADO (*if they fall into this line range, +124 currently)
(961) PHILADELPHIA (66-46) at (962) LOS ANGELES-NL (66-47)
Trend: PHI is 7-15 (-11.28 units) in line range of -145 or worse with starter Cristopher Sanchez in the last 2+ seasons
System Match: FADE PHILADELPHIA (-108 at LAD)
(965) BALTIMORE (67-46) at (966) TORONTO (51-61)
Trend: BAL is 18-3 (+13.92 units) with starter Grayson Rodriguez against below .500 teams
System Match: PLAY BALTIMORE (-142 at TOR)
(971) DETROIT (53-60) at (972) SEATTLE (59-54)
Trend: Luis Castillo is 0-4 (-8.20 units) vs. Detroit in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE SEATTLE (-198 vs. DET)
(979) MINNESOTA (63-48) at (980) CHICAGO-NL (55-60)
Trend: Pablo Lopez is 16-4 (+11.05 units) in the short favorite line range of -118 to -130 in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY MINNESOTA (*if they fall into this line range, -112 currently)